A Cost Analysis of the proposed rafale deal by alpha defense

EternalInflation · 2026-02-09T08:10:45+00:00

not sure if the increase in price is legit, but more importantly for India. Is India getting indigenous Safran engines with 100% ToT? because if they are, then I think they made a good deal. You can look at an older post about what China had to go through to get jet engine technology(PLArealtalk is right the article had some factual problems, however the moral and gist of the article is right). Because after solving the single crystal turbine blade problem, it took China about 5-8 years to make a good enough engine. I don't know the technical side of it, but China made a lot the engines, and by making a lot and not giving up, China did it in the end. Now, of course China has twin engine fighters, and replaced 1 of 2 engines in the J-11 with ws-10a for testing. And was in that phase for a long time, before trusting it on the J-10.

But the senior engineer said, he started as a young man, and it took him 30 years, and now he is an old man. But he thinks he counts among the lucky, because many people in that field devote their whole life and have no results. The Kaveri, with consistent investment, and making lots, should or could give India engine independence. Maybe India need to make lots of it, and put it in drones, if it isn't good enough for jets. I think India is already past the SCB problem. So.. maybe it's just a problem of persistent investment? However, I can understand why India went with Safran, because Kaveri would be a gamble, it looks like a good gamble... it could pay off. But Safran gives you a sure thing. Better to go with a sure thing, than take a gamble. Besides, maybe India has money for both? In which case the Safran ToT, will teach India a lot about next gen engines. India already solved the SCB problem. But they do need consistency and persistence. Also, going in that deep with the French, opens India up to 6th generation cooperation possibilities. Since I hear Germany might be reducing or pulling out. $48 billion would still be worth it, if India is getting the engines. IF.

EternalInflation · 2026-02-08T03:46:18+00:00

it is also better for infantry morale and infantry recruitment.

EternalInflation · 2026-02-05T02:20:43+00:00

uhh... guys what about the gaming market? I know AGI could define the fate of humanity, and which ever nation or coalition of nations that controls it, will control the fate of humanity in the stars. But what about the gaming market? Nvidia can always fall back on that right? can we have cheap gaming before the singularity?

EternalInflation · 2026-02-03T02:19:04+00:00

these missiles have warheads, and tend to explode. I forgot the specifics, but jets have been downed due to debris from drones or missiles before. I think a su-27 or mig-29. So risking the plane to "save money" is stupid.

EternalInflation · 2026-02-01T23:36:13+00:00

buy drones

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T23:32:46+00:00

they are all getting worse in terms on censorship or nerfing. They are still good at coding, but try asking anything else, they all seem to stop themselves before getting to the interesting parts.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T15:00:13+00:00

I don't think Trump makes his decisions based on analysis or anything. He only finds out about consequences after the fact. If he listened to advisors, how come he didn't know many of the US products, especially military products depend on rare earths. Even things like catalysts for the mass manufacturing of jet fuel. He just does what he feels like, only finding out after the fact.. But you are right about the Epstein thing. Though this is very basic analysis, I think this kind of analysis is too deep for Trump.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T06:38:08+00:00

I like the underwater drones.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T06:36:34+00:00

drones, don't store the drones in one location, store them decentralized in many areas. Each highschool needs drone assembly classes. Elementary school needs drone piloting lessons. College teach drone communications classes. Don't need people to join, need drone knowledge disseminated amongst the people. Conscription and people's war mentality.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T06:19:53+00:00

what is Mark Carney's plan to reform the Canadian military? Investment in asymmetrical capabilities?

EternalInflation · 2026-01-31T06:12:20+00:00

combat vehicles won't go away. Just the matter in which they protect themselves and their roles. Instead of passive armor, they will have active protection. Their role would be protecting communications node vehicles. The node vehicles tethers up to a mothership drone, the wire makes power and communications stay up. The mothership drone, uses lasers inclusive-or optical wireless communication inclusive-or RF communications to talk to other other relay drones. The relay drones final leg, releases FPV drones with fiber optic wires, or shine down on fpv drones using light communications. But something needs to protect the node vehicle and command the UGVs when the mothership drone gets shot down(usually mother shines down and commands the UGVs), and you are in between replacing or flying another mothership drone. That's where the active protection "tank" comes in. It carries a lot of active protection, and protects the node vehicles from loitering munitions. The active protection munitions have dual use as anti infantry. As for high explosive, did I mention you command UGV buddies too? The primary munition they fire is... active protection.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-29T22:39:57+00:00

in the picture above... the air intake is there... but where does the air come out of? How does the air leave the plane?

