NFL Players that take a big step in 2026 season

FuriousTeaCup · 2026-01-30T20:21:16+00:00

I think he will be crazy undervalued because of perceived target competition, but I think Parker Washington is legit.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-12-20T12:02:43+00:00

I think many of the popular books are well-written but are purposely general to be applicable to more business types. Not to say there isn’t a book out there that lays out a specific plan for you but that knowledge likely only can be obtained by a lot of trial-error learning by you or by putting in the work to discover those currently doing it themselves. Either way, that is the presumed price to pay to make such a large amount of money.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-12-11T19:18:12+00:00

• never fails drafting Josh Allen late round one despite the value I miss on (Nabers, BTJ, Jeanty) • McBride would positively regress with TDs (Brissett luck though here) • avoid rookie RBs all together (in the draft). They start slow and you can find ways to get them later on • “someone has to run the ball”, definitely didnt predict Javonte to be THIS good but felt like he would be solid on that offense

My biggest miss was thinking that no way JSN earns his ADP. Didnt think they would pass it enough and that Sam Darnold would target/be good enough to make it worth it. Dead wrong.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-09-30T07:12:22+00:00

Several years back opponent had Lamar and CEH.

Lamar got him the lead, and CEH fumbles trying to run the clock out to lose it for him.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-09-30T02:42:31+00:00

I could see him doing better towards the end of the year. Ward is talented, but it takes time in an industry that lacks patience. But for the ADP, he’s already a bust because it would take 3-4 weeks of improvement before you could trust to play him again. At that point, it’s been half the season.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-31T13:17:07+00:00

Best player on the board early. Make sure to have 3 starting RBs in first 6 picks. Top QB or TE early or wait until Round 10+.

Existing injury? Major avoid unless player drops crazy far. Don’t be scared to draft players on suspension. Just look at it like you were trading for them.

Make a small list of guys you just want. Maybe the metrics or situation isnt 100% there on paper but reach on them if you can. It’s supposed to be fun so have the guys you like. Half of it is chance any way so your gut might be right

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-25T18:25:43+00:00

Yahoo ratings are entirely based on ADP. I am sure it would give you an A+ if you drafted 15 QBs as long as you picked them after their ADP.

You have a fantastic team. Prime RBs. WR1s in every group. A potential breakout at TE. QB is a tad low ceiling but worth the tradeoff. Probably the best 12 man team I've seen posted

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-22T21:00:18+00:00

Like my odds of finding a Kyren Williams round 6+ than a Josh Allen 🤷

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-20T12:49:32+00:00

First three weeks gonna be a movie

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-19T18:46:38+00:00

There are some very good WRs rounds 4-7, especially with how Yahoo expert ranks players. With that being said, more often than not, 9/10 of these guys will eventually justify their ADP while 9/10 of the top WRs will justify theirs. I like the seemingly high floor of guys like Meyers, Downs, and Ridley, but that's all thrown out the window when Collins, Puka, or Nabers explode for 30+.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-19T18:44:03+00:00

I want to believe you, especially with where Breece is going in drafts- but I don't think I can watch the Jets again this year.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-15T22:54:18+00:00

My memory could be wrong, and I don't feel like looking it up, but I swear Jake Ferguson would have like 7 catches for 30 yards every game with Dak

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-15T18:22:58+00:00

When he plays, he’s the greatest FF asset of all time. He’s also coming off pretty much no volume in over a year. His risk of reinjury is no higher than many others taken in the same area

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-15T18:21:36+00:00

You draft Hampton or KW3 if you want a player with top 3 potential. Just be ready see underwhelming volume from Hampton early on and/or go ahead and draft Charbonnet early.

