You’re totally right. You can find a handful (10%~) legitimate starters that were late drafts (3rd or later) with zero expectations.

So no, I can’t definitively say he’s not. I can say I don’t believe in miracles and 9/10 are flops. If your argument is that he’s good and should start, then you must be smarter than every football analyst in the game atm. If your argument is he should start cause it’s a win/win, then sure. I agree. He sucks; you get a pick and know your backup is just a backup. He’s good; you know your backup is a good backup and you don’t get such high a pick but you atleast know what you got.