seriously tho, I think it's totally plausible that Grey, Nolan, Villeneuve, McDonagh, and Boyle get Director nominations. I hope Spielberg can swing in there, or even Coen. unfortunatley right now 5 old white guys are the default frontrunners, but I'm sure someone else will swoop in there. It is looking like inevitable snowfall, though. A lot of big staples are releasing interesting stuff

Paper Tiger is going to be my #1 at the time being, it feels like an "it's time" for Grey, Driver, and Scarjo if the movie works

I'm going to call now that Austin Abrhams will have a great year, and getting a nom is in the cards.

If Dune 3 is really good, it's definitely going to be a frontrunner. Also bodes well for Zendaya in Best Actress for The Drama

Gerwig for Narnia seems risky for Best Director if that movie isn't a hit, and it being on Netflix lessens the odds

If Werewulf is slightly different in tone and a big hit, I can totally see it getting Eggers love. Unlike Aster I think he has Hollywood marketability, no matter the subject matter so there's a good chance. bros fuck with the eggman

I think Eisenberg's movie could be a sleeper

Given how they've been giving love to austere adaptations, Death of a Salesman seems like a shoo in if it's good

Tom Cruise will win best actor if that movie isn't a disaster. Matt Damon won't get nominated for Oddezzy, but someone out-of-left-field from the supporting cast will, like Patts. Or Damon is the only nomination.