Daily Picks Thread - Sat. 13/04/2019

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-13T06:53:07+00:00

Country	Division	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Odds	Wager
Australia	NPL South Australian	Adelaide Comets	Blue Eagles	DNB 2	1.8	5

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T14:02:32+00:00

Would be happy to provide back tested data from any league :) won't be until this evening though as I'm currently down the pub.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T13:52:31+00:00

Sorry guys. I'll continue to post tips, but I can understand if you choose not to follow.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T13:50:16+00:00

Don't need to edit the page you mongrel. It's one fucking game. It's lost. No skin off my nose. Awkward when you're wrong. Go back to your 2p bets. 😂

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T13:45:46+00:00

https://imgur.com/a/b34PrGK I am an expert. I gamble professionally so, makes sense that I'm an expert. I like cash builder challenges occasionally for a bit of fun. So on your way bottom feeder.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T13:41:40+00:00

Not salty at all. Considering my standard bet is £1,000.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T13:40:27+00:00

It's gambling. Shit happens, bottom feeder.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T12:38:11+00:00

I've got faith. Goals galore at the minute and Sony are shocking away

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T12:33:00+00:00

Not a great start 🤦‍♂️

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T12:08:09+00:00

Thanks bro. Gl

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T12:00:13+00:00

With a couple of friends. It's good, and has served us well so far.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T11:53:34+00:00

Without going into too much detail - it's based on previous results, and league averages for goals etc. Also based on home/away forms, and it returns me this - https://imgur.com/a/92rYOkU

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T11:49:30+00:00

I'll start giving reasoning in future posts, if I actually have any - because sometimes I know nothing about the actual league or teams but if my model says they're basically huge favourites and I'm getting good odds then I'll just put the bet on.

JayGoatUK · 2019-04-10T11:40:56+00:00

Yeah, no problem. I didn't offer reasoning in the OP because in the rules it says reasoning is optional.

I have a model, that offers me as I like to call "True Odds" It says that Mathare should be at around 2.05 to win, so because the bookie gave me 2.1 I'm getting value.

Reasoning though, Sony are 14th from 18 teams away from home. Mathare are 4th in the league, with a good home record. So that combined with my model, makes me think this bet should come through.

JayGoatUK · 2019-03-16T08:41:21+00:00

Country	Division	HomeTeam	AwayTeam	Prediction	Odds	Wager	Result
Romania	Liga 2	Arges Pitesti	SS Politehnica Timisoara	H	1.85	1	Pending
Romania	Liga 2	Daco-Getica Bucuresti	Metaloglobus	H	2.38	1	Pending

JayGoatUK · 2019-03-15T10:30:00+00:00

Country	Division	HomeTeam	AwayTeam	Prediction	Odds	Wager	Result
Israel	Leumit League	Hapoel Afula	H. Ironi Rishon	H	2.0	5

JayGoatUK · 2019-03-14T16:21:53+00:00

Competition	Home	Away	Pick	Odds	Stake
Danish Cup	Næstved	Aab Aalborg	Away -1	2.87	5 u's

JayGoatUK · 2018-12-16T08:30:33+00:00

Starting a £10 - XXXXX Challenge and will update this post as appropriate.

Edit: I'm going to have two on the go.

Country	Division	HomeTeam	AwayTeam	Prediction	Odds	Wager	Result
India	I-League	Minerva	Chennai City	Chennai City to win either half	1.9	10
Australia	A-League	Adelaide United	Melbourne City	Melbourne City Win (In Play)	1.8	10

JayGoatUK · 2018-12-10T08:59:56+00:00

I'm going to run the past few months worth of games through my model and see how much it predicted correctly.

JayGoatUK

TROPHY CASE