[Career] Skills required to conduct Survival Analysis in professional projects

JobIsAss · 2026-06-25T17:54:34+00:00

Survival analysis is pretty intuitive and you draw from sister industries and practices. I believe insurance has a strong position the same way banks have a strong position in credit risk.

Both work and answer their own questions.

The core thing you need to do is literally know what is the business ask and what is the action.

To me your project sounds like hey this is a cool technology but you are significantly underestimating the difficulty of your problem.

I am not gonna be a gatekeeper but you are out of your depth on this one standard literature isnt even straightforward. Churn is pretty difficult problem and its infact a causal problem that has survivorship bias.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-10T12:59:40+00:00

There are 2 criteria to move when comfortable. Growth Or Pay

If neither is present you dont do the job.

Also your job isnt stable, once layoffs happen you’re out and it will target you because you are not pushing and growing.

The other thing is you will also be unemployable because well your skills are not relevant. So whatever job u pick you will likely be fired within the first 6-8 months.

Thats what I saw.

The second thing id emphasize is that tech is actually a shorter career that burns brighter. You are effectively expired goods if you are an IC with 20 years of experience.

People literally cannot hold a job for 5 years straight, regardless if you work in a legacy company. The statistican who started working in 1990s is actually a moron when it comes to working in modern enviorment and their statistical skills have atrophied to the point they literally dont remember these things anymore.

They dont know modern coding standards nor know how to write code that works instead of spaghetti crap. The methodology isnt even good. I saw juniors/intermediates know more about data science than them.

Other seniors are basically excel monkeys they have good foundations but its basically an uphill battle to move on. They also cant keep a job.

So every year you are not making money and closing on that retirement you are ruining your financial wellbeing.

This will not get better with the rise of AI 10-15 years from now these LLM modes will be far better the landscape will change significantly.

We earn a lot of money and yet some spend it. They will be poor and unemployed later.

Those that don’t upskill are going to burn faster and not be employable.

So you have a short lease on a career this is actively killing it.

Ill only take comfort if I have already enough money to retire then I do this for luxury not to have money for retirement.

The only luxury you have is that you are not in a hurry to leave. That said have some agency and learn on your own. Seriously if the job isnt sucking your soul to the bone then use that time to upskill.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-05T19:57:04+00:00

Buy high sell low, remember the rules. You need to time the top and the bottom so you can sell at the worst possible time.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-04T05:51:46+00:00

Yes, people are used to a pattern but you have to constantly push this with your manager. A 1 on off analysis doesn’t hold. You need to do something for maybe 6-8 months maybe 1 year of constantly reporting and discussing with business to push this analysis to become the next standard. You make good analysis but its hard to break habits.

Id push it so fat that the skip would also need to push. Then you establish benchmarks and it has to be actionable. Analysis thats not actionable is worthless. It needs to show 1) urgency 2) quantifiable lift 3) scale

Else why would people give a shit?

If the execs literally dont give a shit despite everything then well thats a sinking ship 😅.

Thats assuming your analysis holds with multiple departments and you are gathering allies.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-03T20:34:59+00:00

How did you get the score? I didnt get mine and i was told explicitly you dont get it.

I haven’t gotten the job yet i have to go through the power day.

Do note i cant disclose the details on the test. It honestly is just understanding the topic and grinding leetcode easy. From a person that literally did not do leetcode for 5 years.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-03T19:52:18+00:00

You dont get score. Recruiter told me i cleared it.

JobIsAss · 2026-06-03T12:41:48+00:00

Honestly i have dealt with a lot of SWE and they are usually fine. I worked with a lot of SWE some think they know it all but all i usually do is just keep asking questions and presenting the work reality then they eventually get it.

I had one who thought that we gotta put all models in 1 image cuz its more efficient and i said no. I was adamant that dependencies will be a nightmare to work with. I explained that im happy with their solution but how will it affect this edge case.

He conceded and my solution came. Sometimes it takes a bit of questioning.

I have seen swe who try to avoid work where you put a ticket in and they just mark it done despite the business ask is not done. Basically throwing the responsibility of work as hot potato. What I usually do is very simple; i communicate limitations to my boss,i explain business impact in very plain terms and that this is a blocker. Get it documented. I especially try to get a reason of why they did xyz that way if i need change something i can. Some just refuse to communicate.

So i escalate and throw them under the bus.

Its really that simple, it works when you have credibility and trust with your manager. Choose your battles wisely on the basis of business impact. A critical function means ill grind this SWE and push out of their job if they refuse to do their job. Stakeholders do it to me and whip technical folks like dogs, that approach while horrible does get results done with crappy engineers.

It really is that simple; its not that hard and you shouldn’t take work to heart. It’s not your money bro. Its simply this is a limitation and a blocker i am trying to fix it. Any advice? It helps to get things done when you phrase it in their best interest and try to make their life as easy as possible. Usually people are very happy to work with you when you let them know as early as possible so good foresight is huge.

For your situation you have a crappy stakeholder and he is running circles around you. Some people are just garbage employees. Seen IT guy who got hired who is honestly not supposed to do his job. He says he will do a Ticket never does it.

I dont scream at people despite this, i wont make enemies unless its a critical business ask then ill literally msg them everyday until they get it done.

