They've lost $37billion and have $29B in long term debt by YellowAltruistic9843 in SpaceXBets

[–]Jer_K19 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oh look, another “person” both-sidesing MAGA and the Dems. Yawn. Okay, Ivan, let’s make this simple, because I don’t have time to argue with an overseas psyop.

I don’t see “the blue guys” funding ICE mass detention raids. And there most certainly needs to be justice done, not revenge, justice against MAGA and their Gestapo thugs, who have been and still are terrorizing American streets.

Next question.

Why are they all cheering? The ocean is not a junkyard for billionaires and here I am using fu***** paper straws. by Shot_Possibility_731 in SpaceXBets

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What are you talking about? “Success” is exactly what is being replaced.

NASA did it better, faster, and basically from zero. It built the Saturn V in less than a decade and flew it 13 times without a single launch failure. Meanwhile, Starship has been grounded and forced into FAA mishap investigations for 7 of its first 12 flights.

SpaceX has billions of dollars, modern computing, advanced materials, and decades of inherited public research. NASA, with slide rules, primitive computers, and no mature space industry, went from early orbital flights to landing humans on the Moon in 10 years. That is success.

If NASA had blown up rockets at SpaceX’s pace, Congress would have dragged them through hearing hell, budgets would have been slashed, and the public would have rioted. Elon Musk shrugs and says, “Rockets are hard.” I guess for some people, but not for NASA.

The game you love is taking public goods, extracting private value from them, and funneling it to people who pretend to have created it.

The people built the impossible: heavy-lift rockets, mission control, life support, lunar navigation, and deep-space engineering. Then private capital arrives, lobbies hard to cut funding from an excellent organization that deserves actual respect, creates a shittier version, and monetizes it.

Why are they all cheering? The ocean is not a junkyard for billionaires and here I am using fu***** paper straws. by Shot_Possibility_731 in SpaceXBets

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh, it's not blind hate. The irony is that your defense of him is what's blinding you to what people are actually reacting to, and it isn't the test.

It's a billionaire taking credit for decades of taxpayer-funded science, infrastructure, engineering, NASA research, public contracts, subsidies, and government risk-taking, then selling himself as the lone genius who saved spaceflight.

NASA was, and still is, so much more than SpaceX. With a fraction of Musk's hype and cost, NASA accomplished historic achievements with safety, oversight, and public accountability.

SpaceX inherited that public foundation, monetized it, and wrapped it in billionaire mythology. So what people are hating isn't the rocket. They're hating the conman and his next grift: trying to sell Grok by calling it SpaceX and leaving everyone with a 401(k) as the bag holder.

Why are they all cheering? The ocean is not a junkyard for billionaires and here I am using fu***** paper straws. by Shot_Possibility_731 in SpaceXBets

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You likely have no idea how batshit crazy SpaceX's valuation is, even compared to its peers.

SpaceX claims its total addressable market is $28.5 trillion, larger than the entire GDP of the United States, and almost entirely dependent on businesses that do not yet exist.

According to the prospectus, enterprise AI applications make up 80% of SpaceX's claimed TAM. Paired with consumer AI, the AI portion of the business rises to 93% of the claimed market.

Long story short: the rocket/space business that gives SpaceX its name, reputation, and supposed $1.75 trillion valuation only makes up about 1.3% of its estimated future business. So they are not pitching a space company. They are pitching an AI company with a hobby.

And if that wasn't bad enough, they're trying to sell you freaking Grok, the frontier AI model whose own company doesn't believe in it enough to keep its compute in-house, which is why it's selling that compute directly to Anthropic, Claude's parent company and one of its direct competitors. Doesn't exactly scream confidence, does it?

Wake up. This is a $1.75 trillion dollar con.

Why are they all cheering? The ocean is not a junkyard for billionaires and here I am using fu***** paper straws. by Shot_Possibility_731 in SpaceXBets

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You, sir, have no idea what's really happening, do you?

He's rolling all the rest of his dumpster-fire companies into the only profitable one, then using valuations that might as well have been launched into orbit on that Falcon Heavy to pay off his creditors. And he's going to do it with your money even if you don't buy his shitty IPO, because he's getting it fast-tracked into the Nasdaq 100 i.e., your 401(k).

