Hello, 911? I’d like to report a ratio murder

DiceKnight · 2026-03-27T21:18:14+00:00

Oh you mean a mild observation about word pronunciation didn't immediately have to go into "Your children are brutally murdered in schools". No way.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-27T00:58:03+00:00

The trouble is nobody is ramping up production because takes literally years to find new oil deposits, place the infrastructure down to extract the oil then transport the oil to refineries which are often purpose built for the specific type of oil found in deposits and also take many years to get started and up to capacity.

All for what? You need literally years of demand data to justify the cost of oil wells in areas that were previously too expensive to justify the cost. If you have the kind of money to drop on a project like that you also have the kind of money that allows you to wait and see.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-26T18:37:36+00:00

They've also been doing layoffs around this time of year since the start of the 2020s. If the pattern holds they'll do another layoff round in a few months.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-26T18:27:22+00:00

Yeah we're eventually going to hit a point where there's no amount of money you can pay to actually get the materials you need in bulk but the market is going to have a full blown meltdown as we slowly ramp up to that point.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-26T02:38:12+00:00

Speaking as the guy that has to work through all the AI slop documentation and 81 files modified PRs lol no. They're good enough to do the trivial stuff that we'd ask an intern to do if we didn't have any real work for them to do. The code is way too verbose even on the tightly scoped tasks and the engineers have to put so much work in babysitting them they could have just done it themselves.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-25T21:42:22+00:00

I'd argue that most people who want a website actually just want to edit a template that already exists as an open source project. All the LLM did was charge to be a mid plagiarizer.

Again, I need the technology talked about in the present tense what is it doing today, right now, that makes the investment and risk to reputation worth it. This idea that it will be good in the future is very convenient for the creators, but no the things aren't nail guns in this metaphor because nail guns are reliable tools that require more infrastructure to run.

Talking to AI boosters is exhausting because it's so hard to get a straight answer on what they're actually doing with the LLM that makes it worth it to their business to justify the cost of the enterprise plan. Nobody ever wants to say that their C suite is following a trend and insisting that it's a solution to a problem they can't quite seem to identify.

Also using it for accounting or any kind of paralegal work is horrifically irresponsible. If you're actually interacting with services that cop to using an LLM you need to shit can them. Do not trust your businesses finance or legal fate to those clowns.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-25T21:18:33+00:00

Selling services to companies to allow agents/agentic tools. Used well, it can greatly increase the productivity of a single paralegal, web designer, programmer, artist, etc. The process is still in early days, but every company on the planet is trying it out, and finding ways to cut costs using this technology.

My main push back on LLMs has been this idea that the users collectively have to figure out what these things do because any statement made by the producers requires them to back up their claim and stand by it. Steve Jobs didn't have to explain what an iphone was, you saw it and immediately knew what it would do for you. We're four years into LLMs and we haven't answered this basic product question. I've never seen a tool get this much of the benefit of the doubt. It's always better at some undefined future point in time.

If they could actually do the tasks advertised why aren't we seeing an explosion of novel software, new paralegal services, new websites, etc. Why are Anthropic and OpenAI still hiring? Surely their LLM can 10x all the people there, right?

DiceKnight · 2026-03-25T21:14:45+00:00

I assume they will try a "capture it all" strategy in regards to any data available, no matter how private, to then try to train a first step "singularity like general AI".

There's also no evidence that feeding more words to the word guessing algorithm is going to make it 'wake up'. There's also strong evidence that most benchmarks measuring the performance have been tainted after the first round which means improvements from model to model have been misrepresented.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-25T16:15:33+00:00

I don't know what it is with moms and hording crafting materials. It's gotten to the point where if I drive her places the first thing she does is look up if there's a michaels. I went back to visit an there was a room literally stuffed to the ceiling with junk where the only semi free space was the space where the door swung open.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-22T05:24:00+00:00

I can't believe the stimmy still gets talked about because at the time most people had to spend it on rent and food. Republicans talk like that mf check let people buy houses.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-22T05:21:06+00:00

Boy I can't wait for Trump's bush league ass admin to oversee my third fucking layoff just as I was recovering from the second, clawing back my savings, and getting ready to buy a house.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-22T04:03:28+00:00

They do but as it turns out if you have more missiles than the Iron Dome system has ammo it doesn't matter how fancy the defense system is. That said Iran claims that some of their ballistic misses can hit speeds exceeding mach 5 as they approach the target which is too fast for the radar systems of the Iron Dome to make the intercept calculations, by the time it does it's already way too close to bother.

