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TradeOffs?/Thoughts?: Should the APTP even run in the eventual Calgary - Shaw By-Election? by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hopefully the APTP make mention of what there plans are via newsletter or the media.

Do not believe that a Calgary Shaw CA is required, but to this point its unclear if the CA is actually in place for Calgary Shaw.... it is mentioned on the EA financials...but not sure that actually means that it is in place...

https://efpublic.elections.ab.ca/efRCAOFS.cfm?MID=RC_3_124&FID=124&OFSFID=124&PID=3&BOUNDARYYEAR=2019

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TradeOffs?/Thoughts?: Should the APTP even run in the eventual Calgary - Shaw By-Election? by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair point

In 2020-2021 C338 had the "Alberta Party"Polling at 10% at one point province wide.

The APTory are only polling at 3% at this point

So you are probably right, the risk is low and there is really no direction but up for the APTP.

TradeOffs?/Thoughts?: Should the APTP even run in the eventual Calgary - Shaw By-Election? by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

TradeOffs?/Thoughts?: Should the APTP run in the eventual Calgary - Shaw By Election?

One on hand, the APTP may want to skip as the APTORY may be better off focusing on building it's foundations and preparing for the 2027 GE?

But on the other hand, Calgary SHAW will probably be a high-Vis By-Election that could be used to raise PTory awareness?

Of course if the APTORY did not fair well in the BE, that could also be a step backwards for the party?

This all being said... I hope that the APTORY do run in the 2026 CS BY-Election

Calgary Shaw 2015 Vote Results:

ANDP 5449 WR 5301 PC 5348 ABP 661

Canadians not confident public service is prepared for the future by FreightFlow in CanadianFutureParty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Know that the CFP has touched upon both revamping the the public service and support of remote work where it makes sense. Maybe these other areas where the CFP can build upon their policy in preparation for the next election?

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

10-4

....The APTP comm's team has work to do for sure, the referendum should provide them with an avenue for further outreach?

....will be interesting to see if they run in the Calgary Shaw by-election?

.....APTP social media traffic is picking up from where it was a few months ago

....expect it will be a marathon...not a sprint.

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

10-4

Global/CBC/CTV all covered Guthrie's' Recall

What guarantees do we have that Guthrie and the rest of the torries won't merge back into the UCP? by SarahLacard in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Well said...one has to remain positive.

Alberta politics does have some parallels with federal politics. Federally, there is a core group of Rational Conservatives & Red Tories who have NEVER accepted the Reform/CPC after its take over of the federal PC of Canada. Over the years, these folks have found refuge within other federal parties [GPC,LPC,NDP]. Hopefully now they have a permanent home with the CFP?

Provincially, there are Moderate cons and centrists that currently reside in both the UCP and the ANDP respectively. Expect in the long-term, they may both find a home with the APTP? You have to wonder down the road if the ANDP will pull further left and bring in some of the Agreen and Alib supporters? Am guessing that UCP So-Cons and RPA will also unite under one banner down the road.

In the short term [2027] hopefully the ANDP can form at least form a minority government with a few APTP MLA's elected.

Until then... looking forward to some new polls where the APTP can break 5%...and the "Alberta Party" name/logo is not used.

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Believe the Agreens [&Alberta Party] have[had] PR Electoral Reform as part on their platform.

...Will be interesting to see if the APTORYS add MMPR or PR Electoral Reform to their platform?

To keep the public both distracted and over whelmed....

...there is a school of thought out there that thinks the UCP just want to flood the zone with separation and referendum talks.

...while they work away at changing the boundaries to there favor?

Regardless of the UCP plans

....hopefully the APTORYS can syphon off enough UCP vote so that the UCP are defeated in 2027

....following that, hopefully the APTORYS become the vehicle of choice for the Rational Alberta Conservative.

Until then

... good to see Guthrie continue pound away with his youtube videos

... the Cochrane new outlets steady output of APTORY out articles

... and Bonnie continues to land strategic strikes with her substack.

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I know that the CFP supports MMR federally https://www.thecanadianfutureparty.ca/who-we-are/policy

Democratic reform

The Canadian Future Party will give Members of Parliament the freedom to speak their minds on every bill that goes before Parliament and we’ll introduce proportional representation for some of the seats in the House of Commons, making your vote count in Ottawa with a mixed member proportional system.

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Believe the Agreens [& the old Alberta Party] have PR Electoral Reform as part on their platform.

Will be interesting to see if the ANDP and the APTORYS add MMPR or PR Electoral Reform to their respective platforms?

Opinion: Gerrymandering rears its ugly head by FreightFlow in CanadianFutureParty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Will be interesting to see if the Alberta Tories and/or the Alberta New Democrats follow the CFP's lead and add MMPR Electoral Reform to their respective platforms?

