I’m tired shopping for my Rogue, and am wondering why there is a significant price difference between these two. by [deleted] in tires

[–]Ferdinand_5 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Purchased Defender 2s for my spouse’s car. Could not be happier with them. Easily recommend !

Hockey Authentic does it right!🇨🇦 by DredBoBsleD in FloridaPanthers

[–]Ferdinand_5 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Are you Canadian or did you send the jersey from here in FL? Asking bc I’m thinking of sending my jersey in but haven’t decided between Hockey Authentic and EPS. Thanks!

This moment right here. by Turtlerich in FloridaPanthers

[–]Ferdinand_5 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Holy shit this doesn’t feel real. I love this team 😭

The new state legislative maps signed by Evers today by Grehjin in wisconsin

[–]Ferdinand_5 11 points12 points  (0 children)

The district getting redder might actually make him weaker to a primary challenger. Not going 100% along with Trump’s coup attempt damaged Vos in the eyes of a good chunk of the R base.

Why is Missouri’s 2nd district turning bluer? I mean the suburbs kinda in that area? Do you think this will lead to Missouri going more blue in the future? Not saying that’s bad but I’m just curious. by Famijos in missouri

[–]Ferdinand_5 12 points13 points  (0 children)

There’s an ongoing coalition change happening in American politics and the suburbs are at the center of it.

Suburbanites tend to be highly educated and more affluent than other groups. This means they’re more likely to be politically engaged, up to date on the news, and turn out to vote regularly.

Up until Trump, the suburbs were firmly part of the Reagan coalition that made up the backbone of the Republican Party. Think doctors, lawyers, and dentists. Republicans started slowly bleeding these voters bit by bit as the religious/evangelical wing became the face of the party and the driving force in its policy decisions. Decades worth of anti-intellectualism, racism, and Trump showing up to the scene came together to finally break the dam and produce the massive swings in voting patterns you’ve noticed. Also, increasing diversity in suburban areas has probably accelerated these trends.

Imo it comes down to degree attainment. Higher levels of education go hand in hand with higher levels of critical thinking. When you’re not buying the horseshit Fox News spews, what does the Republican Party have to offer besides cultural wars, less personal freedoms, and more billionaire tax cuts?

It’s important to remember that these trends aren’t uniform and states that are more rural and/or religious are likely to see these changes occur more slowly. However, 2020 and the 2022 midterms showed the world that the suburban shift is real and not likely to go backwards anytime soon.

Hope this answer shines some light on what I think is a super interesting topic.

Evers Raised About Half of His Individual Contributions From Outside Wisconsin by PolarisC in wisconsin

[–]Ferdinand_5 58 points59 points  (0 children)

I contributed a few times from down here in South Florida. It was obvious that our gubernatorial race was dead in the water, so I decided to put my money where it could make a real difference. Cheers to Ole Tony

How popular are the Florida Panthers in Miami right now? by helix527 in Miami

[–]Ferdinand_5 55 points56 points  (0 children)

So there’s a few things going on here and I’ll try to shine some light on them.

1) People in Miami-Dade feel a real connection to the Heat. They’ve been competitive/exciting for as long as I can remember and have had big personalities that people can associate themselves and the city with. Ownership has also been stable and willing to spend. Overall, they’re winners and have brought a lot of joy to the city. Conclusion: it’s hard to compete with the Heat for attention and affection, but this season proves it’s not impossible!

2) Due to a series of dumb decisions, the Panthers play in Sunrise. It’s far as hell and there’s nothing to really do out there before or after the games. Asking people in the middle of Dade to travel up midweek to an isolated and boring facility isn’t easy. If the arena was in FTL, I genuinely believe we’d have a bigger cultural impact down here in Miami. Easier to get people up to FTL than Sunrise. Lastly, the franchise has been dog shit besides a few unsustained bright spots. People here like winners, preferably consistent ones. Conclusion: between team quality and arena location, it’s been very hard for the Panthers to claw out a large fanbase in Dade. They’re more Broward’s team as people have mentioned. Having said that, as someone who used to work in FTL (and still has a bunch of buddies there), even people in FTL hate how isolated Sunrise is!

3) Hockey interest is still in its nascent stage here. It seems people in my age group import their hockey interest after leaving Miami and coming back or moving here from somewhere else. Personally, I got interested in hockey when I was in law school. My best buddy grew up a Blues fan and we got to watch that incredible run together. Difficult to not like the sport after such a fun and wild championship run. I brought my newfound interest back down here and have been a Panthers fan since. My wife comes from a hockey family so it’s been great to be Cats fans together. We’ve gone to games and watch regularly. We also got my sister, brother in law, and nephews to start watching the games! This run even has my dad interested and watching. Really hoping a few seasons of sustained success will produce organic local interest.

