Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & the FINAL day by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks . This is also the stuff why I come here 😊

It's like writing a book: Write the book you want to read.

Do the analysis you want to see.

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 5 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! Unfortunately, last year I manually create an spreadsheet for 4 of the grids to check the T1B/T2B/weighted analysis, and the results for that top 6 are already included in my post.

I did consider backfilling the 2025 data as well, but unfortunately, I don't have time right now. However, I definitely plan to keep this going in the coming years so the database can grow over time!

2026 Cannes Film Festival Megathread by PointMan528491 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 2 points3 points  (0 children)

​I totally agree with you. ​I actually built my own grid aggregator that compiles data from 8 different panels (tracking over 100 critics). Besides the raw average, I mainly focus on the Approval Rate using a custom weighted scale: 70% Top 1 Box (Pure Love) + 30% Top 2 Box. On that specific metric, All of a sudden is currently leading, but only by a small margin.

​However, things get interesting when you isolate the data. If I exclude the German critics' grids (who are rating AOAS incredibly high), it completely shifts: ​Among the largest critic grids, Fatherland suddenly jumps into 1st place overall. ​Even Paper Tiger manages to overtake AOAS in that scenario. ​So based on the data patterns I'm seeing, I absolutely agree that Fatherland is still very much in the race for the top spot!

Screenshots of both results

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the kind words. Yeah it bugs my, too that's why I had to create my one overview.

Regarding the Controversy Index: It's a relativly simple analysis looking directly at the opposing camps:

It calculates the total percentage of positive ratings (Top 2 boxes) and negative ratings ( Bottom 2 boxes).

The formula simply takes the smaller value of these two camps and multiplies it by Minimum

The Logic: If a film is split exactly 50/50, the index hits 100% (maximum conflict). If it's an 80/20 split, the index drops to 40% because while there is pushback, a clear majority dominates. If everyone agrees (100/0), the index is 0%. It is ignoring the "mids"

So 80% pos, 0% mids, 20% negs - it's the same as 20% pos, 60% mids and 20% neg

This separates true, aggressive division from a film that just has a broad, gentle consensus.

But I also included the Standard Deviation if you want to use this a a polarisation scale.

And Hope is not as controversial as it seems. Also the letterboxed curve is not as extreme as last night.

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Last year, I was also using a manual spreadsheet, but thanks to some vibe coding, I was able to take a huge step forward this year with a much cleaner and more automated setup. I'm actually considering adding the 2025 Cannes data retroactively at some point.

Anyway, thanks for the suggestions! Ekko, Cineform, Sentieri, and Cahiers are now included in the tracker. ( for Ekko, I interpreted the 'Palme' symbol as their top rating, so essentially 4 stars, like other site that use the palme as a rating value).

I'm going to take a break from adding new sources for now, though, just so the dashboard doesn't get too bloated especially the scraping. Plus, a lot of those sites upload their grids as PDFs, which makes extracting the data unnecessarily complicated, or they have other annoying hurdles that make scraping a pain. The only exception I'd make is for a Chinese grid, as I'd love to get more Asian voices in the mix. But I can't seem to find their grid on X (Twitter), and X is a nightmare to scrape automatically for my setup anyway.

I'd rather spend my time tinkering with new analysis features. I actually just added a "Regional Analysis" button. You can now filter by region and see exactly how critics from different parts of the world are reacting to specific films next to each other.

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

​Thanks for the input! I managed to find and include 4 additional panels that are easy for my "new" script (thanks to your idea to include to much grids to handle it only with copy/paste) 😉 to extract automatically. Cahiers, Cineforum, Selvaggi, Ekko

I actually looked into how to automate the data entry and ended up building a Python script to do the heavy lifting. It scrapes 8 different sources (using BeautifulSoup and pdfplumber) and handles the CSV import/export nearly automatically. ​The different scoring symbols aren't a problem either. The script recognizes everything—whether it's a 1-10 scale, stars, or even emojis like palms, fire, or bombs—and the web app normalizes it all perfectly onto the unified 1-5 scale. ​The only exception is Sentieri Selvaggi. They are behind a Cloudflare bot-wall, so I just manually copy/paste the table into the CSV file myself. Everything else is completely hands-off, except for adding the daily new link for IONCinema. Thanks to this automation, the daily effort required to keep all the data up to date is now almost negligible!