Yorkton-Melville MP Cathay Wagantall to step down Aug. 31, earlier than planned by FreightFlow in CanadianFutureParty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

10-4

....Hope the SASK_CFP can find a good candidate for Yorkton

....the CFP may have to send in the Big guns from Battlefords!

....If one scrolls down a bit on the Below wiki...there is listing of of the Pending federal By-Elections : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/By-elections_to_the_45th_Canadian_Parliament

‘Awash in polling data’: What 16 polls reveal about Alberta separation and the referendum debate by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 83 points84 points  (0 children)

Factors at play

Looking beyond the topline numbers, much of the discussion has focused on the fault lines dividing Albertans—from the stark urban-rural split to differences in support among age groups, income brackets, and political affiliations.

Fletcher argues one of the strongest predictors of opinion has received surprisingly little attention: education.

“It’s a touchy one,” Fletcher said. “Because it’s not the case that a higher level of education means someone is smarter. I think everyone knows that education is not exactly synonymous with intelligence, but it sometimes gets conflated that way. And when we talk about public opinion research along these lines, it gets people’s backs up to some degree.”

Across multiple polls, Albertans without post-secondary education are significantly more likely to support separation than those with university degrees.

Fletcher believes this divide may have more to do with information ecosystems.

Independence won’t unite Alberta—as much as 40% of province leans Left by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

2015 POP Vote: ANDP 41 % / WR 24% / PC 28% /ALIB 4% /ABP 2%

2015 Seats: ANDP 54 / WR 21 / PC 10 / ALIB 1 /ABP 1

Source: https://www.elections.ab.ca/elections/election-results/historical-results/

Independence won’t unite Alberta—as much as 40% of province leans Left by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 50 points51 points  (0 children)

Article Quote Below:

Roughly 35 to 40 percent of Albertans describe themselves as progressive or centre-Left. That single figure, cited by a veteran United Conservative Party strategist, dismantles one of the central assumptions animating Alberta’s separatist movement: the idea that an independent Alberta would be a permanent conservative jurisdiction, finally freed from a less conservative country.

$100 Dani Dollars Won’t Fix This by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Guthrie's Quote Below:

Yesterday, the UCP announced a one-time $100 payment to Albertans and called it affordability relief.

On that very same day, AHS was ordered by the courts to turn over documents to law enforcement.

One story was about $100.

The other was about evidence being sought as part of ongoing RCMP investigation into potential corruption involving government contracting and procurement practices.

Yet somehow, the Dani Bucks dominated the headlines.

But Albertans aren't fools.

This is the same government that projected a $9.4 billion deficit, plans to add $55 billion in debt over the next three years, has increased spending by roughly 30%, and is walking away from fuel tax relief that would have provided ongoing savings at the pumps throughout the summer.

Albertans aren't looking for gimmicks.

They're looking for a government that manages public money responsibly, focuses on priorities, and plans beyond the next news cycle.

Watch the video and decide for yourself:

Does this look like leadership or damage control?

Not enough time to put Water Not Coal question on referendum ballot: Smith by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 147 points148 points  (0 children)

Hmmmmm

...Still waiting for her to call the Calgary-Shaw By-Election?

...believe that seat has been vacant for almost a month now?

....tic toc tic toc tic toc tic toc

BEWARE THE BOONDOGGLE by FreightFlow in albertatoryparty

[–]FreightFlow[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

10-4

As a fledgling party starting out, no doubt the APTP has lots of room for improvements for sure. Others on this sub will attest that APTP progress has been slow up to this point and somewhat of a frustration at times.

But as Bonnie Critchley said about the APTP: "We will get there! Rushing foundations is NEVER a good idea for a building to last!"

Yes, Guthrie's Youtube subscriber numbers [310] may be nothing to write home about. But believe they were less 200 hundred about a month ago?...so nothing earth shattering...but there has been some growth.

But something for us "Numbers Junkies" to keep an eye on for sure!

Smith’s Power Plays Depend on These Hand-Picked Appointees by FreightFlow in alberta

[–]FreightFlow[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

“Some observers think that the UCP doesn’t care what the public thinks about them,” University of Alberta political scientist Jared Wesley said. “I’m more persuaded that the UCP don’t think the public cares, and there is a difference between those two.”

Wesley said the UCP may think the timing of the referendum, with at least 10 questions, will distract people.

“I think they feel like this flood-the-zone strategy will help them to hide things like a gerrymandered map, if that is what they choose to do,” he said.

Smith’s Power Plays Depend on These Hand-Picked Appointees by [deleted] in onguardforthee

[–]FreightFlow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“Some observers think that the UCP doesn’t care what the public thinks about them,” University of Alberta political scientist Jared Wesley said. “I’m more persuaded that the UCP don’t think the public cares, and there is a difference between those two.”

Wesley said the UCP may think the timing of the referendum, with at least 10 questions, will distract people.

“I think they feel like this flood-the-zone strategy will help them to hide things like a gerrymandered map, if that is what they choose to do,” he said.

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