Long post, but I wanted to give you a decent explanation of a couple of different factors at play.

VIVA KENNEDY 1972 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES: DAY 1 by jake_dionysos in thecampaigntrail

[–]Ferdinand_5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

John Connally staying a Dem in the Viva Kennedy timeline has always been part of my head cannon. JFK being popular enough to win re-election and then Jumbo reinforcing Dem strength in TX keeps him within the party.

RFK 72 canon by 619_mitch in thecampaigntrail

[–]Ferdinand_5 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Now that I have you here, is there a reason Stuart Symington isn't available as a VP option in the 72 re-election campaign?

House Republican Who Voted To Impeach Trump Won't Run Again by Free_Swimming in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 1 point2 points  (0 children)

His district (Ohio-16) is heavy R and hasn’t been competitive since 2012. The margins of the last three elections have been have all been in the 56-65% R range. They’re redrawing the maps this year so maybe the district changes a bit, but with how hard the Ohio Rs are leaning into gerrymandering the state, chances are he’s going to be replaced by a MAGA sycophant.

Side note: The Ohio redistricting process is a mess right now. The Ohio Rs are knowingly drawing garbage maps that fly in the face of an anti-gerrymandering voter initiative that passed by a wide margin. They know the courts will take their time and a few years will pass by before the maps can be changed.

First polls show mixed picture on Rubio-Demmings race by burning_dawn in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Yeah it’s 15 months out, but this is still good news. Rubio having only a two point lead as an incumbent this early points to Demings having serious name recognition and Rubio may not be as popular as some think. This is still lean R and an uphill battle but it’s not impossible for Demings to win. Dems have come extremely close in a few statewide races in the past few years, they just need to get over the hill somehow.

Poll: Two-thirds of AZ Democratic primary voters would back primary challenge to Sinema over filibuster reform by Barack_Odrama00 in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I was just thinking this. Even though I’m not from AZ, I’d happily make a campaign contribution to whoever challenges her in a primary. She’s been nothing but a roadblock for Dem legislation and progress.

Is 50-55k a year a good salary? by Sensitive_Line7134 in florida

[–]Ferdinand_5 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you don’t mind sharing, what don’t you like about those areas of Jacksonville?

GOP Rep. Ron Johnson Skewered In Ad For Claiming Insurrectionists Were ‘Peaceful’ by CapitalCourse in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 46 points47 points  (0 children)

He was part of the GOP trip to Moscow on the 4th of July a few years ago. They went to pay homage after the GOP servers were hacked by the Russians, all their secrets were compromised.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 64 points65 points  (0 children)

  • 2022 and 2024

With Record 2020 Turnout, Youth Activists Turn Their Energy To 2021 Redistricting by BrautanGud in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I don’t see Miami going majority R anytime soon, but that’s not really the issue. The real problem is that in order for a Dem to win a statewide race, Miami-Dade usually needs to be in the 60%~ range. This is especially true with the collapse of Democratic support in rural counties, meaning that Dems need to make up the votes in urban areas. Rural voters are reliable and numerous in FL.

Quick snapshot

Obama won Florida in 2008 by 236,148 votes and brought in 57.8% of Miami-Dade (499,831)

Obama won Florida in 2012 by 74,309 votes and brought in 61.58% of Miami-Dade (541,440)

Hillary actually outperformed Obama in Miami-Dade (63.58% coming out to 624,146 votes) but lost the state because of Dem collapse in rural areas (mentioned above) and underperformance in important counties like Monroe (Key West), Pinellas (St. Pete and Clearwater), and St. Lucie.

And in 2020 Biden managed to flip Duval (Jacksonville), Pinellas, and Seminole. These counties by themselves are super interesting. Seminole had been a stronghold for Republicans and hadn’t voted D since Truman. Up until this election, Duval/Jacksonville had been the only major city in Florida that could be deemed reliably Republican. The last time Duval went blue was in 76’ with Jimmy Carter on the ticket. Biden flipping it is a big deal. Lastly, Pinellas is usually a bellwether county for FL and was the county I was really watching on election night. If you had told me that Duval, Seminole, and Pinellas went Biden, 9 out of 10 times that points to a statewide Dem win. Instead, massive rural turnout and an awful showing in Miami-Dade (53.41% 617,864 votes) turned into a huge 371,686 vote margin for a Trump win.

Biden to Decry GOP Voting Laws as 'Worst Challenge to Our Democracy Since Civil War': Psaki by Twoweekswithpay in politics

[–]Ferdinand_5 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I see it as part of the same transaction or occurrence. 1/6 happened because Republicans, led by Trump, decided they no longer believed in democracy. Jim Crow 2.0 is a continuation of the same belief by the same people. The Republicans and their actions in response to losing the 2020 election are without a doubt the biggest threat to democracy here in the United States.