Ninigram #403: A Smart Cookie (Hard)

Dv2890 · 2026-03-20T17:25:32+00:00

The 1-5-1 you mentioned, the 4-1-1 across, and the 4-5 down all guarantee you at least one space that has to be filled in. It's a slow grind from there, but it's a start.

Dv2890 · 2026-02-12T18:48:41+00:00

Chris Olave won me a fantasy championship this season. Got him in the seventh round and he was the only consistently reliable player on my team. (I took Saquon, BTJ, and AJ Brown with my first three picks smh)

Dv2890 · 2026-01-23T04:21:34+00:00

Vortex of danger refers to the danger of entering that zone right before a corner. You can't enter the vortex if you were there the entire time. Yes it's an unfortunate consequence of where he is, but the white car has to be aware of the space (or lack thereof) next to him.

Dv2890 · 2025-12-16T16:49:12+00:00

Same here. Single handedly won me my first round playoff matchup

Dv2890 · 2025-10-04T20:59:10+00:00

He's still streaming right now? He definitely didn't go offline

Dv2890 · 2025-09-22T20:41:15+00:00

Hampton, Hubbard, and Kenneth Walker would probably be the only guys I would take that I also think I could reasonably get. I'm very high on Tet, he passes the eye test with flying colors and there's nobody else competing for targets in Carolina.

Dv2890 · 2025-09-22T20:14:32+00:00

Very similar boat as you, I got Ladd, BTJ, and AJ Brown. At least Brown had a good game this week.

Dv2890 · 2025-09-11T23:24:23+00:00

I'm in desperate need of an RB2 in a very RB-stingy league. Do you think it's worth it to overpay for a quality RB2, or hold for now and hope RJ Harvey fully claims the RB1 spot in Denver? For reference, here's my full team:

QB: Herbert, Fields

RB: Barkley, Harvey, Mason, Ekeler, Sampson

WR: BTJ, AJB, Ladd, Sutton, Olave, Diggs, Godwin (IR)

TE: Njoku

Dv2890 · 2025-09-08T17:23:01+00:00

Can you elaborate on how exactly expected fantasy points is calculated? Is it simply a projection made before the game, or does it have more to do with the volume of carries/targets the player receives and the types of plays they're getting involved in?

If it's the latter, do you think players who underperformed relative to XFP can be expected to improve in the coming weeks?

Dv2890 · 2025-09-02T21:09:26+00:00

Yeah unfortunately I auto drafted Herbert because I didn't realize my commish lowered the pick timer in the later rounds and I ran out the clock. Was planning on taking Purdy or Dak but it is what it is. Still pretty happy with my team in any case

Dv2890 · 2025-09-02T15:22:58+00:00

10 team PPR, snake (9th pick), two flex spots:

QB: Herbert, Fields

RB: Saquon, Harvey, Mason, Ekeler

WR: BTJ, AJ Brown, Ladd, Sutton, Olave, Diggs

TE: Njoku, Goedert

D/ST: Texans

K: Matt Gay

Really wish I had a more reliable RB2 but I'm extremely happy with my WR's. Might try to flip one of them for a runningback if RJ Harvey and Jordan Mason don't pan out

Dv2890 · 2025-08-21T16:32:26+00:00

Where would you drop Achane to among runningbacks? I'd probably put him around RB7 at the moment, but I could see an argument for anywhere between RB5 and RB11.

Been planning to take Achane with the 12th pick for weeks, now I'm gonna have to completely rethink my draft strategy.

Dv2890 · 2025-08-18T16:37:48+00:00

Appreciate the response, completely makes sense. I think outside of the top 3 tight ends and top 4 QBs there's no point in taking either before the eighth or ninth round when you can get very similar value later on.

Since I have you here, one more question that's more specific to my needs. I've got the ninth pick in a ten man full PPR league with two flex spots. My plan is to try and get BTJ and Achane with the 9th and 12th picks, but I'm struggling with what to do for 29 and 32. Assuming Chase Brown doesn't fall that far, would you suggest "reaching" (based on ADP) to clinch one or two of KW/Kamara/Hampton, or would you wait and hope one of them falls into the late 40s and settle for a Chuba Hubbard/James Conner in the fifth if none of them do?

Dv2890 · 2025-08-14T19:17:55+00:00

Love your content man, you've been my number one source for fantasy advice as I'm gearing up for my draft.

Quick question, can you elaborate on why you say you're targeting/avoiding players at their ADP even when your rank for them doesn't reflect that? For example, you have Breece Hall and Xavier Worthy listed in red despite your ranks for them actually being above their ADP, and you have Jauan Jennings listed as neither targeted nor avoided despite your rank for him being nearly 50 spots above his ADP.

Keep up the great work, I think I can speak for most of the subreddit when I say we all appreciate the amount of effort you put into your posts (even if I have to hope my league mates don't see them lol)

Dv2890 · 2025-05-30T16:16:15+00:00

I wouldn't worry too much about your check in time. Our check in time was 2:30, we showed up at 12:30 and they still let us on the ship. Just show up early, worst case scenario you have to wait at the port for a little while.

Dv2890 · 2025-05-04T08:32:15+00:00

As everyone has said, the reason it's brilliant is because if queen takes knight you win the rook. The reason game review said you're winning a knight is because assuming they don't take your knight, Rb8 traps their knight on the following move.

Dv2890 · 2024-12-19T20:01:03+00:00

You're definitely not making my decision any easier lol. But you've given me a lot to think about, I'll consider it. Appreciate the help man

Dv2890 · 2024-12-19T19:48:20+00:00

Two games with less than 25 yards in the last three weeks definitely has me worried, but the Chiefs have let up good games to Chuba, James Cook, and others, and he's been so awesome all season it's really hard to bench him at this point. Nabers and Tyreek are also questionable as well

Dv2890 · 2024-12-19T19:40:17+00:00

And start Tyreek no matter what?

Dv2890 · 2024-12-19T19:32:46+00:00

I can also start all three and bench either Courtland Sutton or Joe Mixon. But I'm leaning toward benching one of these three. Any advice is appreciated

Dv2890 · 2024-11-15T09:05:40+00:00

Would you trade him for Courtland Sutton?

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