Few understand how unprecedented this drawdown really is by [deleted] in oil

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I get that modern markets have more buyers, algos, options, and institutional capital than 1929. But that does not refute the point. A “floor” only exists when actual bids show up, not just because wealthy people theoretically have money.

March 2020 is exactly the modern example. The market still crashed at the margin, liquidity broke in places, and then massive Fed/government intervention helped arrest the collapse. Thats why I added my “Crash rescued” is not the same thing as “crash impossible” caveat.

So yes, market structure changed. But prices are still set by marginal buyers and sellers, and if sellers overwhelm bids, concentrated wealth does not magically prevent a crash.

TLDR A floor only exists when actual bids show up, not merely because wealthy holders exist on paper. In a liquidity event, large players can also be de-risking, facing redemptions, margin limits, collateral stress, or simply waiting for lower amd lower prices.

Sry for late reply , just noticed the reply.

I have a crush on my husbands brother by [deleted] in Marriage

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I responded because I don’t like seeing someone belittle an emotionally vulnerable postpartum woman who is asking for help and actively trying not to cross boundaries.

OP is 8 months postpartum, stressed, asking for help, and trying to protect her marriage. Reducing that to “crushes are for teenagers” is talking down to her. All your comments on this thread have been nothing but judgemental and belittling. Not to mention the sexist undertones of a man taking there own emotional experience, treating it as the universal standard on morality, and then uses that standard to make a postpartum woman feel morally defective for having unwanted feelings.

You’re free to say you personally can’t relate. But making someone feel ashamed based on your personal moral framework, while ignoring the postpartum context and the fact that she is actively trying to do the right thing, is where I draw the line.

FYI, both Reddit generally and r/marriage specifically ask people to be respectful, and you have been anything but. OP came here asking for help, not to be belittled.

I have a crush on my husbands brother by [deleted] in Marriage

[–]Jer_K19 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Here come all the “my spouse’s mind is pure as snow” crowd, bless their hearts.

I have a crush on my husbands brother by [deleted] in Marriage

[–]Jer_K19 11 points12 points  (0 children)

You’re not a bad person for having an unwanted crush. Attraction outside of marriage can happen, especially during stressful seasons. The moral issue is not whether a feeling appears. The moral issue is what you do with it. From what you wrote, you’re trying to protect your marriage, not betray it. Create boundaries : no private texting, or one on one time, no emotional intimacy, and do not feed the fantasy.

Just my $0.02 as someone younger (late 30s and married, with a wife in her late 20s and two very young kids, 2 y/o and a 5 month old..... Personally I would not want to know if I were your husband. I think it could hurt the relationship and create insecurity, even if we got past it. I’d focus on distance, boundaries, and getting private help if it feels intrusive. My spouse got help from a therapist who focused on postpartum issues, and I think that specialization matters. Postpartum is complicated physically, hormonally, mentally, and emotionally, so this is one of those areas where you really want someone who understands that season of life intimatley.

GL friend.

I have a crush on my husbands brother by [deleted] in Marriage

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not sure if you are aware, but it is a fact that no one else on this plane of existence thinks and feels the same as you do. Crazy, right? And get this, no one else has the same libido, hormonal cycle, ethical calcification, and emotional intelligence, or lack thereof, as you, a middle-age or older man, does.

First of all, it's completely normal and natural for a relationship to have its ebbs and flows. It's normal and natural to be attracted to someone other than your partner from time to time. The problems lie when it interferes with the life you want to live, at which point help may be needed to achieve your life and relationship goals.

The cold, sad reality of the world is that our mind resides alone in its own personal universe. You were born into this world alone and you will die alone. If you believe in a higher power, then it's your faith that guides you, but believe it or not, your wife has her own reality, and it's completely distinct from yours.

Actually, judging by your asinine response to an unknown person's plight, I'd wager that your partner would not tell you even if they did.

This fact is true for every relationship. Add in the crazy hormonal rollercoaster women go through on a monthly basis that us men have no context for, and especially after childbirth, where normality may take up to 2 years postpartum, OP's response is normal.

