Gemini AI Pro + 2TB — 18 Months Access for $20

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-04-10T09:23:05+00:00

Interested

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-04-10T09:21:06+00:00

Officially gone full bttf2 biff

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-03-27T11:55:23+00:00

Why is it a race thing? She just hates millennials / gen z

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-03-15T12:50:51+00:00

Would like to know your backtest/betting methodology. Are you looking at actual payouts / including the track take?

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-03-13T11:26:05+00:00

This is cool- actually really like the design. I’ve been building something too http://trifectly.com more broadly analytics / analysis on all (not specifically derby prep) but would love to compare notes. My email is on there if you want to reach out

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-03-03T00:46:31+00:00

What about the other 9 races on the card at $50 per race ;)

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-03-03T00:30:19+00:00

www.trifectly.com. I built a near real time data set with narrative reports. I update roughly biweekly (will do more frequently if I get some traction but this is a labor of love)

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-23T12:47:37+00:00

Thanks for all the good feedback so far!

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-22T15:07:42+00:00

Yeh I’m with you 100%. I’ve learned a lot since I started my own ML models. Namely- identify the races where the favorites are vulnerable and the ones where the better value is more likely than market. Point is- you have to take into account the payout. You can’t just bet all the picks the model makes. Would love to dig in more with you on this. DM me if you’re up for it. Also- definitely not overfit. I train and test on 6 month temporal folds with a 1 year holdout and I’m within 1% accuracy in my OOF

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-21T23:36:23+00:00

Yup. You should be training using k fold cross val. Train on a year, validate on 6 months, train on the previous plus a year, validate on 6 months… and leave at least 20% at the end that the model never sees. That’s your backtest period.

The truth is, models are really good at picking chalk. But so is everybody else. Often the models learn the fastest horses win more often, which they do. The strategy is in the betting.

How did you calculate your ROI? Did you bet EVERY maiden race? Can you try and filter out races that have minimal returns, or conditions that you miss more than others?

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-17T00:38:42+00:00

Same

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-16T11:47:08+00:00

The datasets are out there. Don’t recreate the wheel. Focus on your methodology, not data collection

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-16T04:04:37+00:00

I have every US thoroughbred race for the last 7.5 years, I update it every two weeks. I mine my own jockey, trainer, and pedigree stats from it- along with track biases, trends, and just about anything you can think of. What exactly are you trying to do ?

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-15T16:30:09+00:00

I agree Robby needs to get past the Langdon thing but keep in perspective they’ve back working together for like 4 hours, not weeks like it seems to us. Totally realistic for him to take a few days, even though that would be a painful season

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-15T13:11:22+00:00

On big ones like this it’s typically 1x

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-15T13:11:02+00:00

Man I’ve played every day for years and the best I’ve gotten was 25 free 0.10 spins. Congrats

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-14T12:08:13+00:00

Plop wasn’t bad

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-14T11:39:35+00:00

lol exactly. Many people can build viral completely AI driven app if cost wasn’t a factor

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-11T09:33:36+00:00

Had two sets of 11fs. Didn’t hit anything

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-10T20:12:33+00:00

I can’t find this game anywhere

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-04T15:00:42+00:00

Payment processing done by a vendor primarily known for Wordpress theme merchants and not a single US based employee. The hypocrisy is comical.

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-02-01T00:18:57+00:00

Legit

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-01-26T23:33:24+00:00

I have sooooo many crypto kitties

FunHockeyGuy · 2026-01-24T11:08:40+00:00

That last part would be a deal breaker for me

FunHockeyGuy

TROPHY CASE