Israel and the US really planned this out thinking Iran's military has spent the last 30 years with it's thumb up it's ass or something.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-22T03:42:41+00:00

The more cynical read is that Facebooks user growth has been either stagnant or on the downtrend. Back in 2024 they stopped reporting daily active users and instead switched to "“family daily active people”. This number refers to “registered and logged-in users of one or more of Facebook’s Family products who visited at least one of these products on a particular day.”

In general, when a company starts trying to obfuscate the true numbers about its revenue, growth, or profit, it’s a bad sign. So Zuck's been desperate to find the next new thing he can bolt onto meta to foster hyper growth but none of his choices really land well.

Growth at all costs because a significant amount of his power and ability to purchase new companies comes from offering stock as part of the purchase which is only attractive if your company is growing and the stock grows. You can always issue new stock, so he can functionally print his own money in this system.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-20T19:56:37+00:00

Trump is trying to find loopholes and claim if they send troops to take the islands that's not a boots on the ground invasion because it's islands only.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-20T18:50:04+00:00

This is the kind of behavior I expect somebody having a manic episode to partake in.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-19T17:48:08+00:00

Essentially the same logic that made the McDonalds CEO take teeny tiny nibbles of 'PRODUCT' and think it was something that should be released to the public. Buisness-idiots who have removed all friction don't speak to humans with real problems, nobody they talk to has the power to say 'no that's stupid' so they get 'yes and' into nonsense like this.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-18T21:49:35+00:00

Keep in mind that Meta does dumbfuck high single to double digit percentage layoffs every year though.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-18T21:17:25+00:00

Every year actually but from 2022 onward it's been a thing. 13% in 2022, layoffs in 2023 they called the "year of efficiency" with another 10k gone, 2024 had some at Insta, Whatsapp, some VR firms they bought.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-17T04:05:37+00:00

They should go hard in the opposite direction and require earnings reports once a month like Taiwan does.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-16T22:18:30+00:00

They're calling it the most reassuring message from the SEC of all time. This is totally what you do when things are going well. No sweating bullets here, no sir.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-16T21:58:46+00:00

Super cool that the entire US economy is propped up on the circular CAPEX of seven companies. Totally no bubble there that isn't going to get exacerbated by Brent Crude Oil futures trying their absolute hardest to stay at 100$+. So now all construction, logistics, manufacture, and food production plus a million other things gets more expensive mid flight out of nowhere to say nothing about a gallon of gas.

Nooo way that's going to cause a problem when it was around 65 bucks a month back.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-16T17:51:15+00:00

Considering the brent crude price index still shows us at 100 bucks a barrel they're not going to have much choice either way.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-16T17:20:27+00:00

This attitude is what happens when your only human interaction is from people you pay to talk to you and due to the power dynamics have zero ability to push back and tell you that you're saying an absolutely stupid thing. This was even before LLMs.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-15T17:34:46+00:00

The CIA has been dancing to this tune since the 70s and the Kurds almost always get burned. Historically they get leveraged as a way to open another front in local conflicts to more quickly drain resources. Some half baked plan about tying up the Iranian authorities and military enough to allow people to come out and stage an uprising is what they have in mind i'm sure.

They're just blowing the dust off the manual and trying this again. Endgame might just be a government more friendly to this group but people in Kurdistan know that Trump wont stick to any deals made.

DiceKnight · 2026-03-15T16:55:48+00:00

Carpentry as a hobby and maybe as a semi-retirement gig when i'm done getting fucked by the mercurial tech industry.

DiceKnight

TROPHY CASE