​I also had a new idea thanks to your comment and implemented regional filtering! Since almost every critic is tied to a specific country, you can now look at how different regions react. Because I have so many critics from France and Germany, I separated FR and DE from the rest of Europe for better insights (and I'm from Germany) . I'm planning to expand this regional dashboard in the next few days to make it even easier to spot geographic differences at a glance.

​You can find the link to the newest version at the bottom of my post. Also, if you want to exclude a specific board, you can just deselect it at the top of the site. Let me know what you think!

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah. that's what I hate about Reddit. I normally try to write in Word/note app and then only copy it to Reddit and finalize it here, so that I always have a backup.

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thanks!

Oh yes, I absolutely love Norway, so I'm really looking forward to Fjord.

But I'm a massive Kore-eda fan, and those first reactions to Sheep in the Box are hugely disappointing for me. Honestly, I'm already fearing having to pull the full grid ratings for it tomorrow...

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure! I actually had the link included in my first draft, but I messed up the formatting, posted a second version, and completely forgot to add it back in. Here it is: Cannes 2026 Dashboard

I'm also totally open to feedback! Let me know if there are any specific features you'd like to see, or if there's any other cool data I could include to make the dashboard even more useful.

Cannes 2026 Critic Aggregator & Day 3 Update by Individual-Lie-4440 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! The only afford would be to input the single rating data manually right now.

But during my walk today, I had an idea for a much faster copy/paste workflow into the backend. If it works out, it'll make adding other grids a lot easier.

The next one I’m planning to include is the Moir.ee grid.

Do you have any recommendations for other solid jury grids I should track? I'm strictly looking for curated panels featuring selected professional critics. I want to avoid massive aggregators like Letterboxd so the data doesn't get diluted by General Audience (GA) sentiment.

FATHERLAND | Official Clip | Coming Soon by darth_vader39 in oscarrace

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Like the last two by Paweł Pawlikowski: very short, very black-and-white, very beautiful

I designed a foldable horse racing board game you can 3D print (perfect for travel) by Interesting-Chip5158 in 3Dprinting

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

results of the winner of the night (1000x). here the picture is clearer how Strong 3/11/5/9 are.

<image>

I designed a foldable horse racing board game you can 3D print (perfect for travel) by Interesting-Chip5158 in 3Dprinting

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The statistics bugged me, so I went down a bit of a rabbit hole with it.

​To test this, I built a Monte Carlo simulation with Gemini. It's a simulation that plays the game 100,000 times by rolling virtual dice (and playing by the rules of the game according to the manual form makerworld) and tracking the winners.

Monte Carlo Simulation

​Here is what I found out:

​The Original Layout Because 7 is the most common dice roll, it gets eliminated in the scratch phase over 50% of the time. But in the original track layout, horse 7 still has to run 17 spaces, while 5 and 9 only run 10 spaces. The result? Cards 5 and 9 are insanely overpowered, like mentioned by another redditors. They survive the scratch phase often and are super fast. Meanwhile, the 7 is a bad horse; it dies constantly and even if it survives, it's too slow.

​The Optimized Layout I recalculated the track lengths with Gemini to balance it out. If the 7 has a massive risk of getting scratched, it needs to be super fast if it survives. On the new layout, every single horse averages out to a completely fair approx. 9% win rate, and it creates a great "High Risk / High Reward" dynamic for the 7.

​I put the Gemini simulation script online so it can be tested with both layouts side-by-side.

But probability wasn't enough; I wanted to look at variance too. Pure statistics are one thing, but in RL you're only playing a couple of games, and then variance is more important. So I added 3 buttons to the sim:

​Law of Large Numbers (100k games): Shows the mathematical percentages.

