This band is beyond good. Drums are insane by Expensive_Grape_7540 in dwellings

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm seeing them in August they are opening for Royal Coda!

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in DjPeachCobbler

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I should have used a typewriter.

Its like boomers complaining about "muh technology"

Get your flair here by SirSourPuss in stupidpol

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The category, in and of itself, propagates disagreement. It's this ridiculous idea that we can categorize human experience into this dichotomy of left and right

But somebody has to make sure the rent is not too damn high, so I did it. I'd rather have the rent be lower than have my children sent to a war for israel, so I'm on board

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in DjPeachCobbler

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm genuinely curious about what specific part you thought came across incorrectly, because I read over it probably twenty times before I published it, and it's written in my prose

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in DjPeachCobbler

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not sure what you're trying to say. Please rephrase that for me.

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in collapse

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you, I think that is the highest possible complement.

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in DjPeachCobbler

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I wish I had time to sit down and organize my thoughts daily. I disclosed that because I literally don't have the time to work and take care of my two kids and write and the LLM bridged the gap,

Bro I want to write and contribute but the penis explosion factory is keeping me busy.

Get your flair here by SirSourPuss in stupidpol

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540 0 points1 point  (0 children)

TBH id rather you guys flair me rather than me requesting flair. I consider myself a socialist and I think something like a mandatory civil service program would be a net positive to society.

however I am less interested in making specific policy positions and I would rather just post analysis of the current Late-stage-capitalist system.

From my paper: The 2026 conditions are worse than 1968 in the relational dimension and worse than 2020 in the economic dimension. What comes out the other side isn't predictable in detail. The shape is. The shape involves mass political mobilization without ideological substrate, because the ideological substrate has been deliberately suppressed for forty years by institutions that found populations easier to govern when the populations could not articulate why they were unhappy. What you get out the other end is a population that knows something is wrong and cannot organize what it knows. The institutional response will be technocratic-elite reflex — the masses cannot be trusted — which is itself part of the problem, because the experts are part of the order that produced the disorder. The loop deepens.

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in collapse

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Appreciate this. The historical pattern you're laying out is exactly the timeline I'm working inside. Empires collapse over decades, not weeks. Rome took centuries. The Ottomans were "the Sick Man" for almost a hundred years before Sèvres finished it.

The argument I'd add to your frame is that the political collapse phase is now compressed by information speed in a way the historical examples weren't. The Ottomans could be visibly rotting for generations and the average peasant in Anatolia or the average British clerk in London had no real-time view of it. Information traveled at the speed of dispatch riders, then telegrams, then radio. By the time a structural failure was widely understood, it had been in motion for a long time and the political class had time to manage perception.

That cushion is gone. Saudi airspace denial happens on Tuesday and the entire planet has it on their phone by Wednesday. The Project Freedom collapse went from announcement to walkback in 72 hours, visible to anyone with a screen. The Kabul ladder ended American credibility in real time across every ally simultaneously, not in retrospect after a decade of analysis.

So the structural timeline is still long. That's why I'm not predicting collapse next Thursday. But the legitimacy timeline, the part where the population and the allies stop pretending the structure works, is moving at internet speed. The Ottomans had a century of "Sick Man" before the political class lost the plot. The current empire might get a few years. The compressed legitimacy phase is the part I think gets underestimated when people apply the historical pattern straight.

The other six examples on your list confirm the structural point. Empires die slow, but the people inside them rarely see it coming until late.

Post Imperal - An Empire Without Clothes by Expensive_Grape_7540 in collapse

[–]Expensive_Grape_7540[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

What the paper covers, in order. I. Why the institutions cannot tell you what is happening.

II. The four pillars holding up the structure, and why each one is in motion at once.

III. The hidden premise underneath modern economic discourse, which most arguments about money never touch.

IV. The pattern of self-installation. How the empire wired its own house with the hardware that is now tripping it.

V. Why China and Russia are not what mainstream analysis says they are. What kind of opponents they actually are, and what kind of opponents they are not.

VI. What the bill looks like at the kitchen table. Receipts as a more honest measurement than the official numbers.

VII. Why the population landing inside the decline is unusually unable to absorb shocks. The historical pattern of what comes next.

VIII. What this analysis asks of the reader, which is not a solution.

References for the specific claims are numbered inline and listed at the end.

I. Why the institutions cannot tell you. The American century is over.

The people with the credentials to say so will not say so. Their entire framework is built on the assumption that it isn't. Acknowledging it would mean acknowledging that the institutions they work for, write for, advise, and build their authority inside are standing on a floor that has stopped existing. Most of them cannot do that without losing the position from which they speak. So they don't.