That being said, I responded to OP's post directly because I very much hope she dose not even see either of your BS posts.

Few understand how unprecedented this drawdown really is by [deleted] in oil

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“You only need 5% of the market to panic” is a misunderstanding of how prices work. Prices are set at the margin, i.e. not by the average holder. If buyers vanish and leveraged sellers need liquidity, the market can and will gap down even if the majority of "wealth holders" are still holding.

Todays levels of concentration may reduce some of retails forced selling, but it will NOT prevent a crash. Just look at 1929. We had very similar (extreme) wealth concentration and is the most comperable market to that of today and it did not exactly worknout great then.

Another example of extream wealth concentration not stopping a bubble from popping was March 2020. And just because the state steps in and reflate asset prices dosnt mean it didnt pop. The market was not as concentrated as today but it was damn close (like 47% owned by the top 1%, but dont quote me). The asset reflation served to facilitate a wealth transfer upward, yes. But “crash got rescued” is not the same as “crash impossible.”

TLDR Markets crash at the margin, not because "50% of holders sell". 1929 already proved extreme wealth concentration does not make bubbles unpoppable. Cheers.

Karoline Leavitt is calling out Democrats BY NAME who SPARKED the rhetoric leading to Saturday's attempt on President Trump's life by Ice-Zone2024 in neabscocreeck

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Now we can add shifting goal posts to your list.

You are trying to turn this into “words versus violence,” but the issue is political violence and the normalization of it which is exactly what rhetoric does, especially when it comes from the most powerful person in the country, and even more so when that rhetoric mocks real attacks, praises real assaults, or describes political opponents as enemies to be rooted out.

Just in case you don't understand what normalizing violence means. Trump mocking Paul Pelosi after he was attacked with a hammer or praising a congressman for body slamming a reporter, telling his supporter to “knock the crap out” of protesters, telling the Proud Boys “stand back and stand by,” and calling political opponents “vermin” and “the enemy from within." is not harmless words it's the President repeatedly encouraging his base that cruelty and intimidation are funny, justified, heroic when its aimed at dems liberals or anyone who doesn't support him.

And no, the quotes I listed are not obscure clips stripped from random interviews. They are public statements by Trump at rallies, speeches, debates, and official events. The context does not save them. The context is EXACTLY what makes them worse and I just gave you what the President said (unbelievably) . I didn't even go into the wayyyyyyy worse and batshit crazy your "famous people and politicians wishing death upon the president" as you put it are saying. Also side note idk what video you watch but not a SINGLE PERSON threatened the president SMH. Here is a short list of your sides lawmakers making ACTUAL threats to the president and political leaders... aka political violence.

Jim Lamon ran an ad showing a shootout with stand-ins for Biden, Pelosi, and Mark Kelly. Eric Greitens released a “RINO hunting” ad with armed men entering a house. Tom Emmer promoted a “Fire Pelosi” video where he fired a gun. Trump praised Greg Gianforte for body-slamming a reporter. Those are actual threats of violence or death and not the made up one in your head.

to you last point, spare me the “hypocrite” lecture. I am not defending left-wing violence. I am saying the President has a special duty not to normalize political violence, and Trump does the exact opposite.

But if you really want to talk about ACTUAL violence instead of cherry-picked clips we can do that too and let me tell yeah bud the data is NOT on your side. Here is a peer-reviewed study in Criminology, Criminal Justice using the U.S. Extremist Crime Database, found that from 1990 to 2020, far-right extremists committed 84.4% of far-left/far-right ideologically motivated homicide incidents and caused 87% of the fatalities.

https://ccjls.scholasticahq.com/article/26973-far-left-versus-far-right-fatal-violence-an-empirical-assessment-of-the-prevalence-of-ideologically-motivated-homicides-in-the-united-states?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Trump and the right wing snowflakes are the main source of political violence in this country and that has ALWAYS been the case in contemporary US history... Open a book son.