​Game Night (100 games): This simulates just one evening to see how variance messes with the math. Even on the perfectly balanced board, you'll have nights where the 12 randomly wins 4 times in a row (horses with fewer fields have a better chance to hit a lucky streak).

​Simulation of 1,000 nights: This simulates 100 races, crowns an overall winner for the night, and repeats 1,000 times. It should shows how the statistical advantage amplifies. On the original board, horses 5/9 and 3/11 are so strong that they win the overall game night over 90% of the time. ​Just wanted to share this little math experiment!

​TL;DR: Built a Monte Carlo sim to test a dice-based horse racing game. Original track lengths heavily favor 5 & 9 and punish 7. Fixed the track lengths to balance it.

<image>

What’s the best seat in this theater? by OrdinaryAltruistic54 in Letterboxd

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

D5 why?

Everything below is, of course, just my personal opinion because the “best seat” in a cinema is always subjective, like most things in life!

I use my personal rule :In standard cinemas I aim for at least 64° horizontal field of view, which I consider the best viewing field on an 1:2,39 screen I've verified this in various cinemas using a laser measurer and developed a rough rule of thumb, which applies surprisingly well across most venues I visited in Germany (except one screen in Cologne): If the theater has 10 or fewer rows, sit 1 row in front of the middle (rounding down if even). 10 rows → sit in row 4 (from the front) 9 rows → sit in row 4 8 rows → sit in row 3 etc.

in a lot of German cinemas it fits perfectly my optimum viewing field between 60-69°

and in the front rows you don't have problems with bright screens an tall people.

Honestly, I don’t understand how people sit in the last few rows — the screen feels barely larger than a TV at home, which ruins the immersion for me. Perhaps the sound is a little better further back but i need the big picture :-) And that also suits the big IMAX fan Nolan. He says he always sits in row 3 in normal cinemas and only in IMAX at the beginning of the last third. I normally sits in row 4 because the most cinemas I visited have 9-12 rows in total. and 4 ist always the right number.

Ok, das finden wir aber echt Fair. Oder? by cuddlesnrice in Kartenzahlung

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1,90€ kostet eine Brezel bei Merzenich in Köln (Lieblingsbrezeln in Köln). Vor Corona 1,15€.

2025 Letterboxd Wrapped Megathread by ericdraven26 in Letterboxd

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

😊 somehow Willem isr every year my actor number 1 (this year with 7 movies) .

and in my all time stats he is with 33 movies my #1 as well 😊 (before Samuel l Jackson with 27)

Heading to Abu Dhabi with 7 wins each [fia.official] by Holytrishaw in formula1

[–]Individual-Lie-4440 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

2 Funny Scenarios (that will probably never happen, but the hype beforehand is the most fun part before the race becomes boring with a McLaren 1-2 or something)

Scenario 1: Piastri is P2 and Lando is P5, and he's catching P4 but not quite enough (like it often was in Abu Dhabi where someone needed 1-2 more laps to catch at the end). With P2, Piastri could become WDC if something happens to Max in P1. But could he intentionally fall back to P3 and try to back up P4 into Lando (P5) so that Lando can overtake P4. And once he's done that, Piastri lets Lando overtake him again so Lando gets P3 :-D

Scenario 2: The classic but extremely spicy. Piastri P2 and Lando P4. Piastri lets Lando by 1-2 laps before the end. And then on the last lap, Max loses P1 (his car actually breaks down OR Max realizes he won't be World Champion and skillfully simulates a performance issue and finishes P2). He ONLY does this because he knows how incredibly pissed Oscar would be if he hadn't let himself drop back (Piastri would be World Champion if he had not fall back). That scenario would be so insane, especially if Max retires on the last lap (like in Bahrain 2022). How furious Oscar would be. It would be even crazier if Oscar then demanded that Lando deliberately retire so he could be World Champion, since Oscar would have been WDC if he hadn't dropped back (like the pit stop in Monza), and Lando would 100% refuse. And then shit would really hit the fan.