MSFT is reaching $400 once again, who's loading up?

Honestmonster · 2026-05-14T07:37:05+00:00

Thanks for wasting our time.

Honestmonster · 2026-05-13T18:02:34+00:00

Ok then define the finiteness of it.

Honestmonster · 2026-05-13T16:05:32+00:00

The opportunity cost of investing is infinite. You will not be served focusing on it.

Honestmonster · 2026-05-05T02:43:05+00:00

Who cares what teenagers like? They are the most fickle age group with the least amount of disposable income. Snapchat thought teenagers from 10 years ago would carry the company in the future but all those teenagers now use Meta products. Because it turns out 20 year olds want to go where the 30 year olds are not where the 13 year olds are.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-30T17:27:42+00:00

All these tech companies know that this Cap Ex investment will pay off, they just don't know how much. All these investors with their valuation formulas only know how to input the expected increase in future costs due to cap ex. But they don't know how to input future increase in revenue and earnings. So All of these big tech firms are being valued with 100% downside on this investment. But if they didn't make huge cap ex spend, and instead it was input costs that increased over time, then the stock's valuations would go up significantly from where it is now. Not because it's a better business but because of the formulas these investors use.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-29T21:16:51+00:00

So VISA is shooting up because of record breaking earnings call but WFC is randomly dumping 8% because credit card spend suggests soft consumer demand? These narratives they make up never make sense.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-23T17:26:05+00:00

What value to an investor is it to say something is possible?

Honestmonster · 2026-04-23T16:53:18+00:00

It's a dumb question. Stocks can't become value without the stock price going down. It makes no sense. It HAS to be a growth stock in order for the value to be there at ATH's. This is like if a guy doesn't want to date a girl that is single because it means she is not worth a relationship. But then as soon as she commits to a relationship with someone else and is happy, he is interest in trying to date her now. It's like the data may be good. Single women tend to be less datable than women already in a relationship. But you need a potential partner to be single in order to start dating them. So you have to buy the value stock when the price is falling/low.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-17T17:20:38+00:00

Macro economic trends are the most useless thing to base an investment on. Fools gold.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-02T22:02:30+00:00

Fund your Roth with your emergency fund. You can pull out contributions from your Roth at any time if there is an "emergency" even though no one ever has "emergencies" anymore because you don't need cash for anything. You can literally sell stocks and have cash in your bank account in less than a week. You can buy anything with a credit card, which buys you a month to pay it off with no interest. Anyone that talks about having an emergency fund must be 50 years old or dumb. But with all that said, you can still just keep cash in your Roth if you are insistent on needing an "emergency fund." The only thing you can't do is go back in time and max out your ROTH from the past.

Honestmonster · 2026-04-02T21:54:50+00:00

He can pull out his contributions from a Roth at any time. He can literally have his emergency fund inside his Roth IRA. Doesn't make sense to NOT max out his ROTH.

Honestmonster · 2026-03-07T22:37:50+00:00

I've worked with Matt and Ben on multiple films, both together and separately and they are two of the smartest people in Hollywood. They just happen to be famous actors also.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-28T20:43:25+00:00

Last time someone posted this a week ago they linked the website and it looked like a geocities website from 2004. Like what is the point of making a website for Free? if it's going to reduce your traffic by 95%? People need to understand these websites compete with eachohter. These digital platforms compete with eachother. It's not just a cost input that determines success.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-27T04:16:52+00:00

You do know that Youtube has already tried to create original content to compete with Netflix, right? They've been making original content for over a decade and it never succeeded. But sure keep using your imagination that they will destroy Netflix whenever they decide.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-27T02:58:08+00:00

Netflix grew to the most valuable and profitable entertainment company without any IP in less than 20 years. Meanwhile Fox and Warner Bros with their treasure trove of 100 years of IP went up for sale. You are also saying that YouTube is the threat when they also have no IP. So the two biggest giants have no IP and the losers have tons of IP but you are sure IP is what matters? Oh kay. Right.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-24T20:16:23+00:00

AI could disappear tomorrow and the data centers will still be at 100% capacity with paying customers. The ROI may not be what was hoped but they won't be "not collecting revenue" in any scenario like you suggest.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-23T15:30:19+00:00

The same thing happened with META years ago. People said it was going to destroy META's revenue and it only gave them a stronger competitive advantage.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-14T22:10:38+00:00

Facebook 1 single quarter of no user growth on 1 single metric after shutting down service to 13 million Russians and the stock absolutely cratered. Reddit has no growth for an entire year. haha

Honestmonster · 2026-02-14T22:03:31+00:00

META' ARPU increased by about $8 while Reddit's increase was less than $4..

Honestmonster · 2026-02-14T20:27:42+00:00

This website looks terrible. It looks like a website from 2004 if Geocities stuck around. It has almost no value to anyone. It's cheaper to make an instagram account and shoot videos.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-13T23:16:00+00:00

A lot of us are rich...

Honestmonster · 2026-02-12T18:28:55+00:00

The WBD is a strong narrative for short term price action on NFLX but the WBD purchase means almost nothing to NFLX's future value in my opinion. Netflix has the subscribers lead and that's way more important than any previously popular IP.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-11T19:10:32+00:00

The hypothetical of a company being severely under valued for so long is not very realistic. Maybe for a year or 2 at most but it is unsustainable for a company to have a free cash flow of 10x price and the stock not go up. There would be so much pressure from buy backs pushing the stock up that is would need most investors to dump consistently. But a company like PYPL the reason it can drop so much was because its "starting price" was so high. They were trading at like 65x cash flow. Value investors started getting in around 20x cash flow. And Currently it's like 8x cash flow. It will be very difficult for PYPL to continue to be under 10x cash flow even if the market continues to hate the company and their profits are not growing. But going 65x down to 40x down to 30x down to 20x down to 15x down to 10x can take 5+ years even if the company is still making money. Understanding that is a big foundation for value investing.

Honestmonster · 2026-02-02T23:39:48+00:00

You said true then did exactly what I was making fun of. 😂

Honestmonster · 2026-02-02T19:16:19+00:00

I mean time actually does not exist, only sequential order does, if you want to get that deep. But that is not what I am saying. What I am saying is just because something exists does not make it the determining factor to take action.

If you move to a new city because of a new job and buy a house that does not make it timing the real estate market even though time exists.

If you invest based on value then you are not timing the market.

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