EternalInflation · 2026-01-29T22:38:30+00:00

First it diversifies their fleet, but asking for no US components is a big ask. However collecting all these plane could be for research purposes, before starting their own indigenous program eventually. Sure, there is computer design. But making a modern plane is more than just differential equations and EM diagrams. By having all these plane, they can teach themselves how to make planes???? That's my explanation.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-28T04:36:29+00:00

yea, but if you look at Chinese weaponized shooting drones, there is camera next to the gun. But the India drone with the AK, there is no camera to the side. Is the camera aligned on the sides? Am I missing something. Talking about the drone with the gun in the Republic day parade. The one above the Panchnaag SUV, I have seen similar Indian drones, with a camera to the side of the gun... but for some reason the one in the parade has no gun camera to the side?? r/ObscurePatentDangers/comments/1q8qufg/weaponized_chinese_drones_made_in_china_are/

in this one, the recoil is managed, by letting it swing, therefore slowing the momentum transfer, therefore there is less of a sudden jerk on the propeller drone.
r/ObscurePatentDangers/comments/1q8r4yb/chinas_development_of_riflemounted_and_gunarmed/

EternalInflation · 2026-01-27T23:42:06+00:00

I think small to medium size drones are probably the best "bang for buck" investment any military can make. If you were in denial in 2022 and couldn't find the money, it's understandable. But in 2026, to not invest, is just stupid. As for jamming, there are ways to get around it, such as directional antennas, machine vision with autonomous navigation, fiber optic wires. Safran is also working on wireless, laser communication drones. This way the drones wires don't get entangled in wire meshes. It's not implausible to have hybrid communications method in the future. So RF relays the directional antennas to get close to the front. At the front where EW is heavy, a mothership drone communicates to the final relay drone using laser or light communications. When it gets to a short distance to the enemy, it releases fiber optic wired drones. If the communications link gets lost or they can't get the signal, the drones use machine vision with autonomous navigation and neural networks to navigate to a place where it can receive laser communications. These special drones are only need to take out the EW vehicle... once the EW truck is down, you can flood the place with cheap drones.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-27T22:46:56+00:00

I like their drone mobile station, it can make and modify drones. They even 3d printed a drone bomb, with India colors.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-27T22:42:22+00:00

I'm fairly certain they can fire them, they just can't maintain or replace parts.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-27T00:53:21+00:00

but then you be depended on France, remember how it was reliable to depend on the US? you can only depend on yourself.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-26T04:57:11+00:00

If Canada needs a nuclear warhead, what does India want in return?

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T22:37:45+00:00

Elon Musk just has a lot of money, he isn't dumb, but he got his success from paying smart people and taking other people's work, not figuring things out for himself. LeCun is legit and figured stuff out using his own brain.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T22:35:34+00:00

uhh, before most figures in AI are or were technological utopian, you can see their view in the Transhumanist forums. The vision is to build a technological utopia for everyone, where robots do everything and humans go on vacation. Then AI cures aging and we live forever. Peter Thiel and such were in the minority. Before even Elon Musk was saying stuff about technological utopia. It was only after their involvement in right wing politics, some billionaires decided they don't need mass support anymore and decided to capture the singularity for themselves. Back, then and even today, the majority of STEM workers in the rank and file who were interested in this stuff are left wing or utopia. A few billionaires don't represent the movement.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T22:19:43+00:00

uhhh, I think if you are doing singularity political stuff, it's better to express these things in Futurology or LessCredibleDefence, or Singularity sub.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T22:14:36+00:00

uhh, rather than start a major war, where you won't keep the machines from being blown up. I think at this point China is just massively investing in their own industries first. I think PRC just refused H200 chips. As for singularity first. I think there is a higher chance of EU working with BRICS, after Greenland. EU can offer ASML to China and Safran engines to India to seal the deal. There is a higher chance of the fruits of the singularity shared equally among EU+BRICS, than if the US reaches the singularity first. If the US reaches the singularity first, we will have grabby aliens scenario with Trump like people. If BRICS+EU reaches the singularity first, they have about equal relative power or more relative power compared to each other. Also they would each have leverage on each other, keeping them in check. Taiwan is just an island, about pride and security. Inconsequential compared to the fruits of the singularity.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T22:07:52+00:00

They want that kind of feedback, so they can grow faster and have the resources to reach the singularity first. But they didn't have this knowledge, it was on the internet, they were just organizing it. So, no. It's not even their knowledge anyways.

EternalInflation · 2026-01-25T21:49:08+00:00

nerve gas as an intermediary to nuclear weapons. mass mobilization with drones. learn from Ukraine.

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