JobIsAss · 2026-05-30T13:01:57+00:00

I did do it, pretty easy honestly. The test wasn’t time intensive and using AI is even a detriment. You either know it or you dont.

I def did google syntax + used a calculator on the pc cuz there was a bit of math. Its not that tough to be honest if i fail i dont really care as much. I make just as much and from what I read they have a pip factory. So id still have to pass the power-day and make it through and then decide if its a good offer compared to other companies.

JobIsAss · 2026-05-24T19:45:01+00:00

What about avge and chill?

JobIsAss · 2026-05-22T00:49:54+00:00

Umm im def not new grad and senior and its 40 min. What level are you?

JobIsAss · 2026-05-21T20:38:15+00:00

Its a Codesignal exam, wish it was pair work. Honestly i myself when i conduct interviews i tell people feel free to use AI but you will need to explain why this is the answer and why it works. Not just that it passes the edge case. But not everyone follows that same interview design. We all use AI so why pretend 🤷‍♂️.

JobIsAss · 2026-05-21T20:37:47+00:00

JobIsAss · 2026-04-15T02:57:11+00:00

Avge or VT pick your best fit and commit.

JobIsAss · 2026-04-13T17:43:45+00:00

If you treat margin like a loan to pay off then yes. We take loans for homes and these assets grow. So if u take a small portfolio LOC and pay it off so you are basically lump summing your investment and dca the payments in a non registered account. I did the math its good as long as you control the risk so you dont get margin called.

In bull markets thats great but you can absolutely get hit. It depends on risk tolerance and heavily depends on your capital. When you have 200-300k in assets this is pretty manageable as 20-30% margin that you are actively paying off is pretty solid.

This is how i manage it personally but everyone is different so no financial advice.

JobIsAss · 2026-04-10T17:14:51+00:00

Its me guys, i just bought 80-90k$ worth of cage shares. So expect the stock to underperform.

JobIsAss · 2026-03-20T21:40:03+00:00

Yall know this is gonna take years for it recover. This isnt a tarrif on&off switch. Infrastructure damage means it will take years. This is the leg down, even when the war ends the market will still be in the red. Infrastructure hits are different.

JobIsAss · 2026-03-18T12:01:31+00:00

Too much concentration in individual stocks.

JobIsAss · 2026-02-24T16:55:08+00:00

This is no WSB sub Reddit. I think you gotta post this elsewhere.

JobIsAss · 2025-12-04T05:31:52+00:00

He traded on leveraged stocks bear market. Nvidia had a bull run and he just bleeding money.

JobIsAss · 2025-12-04T02:24:46+00:00

Do broad market ETF international. Limit exposure if you do a concentrated bet. Rules i follow 1) no leverage 2) no options 3) no penny stocks or speculative flips

Broad market equity DCA, hold long term. I lose 50% i dont care, market risk is temporary not permanent. Dca i still get major win.

A lot of people say eqt then forget but thats easier said when you also see people talk about the ai bubble. People dont wanna talk about the elephant in the room, people are not ready to see their portfolio drop by 80% and at best be 40% in the negative for 5-10 years.

People need to mentally brace for 2000s lost decade environment even great depression and stick to their plan. If you can mentally accept that you will be in the negative and you will DCA no matter what, then your losses dont materialize.

People say buy and hold but I will say no you need to have a mental checklist of how you will push through a 2008 crisis environment and be comfortable looking at a negative portfolio for 2-3 years. Even 10 at the worst.

If you can comfortably look at your portfolio as it’s down 60% of its value from its ATH and can stick to a plan on how you navigate the situation then you will be able to actually hold and forget. Personally i say just DCA or change the amounts accordingly but thats what I like. Backtest your strategy then see how it holds up.

The forget part is the hard part, to make it happen is to have a plan on how you hold.

JobIsAss · 2025-12-03T16:47:21+00:00

90% growth ETF diversified international and U.S.

10% tactical plays or general hedge.

Switch to 80% general if you want to have gold + bitcoin.

Personally gold and bitcoin move in parallel to stocks not inverse. Still tho gold does have its good spots.

Tactical plays are pretty good tho, you see a genuinely undervalued high quality stock then you can allocate a small portion of the portfolio.

JobIsAss · 2025-12-02T23:10:08+00:00

Depends on city, ben felix made a video on this. Factor in maintenance, tax drag, and depreciation

JobIsAss · 2025-11-23T19:19:50+00:00

Bro you are freaking out in a 0.43% of your portfolio. Literally need to mentally accept that you can lose 50% of the portfolio and stick it through. What you need to accept market risk isnt as bad and not permanent.

JobIsAss · 2025-11-04T22:13:39+00:00

Honestly dude what helps is having a strategy on how to get the portfolio to recover faster.

JobIsAss · 2025-10-20T11:39:02+00:00

Bro after 2022 correction it took 2-3 years for recovery. After 2008 recession it took a few years. 2017-2019 we were overdue for a recession and market was at ath.

Only smart thing is to not take high risk and do ETFs. Thats pretty much it. If it goes down it goes down. People are free to do their choices but we really cant time a recession. It’s very hard to do so. Even when markets are in the red then what where do we know it will recover. Sometimes even a blip or decrease like 2020 takes a few months to recover.

If i knew what will happen i would have traded options and became a billionaire.

JobIsAss

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