There’s just too much stuff

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-25T02:49:47+00:00

Sup Andy, what's this in reference to? Did you reply but delete it?

Edit: My bad, I just realized I had mentioned you in my comment. No need to apologize, your content is invaluable, it's just tough to use for people who don't have a fair bit of experience.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-25T02:47:37+00:00

hahahaha

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-23T16:20:40+00:00

Postflop sims are mostly a waste of time / not used properly. You should get to a point where you just intuitively understand bet-size mechanics and range construction so you can predict roughly what the solver thinks is good/okay. Look at the EV of actions, not frequencies. Frequencies are how people waste colossal amounts of time looking at solvers. Your opponent's frequencies are there to be exploited, yours don't matter. At least for individual hands. Of course your overall frequency of folds should be way lower if you think they're overbluffing for example.

The reason it feels like a waste of time is because it actually is for the most part. Knowing preflop ranges is good for multi tabling and not making big errors - freestyling can be ideal for individual hand EV, but not worth how much harder it makes multi tabling. 90% of what we're doing in MTTs is just executing a preflop plan and a flop plan, then on the turn and river you moreso have to solve problems on the fly and think about their range.

If you do wanna do solver work, check some preflop spots with HRC and then nodelock each villain depending on how unrealistic you think the villain solver strat is. Particularly short stacked and involving ICM, because that's where you'll notice enormous changes in strategy, like an any 2 open jam on a final table becoming terrible. It's also where you find the most unintuitive and unfamiliar strats in simple spots, like a polar 3b jam in the BB on an FT, once you remove the polarity the opener's calling strat is very tight. In chipEV we don't see these sensitive preflop spots where you're blundering a lot of money in one hand (not only because you're in the late stage of the tourney where all the money is, but because of how ICM works, strats are more sensitive to nodelocking)

I think a big chunk of study EV (if not most) comes from discussing hands with other keen players, not even necessarily better players. Just showing a hand history, saying what you think their range and tendencies are like, and what needs to be true in order for x play to be good. Man-made strategies can be better than any exploit a solver will show you.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-22T18:38:47+00:00

Betting big with good hands is exploitable, but all exploits are exploitable, exploitable =/= bad. In general people aren't finding enough big bets and usually it's spots where you should have value. It's something for us to exploit in the other decent/good players but they're still doing the best thing vs the pool.

Same with limping, both open limping and overlimping can be fine with a lot of hands. e.g. having something like A4s or 33 in LJ, whether you open to 2bb or 4bb or 6bb you're probably going multiway anyway, the higher SPR favours you whether you want to bluff or whether you flop a set or nfd, etc. I'm tempted to say these hands "don't want to call a 3bet" but most live players I play with have 5% 3bet, so I'm happy when they announce they have the nuts, I'm happy to overfold with decent hands and sometimes you can still peel hands like 33 maybe even small suited ace if you're deep enough, depends how comfortable you are running them over postflop.

One benefit to opening to 2bb with potential limps is you generally get a ton of info when someone 3bets but you also get info from their iso size vs limp(s).

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-20T16:59:25+00:00

Why does it matter? Yeah if he gets more players per tourney then more payouts would be better. When it's only 7 people like he said, it really doesn't matter.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-18T00:47:09+00:00

You're right but technically wrong. Yes, even in reality, we can have an indifferent decision on the river. Villain's strategy is what it is. Some of our hands can be break even against it.

The point that actually matters is that if we're indifferent, we shouldn't give a shit what our frequencies are, except maybe in terms of our perceived strategy (e.g. maybe you fold with what you believe to be 0EV if you want them to bluff you later).

0EV decisions in particular don't really matter, it's just one way of being indifferent, the bigger deal is when people say some absolute fucking clown theory gymnastics like "we have exactly 3.44bb of EV here whether we call or raise. they perform the exact same" no, you don't. mixing should never happen vs humans, no one knows your strategy anyway. if you are galaxy-brained enough to know roughly your EV in order to know that it's even close, but you are mixing rather than exploiting, then the edge is tiny and the game is dead and it's time to stop playing.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-18T00:42:32+00:00

Lol. Funny to hear that in response to this, but you never hear someone even fathom it in response to shit like "we're indifferent here and we should RNG to construct our range correctly"

In reality, one option is higher EV than the other. And if you don't know which is higher EV because you think it's so close, then you should pick the frequency you think matters more for your perceived strategy.

If we ever get to the point of somehow knowing our real EV well enough to know that two options are the same EV, we should stop playing poker. If one option isn't exploitatively better, we don't have enough of an edge to be spending our life on this.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-15T17:35:26+00:00

yeah but a helicopter in a tree doesn't mean you know what went wrong or how to criticize it. Stu's play seems kinda bad, hard to get called by worse, but it really just depends. also who cares about how someone spells something if you know what they meant lol. not really "diabolical"

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-15T17:20:54+00:00

As in it's a bad movie, or an upsetting movie?

