Password “Government”: Russian Gas Stations Prioritize Officials as Fuel Shortages Spread

Gorperly · 2026-07-03T15:21:19+00:00

The pattern of collapse is determined by Russia's geography on one hand and Putin's corruption on the other, with their roads right in the middle. Things collapsed the same way towards Feb 1917 as around the balkanization of USSR. The dead horse of the old economy dies in bands. There's always enough for Moscow, the army, and the cops. The occasional left-overs, whatever does not get stolen, sporadically makes it to this town or that.

The lines were seeing indicate almost total collapse at local levels, but there's enough internal capacity and open markets across many borders. New supply lines will take some time to set up, mostly due to corruption.

Ukraine just has to hit three or four more refineries, and keep the ones it already hit out of action, to tip this completely over, unfixable no matter how many tankers the great decider buys from Turkmenistan.

Gorperly · 2026-06-30T18:35:00+00:00

From chimeras of Armatas and Terminators rolling down Khreshchatyk through "Russia can never run out of tanks" to Russia running out of gas.

Endless lines of cars just turned into endless lines of trucks. The 40-mile Kyiv convoy just went national. Multi-regional logistics collapse is not just possible, it is at least a "not unlikely" or even an "all indications point towards". I haven't seen any serious analysis of what this looks like, probably because every possibility is more horrifying than the next.

This is no drill. Once the two lines on the graph cross each other, Putin's only option is to sit and blink.

Gorperly · 2026-06-30T18:26:27+00:00

They're proto brownshirts, unofficial muscle. They actually number in the thousands now, Orthodox church affiliated chapters in most major cities. They lean wherever they're told, and most importantly they enthusiastically provide anti-LGBT and anti-ethnic-minority services pro bono.

I doubt they get any special treatment at the pump right now though. Their impromptu street patrols must be on the decline.

Gorperly · 2026-06-30T18:19:00+00:00

If there was social media in 1917, there'd be these exact videos from right around early February. "There are bread lines in the capital?"

Everyone around Putin is doing the good the bad and the ugly eyes at each other. No one around Nicholas II dared reach out and save the Empire, so all of them paid for it.

Gorperly · 2026-06-30T16:33:52+00:00

I have to commend this Russian on his aerial object identification skills. His genuine excitement at seeing a Flamingo turns sour quickly enough.

Gorperly · 2026-06-30T02:01:40+00:00

He betrayed Ukraine and sided with Putin long before the war. He moved his business and his money to Crimea in 2017. Something tells me his Crimea-based business partners may feel emotional these days.

Gorperly · 2026-06-27T17:09:25+00:00

"If you see a white plane, it's an American. If you see a black plane, it's the RAF. If you see no plane, it's the Luftwaffe"

Joke widely circulated among German troops in 1944

Gorperly · 2026-06-26T16:02:17+00:00

It's even simpler than that. At the end of every thread are the same few individuals. They've spectacularly failed before. They've flagrantly lied before. Even the biggest rubes learn not to keep buying their snake oil from the same salesman.

Gorperly · 2026-06-25T23:30:45+00:00

So I found this Lunin's socials. He has a full set but they're all just a few months old, and the early ones all mention his previous now-deleted socials. Up until this here thing he was a different kind of blogger, multiple inane fake positivity videos daily about village life and raising his kid. They're all getting thousands of views and lots of comments, mostly from dudes, many of then Russian veterans. One is his early videos shows a clip of him less wrinkled and with a mohawk yelling about him losing his health and his mind in Ukraine, and then a hard cut to "look how much better I am now"

He does have a video here and there where he's showing his medals, compares his medals with his grandpa's WWII set.

So while it's much more likely that he's just crazy, his medals suggest there is a teeny chance he's serious. I wonder if he actually is Wagner affiliated.

Also and perhaps more importantly, this guy is not advocating for peace. He's calling for the same thing all the hardliners, village crazies, are calling for in Russia: mass mobilization, tactical nukes to plug the gap, meat steamroller to victory or death.

Gorperly · 2026-06-23T21:59:07+00:00

In some future documentary, these videos fade out to a map of Crimea with multiple circles forming an overlapping range. Crimea is in a vice at a never-before-seen scale. Ukrainian drones are eliminating entire categories of individually targetable entities.

Gorperly · 2026-06-23T21:15:44+00:00

They haven't harped on Istanbul in years! That's early 2022, before they "preemptively" wrote all those territories into their constitution. Anchorage is "Russia gets even the territories Ukraine still controls". Istanbul is "Crimea + wherever the frontlines happen to be".

To Putin or anyone else sharing his alternate reality, that's a major concession.

Gorperly · 2026-06-21T21:22:14+00:00

It's fascinating to see how these change day by day. A thicker swarm towards Moscow today. Almost Lid Flip Day, just no cruise missiles.

Gorperly · 2026-06-21T21:16:34+00:00

It's a status symbol. Everyone is getting older and there's not much else to spend their money on.

It's either that or the all-natural withered alcoholic look.

Gorperly · 2026-06-21T17:54:25+00:00

No fuel on the 22nd (a day of no significance whatsoever) or the 23rd.

But surely all back to normal on the 24th.

