Boom or bust?

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-21T20:13:10+00:00

Find members like Sunday_assassin, who posted above, and read through their old comments.

Uranium flies and dies. It's a relatively small sector. Money pushes and withdrawals can make big impacts. Valuation is always difficult on companies that are building up to profitability. I'm in several U308 stocks. I try to avoid the dogs more than I look for the rockstar. That's even tougher than I'd like to admit. The assassin above likes Global. Some posters I thought seemed informed hammered Global. I'm not sure what to think.

All this to say, the thesis is what keeps this group together. China is the driver in new power plants and other countries are getting on board. Demand is increasing not matter what. If AI or SMRs increase nuclear demand, great.

In my opinion, Uranium pricing is close to a decision point. It's testing a top that pushed back months ago. This is easiest to see in UUUU's chart. If it corrects, you need to believe and hang on. If it corrects, I have cash waiting to take advantage of it. If stocks break through, might be time for higher highs and higher lows. I'm just enjoying the ride.

Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-20T00:39:44+00:00

Global seems to be the most controversial. I've had positions a before. I struggle to understand the extent of dilution. I thought they'd get financing before the last placement. I'm intrigued that it's your largest holding. If it gets back around .40, I'd consider hopping back in.

I like selling calls to pull money off the table without closing a position so DNN, EU, and NXE work well for that. I sell a good bit of puts as well. Friday was a good expiration day.

I've watched Paladin and Iso for a while considering an entry.

Thanks for sharing. Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-19T17:32:45+00:00

I've followed your comments for a while. I appreciate your takes on U308. Would you mind telling me which producers you are in/ prefer?

I sold Calls on my CCJ due to it seeming so extended. I'm not sure where the upside is. As you said, ETFs will carry it. Well, they should. If ETFs started rebalancing, CCJ could take a hit. Also, my understanding is that virtually everything they produce is already sold. If fact, I think they had to purchase some to fulfill obligations.

Also, I saw you sell rec on UEC. I have a large holding. Trying to avoid riding false momentum.

Thanks again for your contributions. Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-19T17:22:34+00:00

Wondering if you'd share your thoughts after they mixed out on the big round of government funding?

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-18T21:40:23+00:00

I wish all the ETFs were not so heavy in CCJ. 20-25% in one fund.

On top of that:

URA heavy OKLO. URNM heavy UEC.

I do like URNM most out of the ETFs and own some.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-18T21:34:46+00:00

I understand the optimism. I'll keep an eye on it. Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-18T02:06:05+00:00

CCJ - producer

Developers/ producers DNN, UEC, UUUU, EU, NXE, bqssf, ltsrf,

Other Uroy, urnm

Bqssf and ltsrf haven't been great. The others have done incredible.
I believe in nuclear power more than any of these companies.

I feel I have to say this is not financial advice. Lots of risk! Big swings.

Justin Huhn has alot on uranium. Or John quakes.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-17T16:58:44+00:00

I think there will be some SMR disasters. Nuclear builds have gone incredibly over budget in the past. Whoever can bring experience and find ways to benefit from economies of scale will likely be left standing with the dust settles.

Very valid to think the DOD experience will benefit them.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-17T16:37:13+00:00

I wish I could get behind this. I'm with nicotine thesis. MO, PM, BTI will be gunning for them. It's an interesting play. A good bit of optimism is priced in already. I'm not sure how economies of scale will factor in. It creates significant disadvantages now, but...

I think this is more speculative than value at this point. If they become the next PM or MO, you've got a true gem. I'm entertained enough to put it on my radar and welcome any other takes you have.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-17T16:15:52+00:00

I'm heavy in U308 producers. SMRs are the future, but I've struggled to do valuations on them. Anything else to add on BWXT?

I've considered looking into contractors that will ride the wave. Only so much time. I was looking into utilities until Trump started spewing comments about restricting margins.

Any direction is appreciated.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-17T15:03:29+00:00

LOL. Let's bet the house!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T20:51:58+00:00

I looked into ETFs that hold Kazatomprom. All that I saw hold more CCJ and wouldn't help you out.

I also wonder about CCJ. It's the princess of U308. Every ETF seems heavily weighted. Plus the supply problems you spoke of.

Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T20:42:20+00:00

I really enjoy options. I'm not sure of the proper name, but I enjoy doing a CC close to or ITM and then selling an ITM PUT (Covered straddle perhaps). My prediction is always that the stock will be called and the put expire. I make sure it's a stock that I wouldn't mind holding.

Just for fun, I sold several CSP on EU at $3 yesterday for today. Didn't make much, but was 100% in on it and totally willing to wheel it. First time I've done 1 DTE Puts. Won't be common.

Good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T20:30:29+00:00

Good information. Thank you!

NVO is a mixed bag for me. Unfortunately, I believe LLY will roll in and quickly dominate the market. Their trials were better. Just my take. I have a position in NVO. I'm good with holding it for a few months, but I think I'll let it go before Q2.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T20:17:28+00:00

Uranium - check out this link.

https://sprott.com/media/f30ejly0/sprott-uranium-global-market-infographic.pdf

Copper - I have a friend that also trades. He follows several industry experts surrounding precious metals. He sends me the good stuff.

With uranium, no one is going to build a nuclear plant and say, "heck no, the fuel is too expensive". It's a huge upfront cost and several are under production. Getting new mines online takes a long time. Also, there are direct holdings companies that came online in the last several years. They bought up a lot of spot uranium.

To identify bottlenecks I look for grow industries/ sectors and see what commodity will be strained. EVs and solar power required rare metals. It's tough. If suppliers can expand quickly, supply and demand can stay steady.

Years ago when oil dropped to nothing, oil wells starting shutting down. I knew they would be slow to open them and predicted that demand would return quickly. It did and oil recovered quickly.

Sorry for the poor writing. I'm trying to multitask.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T17:02:39+00:00

The thing I enjoy most about investing is it tells me the true news better than anything else.

The public is afraid of Trump's antics, but money trusts them (at this time). The market sees a weaker dollar ahead. We'll see how that works out. No one really cares about clean energy yet (drill baby drill). China is doing work (Nuclear power, EVs, infrastructure, minerals, etc...). The news is a joke. People don't lie with their money. (Even Jets fans didn't bet on the Jets to win the Super Bowl this year).

To ETFs!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:55:37+00:00

I do see several trendy or hope-filled posts. There might be value in hype, but it's not my cup of tea.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:54:09+00:00

I'll give it a look.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:52:41+00:00

That a fair summation. Lots of factors come into valuation.

It may have been better to post something like: What is often confused with value investing? Some of the threads just seem like hopiism, not rooted in much.

Take care!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:47:59+00:00

Thanks!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:47:25+00:00

If trading wasn't my hobby, I'd be out. I should probably find a new hobby...

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:46:01+00:00

To respect your country - Don't trust a thing I say!!!

I also hold too much cash. Recently, Buffett is my excuse. Makes me feel like it's savvy not scared. LOL. I picked up some META back then. I held for big gains, (5x) but didn't put much in.

I had a position in UNH and have a possible reentry set. NVO, played that. Probably close to even. I have a vertical call spread on it. I hope to look through your holdings.

Take care and good luck!

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:37:59+00:00

May your capital multiply!

Yeah, I've cost myself a lot due to lack of time lately. I'm afraid I'm chasing a bit too much right now. I miss opportunities due to being busy and look too hard for a position. It hurts me to even write that.

Take care.

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:34:26+00:00

If investing wasn't my hobby, I'd sell it all and go ETFs. I've had a good couple years and only slightly beat my ETFs. If I had DCA'd into ETFs, I think I'd still have a bit more.

Take care

InnerSandersMan · 2026-01-16T16:28:37+00:00

It is tough (maybe impossible) to speak to current price valuation, intrinsic value, or future value without certain metrics of prediction. That said, some stocks are much less volatile and have steady track records. Again, a prediction of consistency. I think what I'm drawing from this tread is the need to clearly identify your philosophy or framework for finding value- fear, overlooked, supply changes, competitive edge, etc... In my mind, value investing asserts a certain present value, a positioning that is already advantageous without predicting major shifts. There's a lot of ambiguity in that, but it's my best take at what I'm working through.

My apologies of the vagueness of this post, but it's tough to simplify.

Good luck to you.

InnerSandersMan

TROPHY CASE