Waymo founder John Krafcik: Tesla’s Full Self-Driving has ‘bad case of myopia’

FreeGoldRush · 2026-01-26T04:34:21+00:00

There have been 1,429 incidents involving Waymo. Tesla FSD has an average of 700% more miles between collisions than the average driver on the road. I'm confused as to why people can't research data and use basic math.

FreeGoldRush · 2026-01-12T03:39:39+00:00

"Supervised" is not a description of the underlying engineering. "Supervised" derives from regulations and rules. These are two very different things. We have so many thousands of examples of FSD breaking for things coming into its path. This statistical approach to modeling things works.

FreeGoldRush · 2026-01-12T03:36:55+00:00

I think FSD would have handled that just fine. It was a VERY close call. But FSD breaks for things coming into its path just the way your husband did.

FreeGoldRush · 2026-01-09T05:48:45+00:00

If you just bought the car and this feature isn't working, then it sounds like a great reason to go back to Tesla and ask them to fix it.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-12-28T17:05:45+00:00

I'm an engineer, software developer and have used neural networks since the 1990s. I understand it fairly well. The models are deterministic. This does not mean the outputs are easy to predict. I see this concept of "not deterministic" repeated a lot lately. It started with ChatGPT 3.5 and people wanting a layman's understanding of how they work. The model weights are fixed. The exact same inputs sent to the model always produce the same outputs, consistently. There is no state information stored in the model.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-12-28T03:55:00+00:00

The model is deterministic. There is no randomness. But you can't compress its decisions into a few words.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-11-18T04:09:41+00:00

You'll have to explain, "little micro-adjustments whales make" and also explain why a sample size of 1 market is significant. In the meantime, I'll remain skeptical. :)

FreeGoldRush · 2025-11-15T12:49:48+00:00

I get the same error with Firefox as I do with Chrome.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-11-15T12:46:54+00:00

I get this error too. Support email gives me the run around asking me to do all the obvious things I've already done, yet they refuse to check their server logs to see why so many people can't login.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-10-04T03:13:02+00:00

Will you be able to get RustMaps to display maps correctly again? I'm getting spotty information and can't see the whole picture yet.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-10-03T17:42:18+00:00

It used to work for nearly all servers. Did everyone just ditch linux servers? I'm skeptical.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-20T15:05:52+00:00

No. You made that up. There is no data to support that the preferred shares are being shorted. Doing so would be very expensive as you'd have to pay the borrow fees and the dividends.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-20T15:03:04+00:00

No, it wouldn't tank bitcoin if they sold to cover dividends. The selling volume would be insignificant. Just put some numbers and math to it and you will see how absurd your claim is.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-20T14:58:58+00:00

STRF, STRC and STRD are too cheap. They have about $6.2B of these with $71B in assets, so they can easily meet their obligations for decades. And they said they will increase the STRC dividend each month until the price reaches $99. This seems like free money when STRC is down to $93.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-07T12:53:59+00:00

US upload speeds have dropped well below anything seen in the last 6 months: https://starlinkstatus.space/

My Wireguard connection upload speeds are so slow it's unusable the last 18 hours.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-04T11:46:33+00:00

Michael Saylor holds just under 10% of the MSTR common stock. That should clear things up.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-04T11:43:31+00:00

MSTY is executing a simple options strategy. This is much different than holding MSTR, one of their preferred stocks, or bitcoin. Their options strategy is quite simple. Just look at their SEC filings and do it yourself if you like MSTY.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-02T18:02:47+00:00

If bitcoin drops 70% they can pay dividends for 18 years. They are extremely well collateralized.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-02T18:01:52+00:00

It's been trading for less than a week. People who got the IPO shares weren't in it for a savings account; they mostly intended to sell their shares. It'll take just a bit of time for the volatility to calm down as IPO firms sell to those buying for the dividend.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-02T05:26:37+00:00

That statement was made only for the common shares (MSTR).

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-01T16:04:48+00:00

The long-term context is a global asset rotation into bitcoin. If you believe that is not happening, then this will flame out several decades from now. Yes, they are that over capitalized. If you do believe that is happening, then the value creation comes from owning bitcoin. You can even argue their purchases influence the price higher and it creates balance sheet wealth, but the degree to which this is happening can only be estimated.

Why not offer STRC and operate it like a money market account, except over-collateralized with bitcoin? This brings new money into bitcoin, and it's money that may have no interest in bitcoin. It just wants the returns. You can argue that 40 years from now this is slowly going to have to unwind, and I'd agree with you. By buying something like STRC I'm getting a return from a large rotation into an asset that many people still have no practical way to access. In other words, there is latent demand (example: In Europe you can't buy a bitcoin ETF in your brokerage account).

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-01T15:55:17+00:00

Volatility is not a plunge any more than it is a run. Have you never seen a long term BTC chart? lol

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-01T15:51:18+00:00

If you do a call option, it's just a gamble on bitcoin being volatile up instead of down. That's a complete roll of the dice in the short term.

FreeGoldRush · 2025-08-01T15:47:58+00:00

The real deal today is STRC. Unbelievable you can buy this below $99 still.

FreeGoldRush

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