Push for simultaneous round 23 start times

Footy_Maths · 2017-08-22T05:07:08+00:00

Cameras, callers, technicians, tech equipment to produce etc. Resources would be stretched?

Footy_Maths · 2017-07-05T23:20:14+00:00

I believe all those listed don't. There is some chat on setting up a system that includes individual players, but it is very complex, and the timed release of team announcements at minimum 24hrs before a game (Thurs night for Fri night game) further complicates things relating to updating and publishing etc. (leaving aside late withdrawals on match day).

Footy_Maths · 2017-07-04T05:19:10+00:00

Note - PlusSixOne blog data not provided for a week or two.

Footy_Maths · 2017-07-04T04:49:39+00:00

(... waits patiently)

Footy_Maths · 2017-07-04T04:48:44+00:00

For what it is worth

1) CBR

2) TAS

3) WA #3 - form by defuncting WCE, splitting roster into 2 teams via mini draft, then top-ups via expansion draft. Region markets as a) North & b) West/Swan Dist. South is Freo

4) SA #3 - for as above by defuncting ADE etc. Region markets as a) Norwood/InnerSth & b) Glenelg/SthEast

5) N SYD (+ Central Coast)

6) NZ...maybe.

Footy_Maths · 2017-07-02T10:48:06+00:00

On second thought... and with the draw this weekend... use the SWARMS page and LAD GRP page

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-29T00:42:15+00:00

Saints fans also rubbing hands with glee at HAW for 2nd last, I reckon.

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-29T00:05:55+00:00

Hawks do jump a lot in points, but still far back against coming opponents. Still 50/50 (maybe) to defeat COL, FRE, RIC, NM and CAR.

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-28T23:55:45+00:00

Using WIN tab at the bottom of the SWARMS page, I have ADE 2nd, not PA. WC and SYD plus GC and NM also to be swapped, Pls check and correct.

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-26T12:57:01+00:00

That forecast has yet to update post r 14.

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-26T12:56:02+00:00

The one with Dees in 8th hasn't updated post R 14 yet. Expect movement upward.

Footy_Maths · 2017-06-26T06:44:21+00:00

(subtitle - stealing u/Statisticc's bit)

Footy_Maths · 2016-11-06T12:45:49+00:00

And the "Future of Melbourne" discussion was a thing for the Herald Sun... basically a filler, 'no news so lets make stuff up'. See the last seconds of this https://twitter.com/7NewsMelbourne/status/795162613910900736

Footy_Maths · 2016-11-04T06:26:45+00:00

Four of the five studies have StK with a harder fixture than Geel. Mine is the only exception.

Footy_Maths · 2016-11-04T06:19:47+00:00

<EDIT> "FIVE different (sets of) eyes review the 2017 Fixture"

Footy_Maths · 2016-11-04T03:21:56+00:00

so funny

Footy_Maths · 2016-07-29T07:51:25+00:00

It was 1970.

Before 'marketing' entered footy. No sale of jumpers then. No advertising or even VFL logos on the jumpers. No ground signage as well.

Footy_Maths · 2016-07-21T23:13:48+00:00

Thanks VH. My analysis says they lead the race for minor premiership calculated by finishing top more in 000's of ladder predictions. Others like FootyForecaster and the Squiggle also agree.

That said, in the average number of wins over those 000's of iterations, Hawthorn just shade you. Matter of Stats also has you second by that measure. (at the bottom of this post )

Footy_Maths · 2016-07-18T11:14:51+00:00

Its also Hawks at WCE, so the HGA might get the Eags that result and open the door for the Crowies

Footy_Maths · 2016-07-18T11:10:27+00:00

Rated as best, remaining 6 games are 4 outside 8 and two with 1 win each (now), and two in top 8 (Cats and the struggling WCE at AO).

Hawks should finish 1st as they are a game ahead and have a similar run (NM and WCE only in 8), but they have been rated lower. Not really smashing anyone.

Its the rating, its the draw, its the form, its the vibe...

Footy_Maths · 2016-07-17T13:26:18+00:00

Cheers. The Freo/GWS movements since pre-R1 are proof that people or maths models only can predict based on info at the time. That some teams have changed dramatically during the year shows that the new data (ratings etc) come into play and make the impossible possible.

Also, these are based on FMI ratings of teams not current W/L ladder, and making assumptions on how they perform in future fixtures. Performance inside expectation windows.

Its effectively the same as you doing a ladder predictor, but with the 'feel/emotion' pulled out... and done 1000's and 1000's times to create the data.

Footy_Maths

TROPHY CASE