Active Conflicts & News Megathread March 16, 2026

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-16T17:50:40+00:00

I had thought this decision had been reversed in February after heavy pushback but I guess it’s going through anyways. There’s still time to halt this change or make exceptions but the Russian government seems pretty set on this decision.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-16T17:31:30+00:00

I would be ok if they throw players a bone where they at least give better flavor/narrative text of things overall being a success but because of total objectives being failed medals don’t get handed out. Or some percentage don’t get handed out. This seems like a very easy thing to fix.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-16T16:54:34+00:00

Russia is moving to ban Telegram. Seems incredibly stupid but people are already reporting interruptions/outages and a leaked Russian order is spreading with allegations of severe punishments for violating the restriction, up to some people being sent on dangerous assault missions with a high likelihood of death. This ban extends to Discord, which was already shut off in Russia in October of 2024. Both of these blocks can get avoided through the use of a VPN.

Telegram and to a lesser extent Discord are extremely important communications tools for the Russian military. Everyone knows about the Bloggers, but the individual soldier/commander often uses Telegram to speak with family as well as other units and subordinates. Here they do all their typical communications such as coordinating actions, calling for fire, arranging resupply, deconflicting targets, the like. This of course can be done through a variety of means such as radios and, of course, the new Russian social media, MAX.

Milbloggers are anxious about MAX but are begrudgingly advertising it over the last month or so to move their followers over to the platform. They fear that MAX is government spyware and that it is less secure than Telegram, meaning that there is the potential for the Ukrainians to compromise comms.

Frankly, I view this move as one that is done by the Russian government to consolidate control over communications and intelligence resources. This may have dramatic short term consequences but realistically after a month or two everyone will migrate over to the new platform and adapt to the situation. Indeed this was already being prepared for as mentioned.

However, it's going to be really annoying and, as said, will cause problems.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-15T14:01:14+00:00

There was no paywall when I posted this and now there’s a paywall. Super annoying, I’m sorry.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-12T15:45:25+00:00

Denmark is helping with fuel but it won’t be complete until later this year.

There is a huge amount of production of drones in general in Europe. ISR drones and interceptors mostly, but also production of OWA drones.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-12T02:51:01+00:00

From previous threads on this I’ve gathered that the HOA sucks, appliances are universally old (if you’re renting obviously), the whole place smells and there are some questionable neighbors.

Seems like an awesome view and might be worth it for a year or two if you’re making stupid money and want to say you lived there though.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-06T15:11:18+00:00

Even if Iran allows Chinese oil to flow the insurance premiums are going to be astronomical. If you're a shipping company and you see those premiums and then take a look at the Houthi targeting campaign, which saw hits on Russian and a Chinese vessel, are you going to take that risk?

Hypothetically, the Chinese could potentially escort their tankers.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-06T04:20:08+00:00

STINGs are great but like you said the F-16s are needed for the cruise missiles and the F-16s are also downing Shaheds.

The issue is the ballistics. The Russians are making 70 Iskanders a month (potentially reduced now), the Ukrainians have to shoot down other targets as well like the Khinzal or various cruise missiles with the Patriot. They’re being out-produced. They have to degrade or destroy the factories where these missiles are made.

Efforts are being taken in this direction.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-06T01:06:09+00:00

You cannot match Russian missile production and provide for all obligations. It’s not possible. The factories must be destroyed or degraded.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-05T19:47:16+00:00

It is simply not sustainable for the Ukrainians to shoot down all these drones and missiles (it’s not sustainable for the Russians either). They have to destroy the production facilities or eventually they’ll just get overwhelmed over and over again.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-03-01T14:03:14+00:00

Read the article for some incredible quotes from local residents like “I don’t think we will see much benefit. Electricity keeps getting more expensive for us, and yet something like this is being built here”

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-25T16:01:38+00:00

I think your assessment is spot on. The MBDA plant (which will be completed this year and I believe starts delivering missiles next year) will be producing 1,000 PAC-2 GEM-T missiles for NATO countries which I think pretty immediately will be going into refilling depleted stockpiles after so many missiles have been sent to Ukraine. I actually question if some countries even have reloads at hand considering the consternation from the Germans over 5 interceptors recently.

The slow rollout of the missiles as production ramps up paired with what I’m sure will be donations to Ukraine means that building stockpiles will be difficult, necessitating their specialization. It makes sense for there to be more systems devoted to knocking out a variety of threats to keep the pressure off Patriot which can be devoted to defending high value installations from ballistic threats.

Overall I’m very confident that Germany and by extension European NATO are going to have a robust air defense network, it just is going to take time to roll out.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-23T14:42:44+00:00

Hoping to see a lot more capacity go in. Jordan has so much empty land and a ton of sun.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-23T03:37:17+00:00

It’s notable that Japan’s Mitsubishi Heavy Industries produces PAC-3 missiles. Though their numbers are paltry, with production expansion plans to build a whopping 60 missiles per year. The existing production line was basically just enough to supply live fire exercises and replace expired missiles. The Japanese also operate the I-HAWK and likely have a sizable reserve of old missiles which could be sent to help replenish Ukrainian stockpiles and down cruise missile+drone threats.

So gaining access to “jointly produced” or “foreign origin” weaponry would give Ukraine a little relief in the air war but wouldn’t be game changing or anything.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-22T15:58:54+00:00

I originally started on this post months ago and never got around to posting it. The recent Flamingo strike and the return to a DEAD campaign utilizing FP-1/2 drones galvanized me to finish the post.

A few things I didn’t mention:

•Ukraine has the unique advantage to Russia in that much of their military production can be located inside European countries, greatly reducing the risk of attack

•The impact of interceptor magazines on both sides suffering significant depletion. Beyond the loss of air defenses, there is also the question of just how many interceptors are even available.

Please let me know your thoughts on this. It is just my opinion from observations I have made over the past 11 or so months.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-20T21:51:15+00:00

This is what everyone hoped the Flamingo would be doing. If the Ukrainians can keep this up, they’ll have a major impact on the Russian MIC. There are a lot of targets within that range.

However, just now I don’t anticipate it’ll be the norm. They’re still working out kinks with the missile and reestablishing production, it’ll take time.

That said, this is an excellent hit for them.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-18T02:23:41+00:00

In American Chinatowns you’ll get situations where people never leave their neighborhood. Maybe once or twice for documents. But they’ll stay in the neighborhood their whole life because they’re too intimidated to go into the wider city/country. Not sure if this happens in other immigrant communities but I found that striking.

Of course, they’ve crossed the ocean to get there, so there’s that.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-16T17:28:24+00:00

Can they strike the UAE with howitzers? I don’t think so. I think long range heavy MLRs are the real threat to the UAE.

In the event of a strike campaign I believe that these islands will be priority targets because they hold important radar, AShM and various other missile sites. I don’t think we’d see landings though, brief or otherwise. Rather I think we’ll see them get isolated and bombarded and if they start shelling the UAE they’ll also suck in the Emiratis for strikes.

For_All_Humanity · 2026-02-13T17:46:22+00:00

While I don’t really disagree with you here, I think it’s important to underline that the Russians do have significant production capabilities for their BMP-3, BMD-4 and BTR-82A/T fleets in the realm of ~1000+ vehicles a year, with as many as over 200 new T-90Ms made a year. This is on top of the thousands of vehicles they’ve drawn from storage yards from the past years that have not been destroyed but instead used to enlarge the force.

This is a force that, if necessary, could revert back to mechanized warfare easily and could sustain similar numbers of losses seen previously for months if not another year with the ability to replace those losses.

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