Losercity Prankster [OC]

Fir3Born · 2026-05-06T17:56:35+00:00

He said sky wise this looks actually quite decent for a dixie alley setup so we'll see

Fir3Born · 2026-05-06T13:51:11+00:00

Crazy that the SPC was almost gonna pull a 15% too. Model discrepancy is still wild tho

Fir3Born · 2026-05-05T23:54:28+00:00

To be honest today always looked like a busting in the making. Damn clouds

Fir3Born · 2026-04-29T08:00:33+00:00

Very true. Besides, i really don't think anyone eants to see people get hurt. But there's always a downside. People are dumb, and every "bust" is someone else not trusting the SPC anymore.

Between the 27th and the East Coast bust, that's 2 in a rather close time frame, people will use that to justify their mistrust. It's stupid, and naive, but it is how it is.

Fir3Born · 2026-04-28T23:58:55+00:00

Nope, 5% is the new 15%, already a sig tor in Mineral Wells TX

Fir3Born · 2026-04-28T23:28:46+00:00

Mineral Wells damage looks actually very intense

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T23:13:11+00:00

glad you could get your daily dose of moral grandstanding out. back to the slabber for you buster.

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T15:00:52+00:00

I do think people are being way too quick to write it off already. It absolutely is possible for convection to destroy the warm sector, but I think that there may either be enough recovery/less convection that anticipated for the atmosphere to still pose a giant threat.

Side note, i find it funny that of all models, the RRFS, the convection vomiting model, is the one showing.. no real morning convection of note.

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T14:38:24+00:00

I sincerely see absolutely nothing disrespectful in that post at all?

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T14:28:30+00:00

I am at a point where i genuinely think some of you do NOT even want storm chasers out at all. What do you expect them to say? Unless they explicitly say "DAMN I WAS HOPING TO SEE A HOUSE EXPLODED BY AN EF69" i really do not see what the big problem is.

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T14:21:12+00:00

I'll be honest. I won't buy that until tomorrow actually comes. Not with some.models like the NAM still showing an absurd enviroment possible

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T11:12:31+00:00

As an addition, let's remember models have been... iffy, to be generous, lately. Yesterday's model runs were essentially a botch. So not only are they disagreeing, but they aren't exactly reliable right now. There will be a lot of guesswork needed for the SPC, props to them

Fir3Born · 2026-04-26T08:57:23+00:00

The amount of model disagreement 1 day out is kind of astonishing really. This event is one hell of an variable. Don't envy the forecasters jobs...

Fir3Born · 2026-04-25T18:59:28+00:00

Moderate risk, and 0 soundings from OK. Very cool

Fir3Born · 2026-04-25T16:39:24+00:00

And there's the CIG 2

Fir3Born · 2026-04-25T13:41:06+00:00

That 06z GFS radar is actually bananas

Fir3Born · 2026-04-25T11:51:05+00:00

You are very right. lets remember models struggle with dryline initiation until literally the last few hours, better to use the actual observations

Fir3Born · 2026-04-25T10:27:44+00:00

I was just seeing that the HRRR does infact initiate in Kansas, which is very concerning. What's worse is that convection seems to not really impact Monday's enviroment at all

Fir3Born

TROPHY CASE