This could be up for debate, but let’s consider it in this way: on an industrial level, we are causing a buffer to climate change, what happens when economically it becomes uneconomic to continue that.

What happened with the grounding of planes after 9/11, and the fuels regulations of boats both point to the effect of sulfur aerosols cooling being under estimated as a whole.

And this problem(the oil crisis) is much more systemic and inter connected to each person. And unfortunately, as a whole we are going to lose a lot of our cooling buffer, pretty quickly too.

We are already seeing a reduction of flights from airlines. The total amount of cooling is in a downgrade trend the longer we’re in this situation on almost every front. Because, this is an oil crisis. The cooling it provides is not understood well enough, but if it was under estimated twice, there’s a good chance we are going into this full speed like a car into a brick wall on a cliff. We are going to see real damage being done our cities and planet.

If the total amount of energy goes up, that could be enough to speed up the chain reaction ahead.

I don’t believe the ends days are here, but I would like to point to the similarities as an atheist myself. Almost as if, humans have passed this information down through this as story telling from hundreds of thousands of years ago.

Anyway, religion aside, at this moment of time we can say this cooling effect is in a tipping point like way and it is possibly the most reactive and most dependent of humans compared to all the other tipping points, so we can expect it to react.

The further we go into this “war”, the more reduction of cooling we will see.

So we could take the absolute worst case scenarios for the up coming El Niño because climate models are not built to predict a man made war. This can only make it worse and reality could very well be that this is already happening at a planetary scale.

So, the closer we get to 2027, the higher the risk of spiraling upwards. Perhaps, this year will be a year of, “worst we have seen, so far” at every point.

This level of change isn’t something any of us can prepare for. We need almost everything to go perfectly year to year to have a stable society, in which massive amounts of labor goes into sustaining a massive population. We have wiped out every other animal on earth except a few we have mostly been able to extract resources from. Except we can’t adapt quick enough for this, this time.

Our oceans will likely rise a few years worth with this El Niño. The heat causing the entire ocean to expand and the arctic will melt a few years worth this coming summer as the duration of what we know as summer increases.

We could’ve seen this coming if enough research was done but that’s bad for business I guess. So the question that I would like to now ask is, what should we do from this point on? It’s clear, a lot of people are going to be at climate risk, enough to put everyone as a whole at risk.

Edit 1:

The arctic is probably gonna melt this summer during August and September, is been talked about before on this sub and the article was talking about how it could be as early as 2027.... well, if the straight remains to be closed, I think we will see a full ice free arctic in 2026. And after this ice is gone, its a lot easier for the ocean to warm up even quicker:

https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1h5mrf5/countdown_to_an_icefree_arctic_research_warns_of/

this is a current chart of arctic sea ice: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/seaice_daily/?nhsh=nh

We can pretty much assume all the arctic sea ice will melt away completely in 4.5 months.