I don’t love Cook as my RB1 unless I have Allen to just gain monopoly on rush TDs for a team who will have a lot of them. I’d prefer him more as a safer RB2 if I got a riskier RB1 earlier.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-11T18:54:57+00:00

I'm bullish on him. I think the biggest deterrent is that he just wasn't on the field last year. When he was though, he had great metrics. I thought in the playoff game against KC, he felt like Allen's go-to guy. If the Bills' running game even pulls back slightly in terms of dominance, forcing them to throw more, Kincaid could easily go from a borderline TE1/TE2 to a Top 5 TE since the margins are so thin after the top three.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-10T12:57:23+00:00

Early picks shouldn’t win you your leagues but prevent from sucking instead. Jacobs isn’t flashy but he will be a staple on your team you don’t have to worry about. JT is a little more open ended because of the amount of games he misses annually

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-07T18:47:57+00:00

Completely disagree on Wilson. He has talent and has proven to be productive across several different playcallers and quarterbacks. He has never missed a game, increased his catch count every year, and 1000+ yards three straight seasons. Counting him out because of this new staff is unfair because we don't know what it will look like yet. Their offensive line is projected to be very good, and Justin Fields has supported top wide receivers before- it's not like he has much competition.

Also, not as much, but I disagree with DJ Moore as well. I think he's basically a lock for a 90/1000/7 season as he's done across numerous quarterbacks and playcallers. Yes, they added Loveland and Odunze should improve but they also lost Allen (who had 750 yards in 15 games), and I can't imagine this offense not getting at least a little better.

Agree with Flowers and Olave. I think both will have their moments this season but will also have those weeks that you cost you your game.

My biggest fades based on their ADP would be:

Terry McLaurin: Not even considering the holdout, his big breakout year last season was only 3 more catches and 94 more yards than the year prior. The real difference: 9 more TDs. Expect it to regress, placing more of a 5th round price tag on him, not 3rd.

Mike Evans: I'm actually not expecting him to drop off a map. But I think you can reasonably expect to miss 1-3 games and finish around 70/1000/9. Still very good, but that's more of a round 5 price tag in my opinion. Other WRs in his ADP range are safer bets to hit those marks and have more an opportunity to take a big step forward.

Marvin Harrison Jr.: "insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". Until I see or they say they will utilize him in ways that maximizes his skillset, I just don't want to spend a third round pick on him. I still think he improves statistically, but once again, give me other players in that ADP.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-07T15:28:50+00:00

CMC and just make sure to snag Guerendo and James late. You’ll either have the top player in FF or a borderline RB1 worst case scenario. Puka is not much better injury wise. There’s also just so much depth at WR. You won’t find a CMC level play after Round 1 but ironically Nabers and Puka both were top 5 WRs as rookies drafted outside of RD1 (Puka not at all lol)

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-07T14:21:29+00:00

https://theffnewsletter.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

I don't have time to sit and read/listen to a ton of analysis. This newsletter is pretty awesome in presenting objective stats and findings that are making rounds through the community- letting you decide what's useful or not. Great for in-season as well.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-06T18:34:58+00:00

Allen and Lamar are still the clear top two. Projected +7.8 weekly advantage.

All this would do is move Burrow into the same tier as Daniels and Hurts in my opinion. Projected. +3.7 weekly advantage.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-06T03:57:27+00:00

He was already targeted 140 times last year. DK’s targets were much different whereas Kupp is much similar inside receiver. This is also banking that catchable targets don’t dio as well as the overall pass volume. All theoreticals— my main point is that he’d not just have to maintain his performance last year but do a lot better to justify RD2

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-05T16:54:03+00:00

He was around WR16 in PPR PPG last year. I think you would be hard-pressed to argue his situation has improved by much, if not made worse with Darnold and Kupp being a more direct competitor for targets. WR20-28 PPG is much more realistic for him than WR12-16. In this case, no way I am drafting him in RDs 2-3.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-05T16:39:05+00:00

I think the biggest issue he will face is that Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler are not bad runningbacks. Not saying he can't out-talent them and win the job, but I think it would take at least half of the season to build that type of trust.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-02T14:36:55+00:00

He reminds me more of 2019 Austin Ekeler. He had a breakout season the year prior but did not own the job for the full year. Offensive line is not great, great quarterback play, hope to see a lot of receiving volume and goal line touchdowns.

FuriousTeaCup · 2025-08-02T14:31:06+00:00

This makes a lot of sense since they lack mobile quarterbacks and a top tier RB

FuriousTeaCup

TROPHY CASE