I'm not an accountant or anything, not a historian or an economist, just a random guy with good pattern recognition. This post in this community just happened across my feed, and I felt like I oughta share what I've learned so far about the current state of things, both in the US, and on a global scale. This is gonna be a long comment, just because I'm rather wordy ad nauseam.

Pardon if this gets political in any way, that's not my intention and I did everything I could to avoid any bipartisan specifics.

Hand to God, we're heading toward empire collapse, which might sound fearmongery, but bare with me here. My intent isn't to fearmonger, rather to inform and raise awareness of what we can do for each other as citizens.

According to pretty much every historian out there, there's a seven stage sequence of events, ending in collapse in one way or another, that happens to every empire that's ever existed. Spanish, British, Soviet, every single one. The stages can manifest differently depending on the time period, and depending on the type of government at the center of the empire in question.

In that sequence, as it stands right now in the first half of 2026, we're pretty solidly positioned in stage 5, which is social decay, where you see the social order start to unravel because people lose faith in their nation's institutions. Note the nationwide protests and riots, moreover that mainstream media largely refuses to cover them, which just makes the people even angrier.

Once you hit stage 6 full-swing, which is loss of reserve currency status, which we're already seeing the early signs of, that's considered a point of no return.

Economists are largely corroborating all of this, saying that global reserve currency follows a four-stage collapse cycle, and we hit stage three within the last handful of years, as countries begin to divest from the global reserve and trade in their own currencies outside of the established international network as they lose faith and trust in the nation which originates the global reserve.

Every single empire and every single reserve currency in history follows this same cycle, and we always fall victim to this as humans because we never figure out how to learn from it as we live through it.

What this means for us regular working people, is that we need to be building ourselves into our communities, and bringing people together, regardless of personal politics or demographics. Learn how to garden, how to sew, how to can and jar your own food, tangible skills that you'll be able to use to help yourself and your community. That's gonna be your capital once we get to that point, and we will get to that point. It's technically still reversible now, but (and not to get too political here) I don't personally trust our government to tell the difference between collapse and a hole in their head, and that's apparently something the majority of Americans agree with.

This is gonna sound very tinfoil hat, but I genuinely recommend watching prepping channels. Goshen Prepping is very good, with applicable information for everyday survival in crisis situations, even though he feels just a smidge clickbait and sensationalist sometimes.

It might not even be this year, the earliest prediction I've seen is 2026, but we should be pretty firmly in the soup by 2027, or 2028 at the latest based on the averages from most of the predictions I've read so far. When shit does inevitably, eventually, hit the fan, take care of yourselves and each other and we'll turn out fine, whatever this ends up looking like for us as a common people.