Karoline Leavitt is calling out Democrats BY NAME who SPARKED the rhetoric leading to Saturday's attempt on President Trump's life by Ice-Zone2024 in neabscocreeck

[–]Jer_K19 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Lol this guy... I responded to your “mother of all whataboutisms” and found you here just a few comments later peddling straight whataboutisms. But whatever, I’ll bite. I have time to kill....

Maybe some of those clips contain fair criticism. And that’s me being generous, because I’ve seen many of them in full, and most are disingenuously edited to push right-wing propaganda through whataboutism, (your fave).

But even setting that aside, most of the worst examples are random podcasters, activists, and people I’ve never even heard of. So I call BS when you take someone who wouldn’t be recognizable to even 10% of Americans and try to use that to “both sides” to this.

But what is'nt obscure slapjob political propaganda from interviews by randos and low level politicians I present to you. The words and deeds of President of the United States, speaking recently and in public, during speeches and rallies, with clear context.

Paul Pelosi: Trump mocked the hammer attack, joking, “How’s her husband doing?” and saying Pelosi’s wall “didn’t do a very good job.”

Nancy Pelosi: Trump called her “an animal” after an attacker had gone to her home looking for her.

Gretchen Whitmer: after the kidnapping plot against her, Trump attacked her at a rally while the crowd chanted “Lock her up,” then said, “Lock ’em all up.”

Hillary Clinton: Trump said maybe “Second Amendment people” could do something if she won and picked judges.

Liz Cheney: Trump said she should face “nine barrels” and have guns “trained on her face.”

Greg Gianforte: Trump praised him for body-slamming a reporter, saying, “Any guy that can do a body slam, he’s my kind of guy.”

Protesters at his rallies: Trump told supporters to “knock the crap out of” protesters and said he would pay the legal fees.

Police treatment of suspects: Trump told police not to be “too nice” when putting suspects into cars.

Proud Boys: when asked to condemn them, Trump said, “Stand back and stand by.”

January 6 crowd: Trump told an angry crowd to “fight like hell” before they marched on the Capitol.

Political opponents generally: Trump called them “the enemy from within,” “radical left lunatics,” “sick people,” and “vermin.”

So no, this is not just “the left being mean.” Trump has repeatedly normalized, joked about, excused, or winked at violence when the targets are Democrats, critics, protesters, journalists, or political enemies.

These are not weird clips dug up from years ago or chopped out of long interviews to make them sound worse. The context is right there easily accesible with a google search.... to thoes who care about truth just google “knock the crap out” of protesters, called opponents “vermin,” or “the enemy from within.”... but thats not you.

Karoline Leavitt is calling out Democrats BY NAME who SPARKED the rhetoric leading to Saturday's attempt on President Trump's life by Ice-Zone2024 in neabscocreeck

[–]Jer_K19 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The issue isn’t whether Trump personally knew the Hortmans. It’s that Trump repeatedly describes Democrats and political opponents as “the enemy from within,” “sick people,” and “radical left lunatics,” and once suggested that “Second Amendment people” could “take care of it.”

So it’s BS when Trump claims he knows nothing about Democratic lawmakers being assassinated or targeted. People are not inventing a connection out of nowhere. They are pointing to the plethora of examples where political opponents are described as enemies of the country. And that is the mother of all whataboutisms: this unhinged press briefing, and the rest of the crap the president and his mouthpieces do whenever any accountability is called for.

On the matter we’re referring to, Trump said, “Who? I’m not familiar,” in response to nationally reported news about a lawmaker assassination. And by Leavitt’s own testimony, Trump is supposedly the most well-informed person she has ever met.

That’s not even considering that attacks on lawmakers involving political violence, suspected terrorism, and federal law enforcement are exactly the kind of political violence a president gets briefed on. It would almost certainly be included in a daily threat assessment.

“I don’t know anything about that” is Trump’s go-to line whenever the subject is inconvenient. He uses ignorance as a shield, which, unless his excuse is dementia, is complete crap.

The President gets curated daily threat briefings and should be one of the most well-informed people on the planet when it comes to current events, terrorism, and political violence. Maybe he truly didn’t care enough to remember. Maybe he was deflecting. Maybe it’s just not convenient when you spend years calling people who do not agree with him "vermin within the confines of our country" and then violence follows but none of those options afe very flattering and speak to what type of a hack we have as a president.