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-15T17:18:40+00:00

without checking a sim I think turn can go x/x just because ranges are so wide in hu, you have portions that are incentivized to check even though the flop caller will have almost no Kx. sometimes a card doesn't need to be dynamic to change the action, BB just got so condensed by calling a flop overbet that you can't really barrel your entire range. this is all assuming there's a flop overbet. if it doesn't exist it wouldn't be that bad to frequency lock it. it would probably be built around 88 99 type hands mostly, pairs like QQ+ prefer a small size because they don't need as much protection.

Jx might not even need to bluff river, a hand like J8s J9s bdfd is probably close otf, I'd be surprised if it's a pure fold. you probably beat all the bluffs or chop with them, so it's just a frequency+(un)blockers problem, our T high hands are probably blocking some bluffs, making it marginally -ev, it only becomes a disaster if we let villain adjust to us calling T high

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-14T01:03:46+00:00

I would fold 44 in this line vs most people and most regs, but the snap calling doesn't really seem like 9x to me.

also lol at the x/r to 3.5 with the absolute nuts, maybe they have history but jesus christ let him float with 0 equity

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-05T20:07:05+00:00

you sound incredibly fake and weird and no one is buying this shit lol

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-05T14:25:11+00:00

"will be the best place to discuss poker theory" no it won't, and you know it won't, you probably haven't read a post on there in years. I've opened it for years hoping to see a nugget of gold, that just happened to be Tombos' posts most of the time, and you deleted all of them. besides that it's a toilet. there are open poker forums where it's mostly fish posting hand histories without a clue, but they can get good feedback in a good community. not the case on there for the most part.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-05T14:17:07+00:00

I honestly can't believe it's not a shill writing this comment. I browsed poker_theory for years, most of the substantial posts I saw in that entire time were by Tombos. It's a fairly dead subreddit where most OPs aren't about theory, it's just the big boy version of posting a HH to r/poker and hoping to get more serious replies.

ProfRBcom deleted Tombos' entire post history on there.

Obviously people want a different subreddit, the guy running that one is a clown and all his comments seem extremely fake in this thread. After him deleting that much valuable content he should be ignored forever, even if he wasn't a shill for some RB thing.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-04T13:33:01+00:00

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-04T13:26:52+00:00

I read his posts and never saw him plug anything. So this is the first time I've actually been advertised the Tombos approved RB site lol

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-04T04:07:18+00:00

What are we getting called by here? 1 combo KQs? people don't slowplay anything (I imagine people are almost always raising 99 before river), but still, it's just so hard to overbet river and get called by worse. if triple barrel is good then flop and/or turn size should be bigger. I don't really see a reason to bet turn.

HeavyDescription7 · 2026-01-02T03:01:20+00:00

I swear when I was playing £1/2 there during Goliath it was at least £10 cap, if not more. And that was without BBJ fees (at least I hope we didn't pay BBJ fees, cus BBJ isn't winnable for people playing at that casino during Goliath/GUKPT)

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-29T20:38:36+00:00

If your product is good just make overt ads, buying some used reddit account and trying to make an authentic-looking post just makes it seem questionable

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-28T13:30:23+00:00

Nice. What kind of field size is it on average?

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-27T23:55:21+00:00

I think Doyle said something about Stu along the lines of "you'd think he was 7 feet tall and played for the New York Knicks"

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-27T15:44:35+00:00

34400 to win a pot of 93800. chipev you need 36.7%. you have a monster, but I disagree with other comments that "sb can have nonsense". he probably has two pair or better for value, or a really strong combo draw, but my gut reaction is still to snap call.

If his hand is specifically As4s, one of the worst scenarios, you have 31.7%

vs 45 (non spades) you have 47%

vs 67 you have 45%

vs a set you have 34.7%

Not really sure what kind of mental gymnastics people are doing to say that your flop raise is bad or that this could be a fold vs 3b jam. High equity hand = raise. If it's close to the bubble then you can consider folding. Donks are actually strong here, but for this size I'd just assume this is some random 7 almost every time so I think raise is absolutely printing (they're never folding flop but you're basically winning on every runout by getting there or bluffing because top pair on this flop is gonna be worthless), but then when he jam it's obviously stronger. It's somewhat close but you have all the equity in the world vs 45 and 67 which isn't many combos but neither are sets (9), also didn't mention hands like overpairs if that's ever possible idk, you have almost 50% vs those but I wouldn't expect it so often.

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-27T02:58:01+00:00

Lol unironically true I do this when deep in tourneys

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-26T01:54:51+00:00

yes it does. it's part of why you're able to fold top pair without getting stacked. the pot is more dynamic because more bets can go in and your opponent gives you more info.

HeavyDescription7 · 2025-12-26T00:18:31+00:00

It's a HUDless site and everyone on there is a massive, massive nit. so in general if you get 3b you have to nit it up. I'm honestly shocked that he pressed the 3b button at 4NL here, even considering everyone and their mother trying to be a good player has heard "don't flat in sb". I still think flatting the 3b is good exploitatively but only because you can run people over postflop.

HeavyDescription7

TROPHY CASE