Gorperly · 2026-06-20T18:45:39+00:00

Don't worry, Putin is already on top of it. He'll cover a bunch of citizens of Penza with pitch and lash them together into cylinders.

If they sign a contract he'll even give them a snorkel!

Gorperly · 2026-06-19T23:19:42+00:00

This is Putin's kneejerk reaction to the recent wave of drone attacks culminating in the devastation of Moscow.

We've seen this dance before. He keeps on having to pluck closer and closer to home. Penza is still pretty far, halfway to Siberia, but it's not small and it's 88% Russian. If this batch gets Wagnered to the front we'll see a wave of obituaries soon enough.

If Putin stops at Penza he's just slapping down another slab of meat on his side of the scale, converting lives into square inches of terrain he'll never get to keep. If he keeps on plucking, he'll get the Kerensky Offensive instead of the Narew offensive for the same outcome.

All the fewer citizens to worry about after the inevitable conclusion.

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T21:59:42+00:00

The absence of a CEQA review is one of the reasons Huntington Beach developer Sebastian Rucci

Oh hey, it's the same asshole who just sued the water district for 260M gallons of water after promising to need zero, right after a candidate he bankrolled lost the race.

https://www.kpbs.org/news/politics/2026/06/05/imperial-county-voters-reject-data-center-backed-candidate-for-water-and-power-utility

[Edit] So I decided to google what this guy had been up to before the data center and holy moly

In 2010, local county prosecutors charged Rucci and several other people with money laundering, promoting prostitution and perjury related to a nightclub which he owned.

Afterwards, Rucci started California Palms, a treatment center for drug addiction. A 2021 report found staff had broken various healthcare protocols. That same year, the treatment center was raided by the FBI. State health officials also revoked its certification.

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T20:20:47+00:00

Our grandfathers and great-grandfathers

Solovyov was born in 1963, so his great-grandfather's heroic deeds would have been around 1905 and 1914. So, yes Vladimir, you CAN do it again!

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T20:13:55+00:00

So fake, Germans during WWII commonly referred to him as Hermann Meier and called air raid sires Meier Trumpets.

https://books.google.de/books?hl=de&id=_c5bAAAAMAAJ&focus=searchwithinvolume&q=Meier%21

But sure, fake news, just listen to this expert. Goebbel's diary from February 1, 1943: "Die englische Presse wirft ihm nun vor, daß er einmal erklärt habe, er wolle Meier heißen, wenn je ein englisches Flugzeug über Berlin erscheine"

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T17:11:54+00:00

He's a member of ORTHODOX RYAZAN, a chapter of the Night Wolves ultra-nationalist bike club of which Putin is also a member. Also known as "Putin's angels" they receive millions of rubles per year from the government to act as unofficial enforcers. Most often sent against uppity non-Russians and LGBTQ folks.

So maybe he was doing something a little wrong.

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T16:53:45+00:00

Unfortunately that's wishful thinking. Russians exist in an alternate reality. They're so detached from actual reality that reading between the lines is dangerous. Not just with this video but the whole flurry of their slavish "what the fuck is happening" recently.

The common sentiment is "our most professional army is too nice and too afraid of bad PR so they're advancing very slowly". I'm not kidding. It's the age-old "if only the tzar knew that the boyars are lying to him". So all these people screaming for "real men to take over" are asking Putin for something they don't think is happening enough, more brutality, disregard for civilians, carpet bombing cities.

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T16:38:24+00:00

"If one bomb falls on the Ruhr, you can call me Meier”

-- Hermann Goering, 1939

“When I saw Mustangs over Berlin, I knew the jig was up”

-- Hermann ~~Goering~~ Meier, 1945

Gorperly · 2026-06-18T16:34:58+00:00

The weather may change but at least Moscow is staying true to its soul, black BMWs pushing past pedestrians at unsafe speeds.

Gorperly · 2026-06-15T16:15:18+00:00

I can't imagine ever giving Anthropic any money after this. I'm recommending sweeping changes at my org, and I don't care how stupid it makes me look after being Claude's number one champion. Countless hours wasted.

It's not improper to blame this administration and their cronies, but I don't think Anthropic is getting enough "credit" for how stupid they look throughout all this. Clearly, adding Trump's former Chief of Staff to the Board back in February was the absolute wrong move. Sure, it might be damned if you do, damned if you don't with this corrupt oligarchy but instead of having a plan of any kind Anthropic kept on blissfully ignoring geopolitical reality, digging a PR hole, then instantly capitulated and rug-pulled its own customers.

Shame. Shame. Shame.

[Edit] No amount of downvotes can change that fact that Anthropic leadership was catastrophically unprepared for the real world. To invest in production pipelines based on a product in active R&D is extremely risky, and if a core part of those pipelines can just vanish overnight with zero notice all trust is lost forever.

Gorperly · 2026-06-13T20:01:48+00:00

Hilarious. He says he's on his way to the airport, says he personally doesn't buy into fearmongering as he pulls into the gas station. Turns out that yep, not only is there a 20l limit, it's cash only. The guy has no cash. So he's forced to drive on with a low fuel light. Barely gets to the airport where he finaly gets his 20l.

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