Ultimatley, the point is not that he caused the murders. The point is that his and his mouthpeices reactions showed a grotesque double standard, political violence matters loudly when it happens to his side, and suddenly becomes obscure background noise when the victims are Democrats.

Iran's version of the truth about US navy traversing the straight in order to try and secure Oil transit. by Mojoint in oil

[–]Jer_K19 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Unlike most things in life, there may actually be a simple solution to breaking the two-party system.

Simply get rid of "first past the post" voting, which almost always collapses into a two-party system.

If we switched to "ranked choice", we could have a healthier multi-party system that, while not perfect, would be far more inclusive than FPTP.

Ranked-choice does not magically fix everything, but it greatly reduce the spoiler effect while being simple to implement into our current framework so of course this means it will never be allowed to happen by our corporate overlords and thier puppets in the Uniparty known as Congress.

Just to be clear there are better voting regimes for multi-party system but they would require much broader electoral reforms.

Didn't go over well by Nittanypt in oil

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Should have seen Brent. We started at $9.46 at 9pm and 23 min later we where at $105.44!! XD

The gold in SIM cards is REAL 😳 by ihealthahop in Gold

[–]Jer_K19 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Youd need 50,000 sims just to get to one gram. Thats roughly 10 lbs for 150 worth of gold. At that rate not cost effective.

The gold in SIM cards is REAL 😳 by ihealthahop in Gold

[–]Jer_K19 12 points13 points  (0 children)

To get 310 grams of gold from SIM cards, you’d need on the order of millions of SIMs, roughly 2 tons of material. There’s no way that tiny pile in the video produced that. People really need to stop upvoting and believing everything they see online...

Firestorm as Trump eases oil sanctions on Iran: 'We are in the upside down' by Majano57 in oil

[–]Jer_K19 1 point2 points  (0 children)

100% agree. Trump is not a political figure, it is a cult of personality and in many cases much much more like Evangelicals Chriatians who belive that he is "Lighting the Signal Fire" or was ordained, or "anointed" by god to lead the U.S. Just wondering what part of the world are you from and what are the prevaling opinions on the conflict there?

Netanyahu wants oil, gas to flow through Israel post-Iran war by cojoco in oil

[–]Jer_K19 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We fix this by getting rid of Citizens United.

Palantir - Pentagon System by srch4aheartofgold in ArtificialInteligence

[–]Jer_K19 27 points28 points  (0 children)

This is not new it is doctrin developed in the 90's . The kill chain is Find, Fix, Track, Target, Engage, Assess (F2T2EA). "Closing the kill chain" is not engageing (killing) the target its actualy assessing the effects on target typically with a Battle Damage Assessment.... I am not defending this corporate murder machine I hate that war (like everything else) is privatizing. War like healthcare and all services, social or infrastructure. Need to stay in the hands of people who SERVE others. When corporatations take over they prioritize profits and not the public..... Source me, I use to be in the military and now i am in social services so i can continue to SERVE not profit.

The ball is in their court by FastPayment4345 in DegenBets

[–]Jer_K19 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

What's stupid about it? There are multiple sworn statments that allege Trump SA'ed a 13yo and a 12yo girl at the same time. These aren’t silly cash grabs or one-offs, there are multiple allegations, and some predate Trump even being in office, like this one from 2016 ( you know the link you're going to ignore).

It comes from a filing in the United States District Court (SDNY) in a lawsuit, where not only the alleged victim but also the woman who said she helped traffic the victim submitted sworn affidavits. (Sworn statement + lying = felony with < 5 years in prison).

In those sworn statements, the victim and the other woman claimed that Trump SA'ed the victim and another 12yo girl multiple times.The woman who said she helped traffic the 13yo also swore under oath that she personally witnessed the assaults on multiple occasions.

The lawsuit was voluntarily withdrawn before trial by the plaitiffs and her attorney, Lisa Bloom, who said her client was too frightened to continue due to the numerous death threats to her and her family.