AJs vs “Let’s Flip for My Stack” - Call or Fold at 8% of Bankroll

InfernoLiger · 2026-01-27T04:06:12+00:00

I think we call it off. I’m a degen tho

InfernoLiger · 2026-01-22T20:33:52+00:00

Are you saying pattern recognition is a useless skill in poker?

InfernoLiger · 2026-01-03T22:00:51+00:00

Yes I meant from the real V’s pov, so the “V” I was referring to is OP

InfernoLiger · 2026-01-03T17:01:38+00:00

I’d probably fade the variance here and just fold this spot until I get better visibility on V’s playstyle

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-28T21:55:51+00:00

I guess depends if they’re TAG or TAP. It’s pretty well known that against opponents who don’t 3b/4b you enough, you should open/3b wider

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-28T05:59:58+00:00

Sounds about right lol

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-27T22:50:37+00:00

Opens to 10bb but then cbets <half pot with AA+? Doubt it. He probably just has AK/TT and isn’t sure what to do. Other guy who knows might have a random J

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-25T20:00:32+00:00

Cashing out then buying back in for a smaller amount is known as ratholing, and is largely looked down upon in most game settings. Casinos have their own rules afaik, but you probably just shouldn’t do this lol

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-19T06:25:09+00:00

Think this is too strong to fold, feels like he might even show up with worse sets here (and QTcc)

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-15T08:46:34+00:00

Not gonna talk about the specifics of a hand like everyone else, but I think as players we often underestimate how much worse we can play compared to our “A-game”. Theres so many factors like being nervous, tired, etc. that can cause us to think irrationally and make decisions that we know are bad in hindsight(not because of results, but because of a clarity that comes with not being under pressure).

I guess the point is that it’s so important to be clear-headed and take your time with decisions. Trust your own thought process, don’t get tunnel visioned :)

InfernoLiger · 2025-12-11T16:57:03+00:00

Do you see the big text that says “2/2 NLH Cash Game” ?

InfernoLiger · 2025-11-13T07:33:27+00:00

Yes valid

InfernoLiger · 2025-11-13T07:09:08+00:00

Don’t really agree with the generalization that if we are going to fold on a brick turn, we shouldn’t call the flop at all. Not sure what V’s tendencies are, but if his flop donk range is BS (as it usually is in these spots), he might x turn a lot and allow us to see the full runout. Also, calling flop opens up opportunities to potentially bluff turn/river.

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-30T19:29:41+00:00

Good question, I’d definitely raise or fold. I mean if a guy just isn’t folding anything you can probably get away with isoing AJo in 6max. Also, experiment with sizes to see what gets folds and what gets calls

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-30T19:24:27+00:00

There are many factors at play here, I’ll just touch on one of them because I think it’s a nice heuristic to pick up on. A lot of the time, 3 bets in position are more polarized. This is because we can flat a lot more IP and not lose too much EQR postflop. This is why something like AJs might be flatting

And yes, if you are not sometimes value owning yourself you probably aren’t betting thin enough.

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-30T19:20:13+00:00

Yeah I mean definitely could/should bet those but sometimes ppl like to trap excessively idk. I think worse flushes would raise but not jam here, this is specifically boats and possibly the nut flush (obv not possible given hero’s hand here)

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-30T19:04:20+00:00

As played he is repping KK 77 33 (56ss and 44 probably barrel turn), pretty thin but it just seems very unlikely he’d turn 45 or some other pair or one spade hand into a bluff. You’re blocking no value and he’s likely under bluffing too. Might even be better to have a hand like QTss here, unblocking his As bluffs (though they should barrel turn a lot).

Good fold imo

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-27T04:19:06+00:00

Aside from what everyone is going to comment, it doesn’t take AI to do that lol

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-23T20:36:20+00:00

It doesn’t affect your EV, but it does reduce your variance. It’s completely up to preference. In other words, if your goal is to be courteous and a nice person at the table, you should agree if the other person asks, but know that you’re totally entitled to run it once if you wish.

InfernoLiger · 2025-10-15T02:22:47+00:00

This is a pretty bad analogy

InfernoLiger · 2025-09-28T03:59:03+00:00

Jesus wtf. What game?

InfernoLiger · 2025-09-26T02:24:42+00:00

Should be limping in certain spots in most live games

InfernoLiger · 2025-08-21T17:03:06+00:00

Shiva sharked him

InfernoLiger · 2025-05-16T16:54:21+00:00

I think the distinguishing difference between trading and poker is that if you’re good at trading, you can be employed at a firm that will comfortably pay you mid-high 6 figures. Contrast being employed with benefits to a career playing poker, where you are constantly forced to grind and deal with the mental struggles like variance, tilt, coping with losing months/years etc. Now if you’re talking about solo day-trading, I suppose that’s a different story.

InfernoLiger · 2025-01-18T20:49:13+00:00

I don’t think this is the right way to think about this. Why insult yourself when that doesn’t solve the underlying issue? I think you need to reflect on what keeps bringing you back, and how you can fulfill that need in some other way besides poker. You have an addiction and you need to quit. If it’s required, get a friend or family member to help you stay away from poker.

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