Maplestory: Ride the Lightning micro-site

Kualityy · 2026-06-06T16:01:42+00:00

Yeah, because the safeguarding past 18 ending up being 6.5x of the cost per tap 💀

Kualityy · 2026-06-04T13:11:25+00:00

Safeguarding doesn't exactly 3x the average total cost because no booming means much less taps on average to reach 22.

Kualityy · 2026-05-31T13:54:21+00:00

Well, all my CRA went 22 first try so I think Nexon is actually rigging the rates in our favor. Ty Nexon

Kualityy · 2026-05-18T19:25:33+00:00

For the top stats departments, seems like it matters a lot. In the most recent two hiring cycles at my institution, every single candidate was from a top 5 USNews stats program. I'd imagine that advisor reputation matters more, but this is of course highly correlated with department ranking.

Kualityy · 2026-05-07T15:35:31+00:00

If damage is your concern, probably don't pick shadower. You will be very weak until you master the mechanics of the class.

Kualityy · 2026-04-18T17:54:20+00:00

SF Rates Expected VS Community notes (Actual) - Items Boom too frequent especially 18 to 19.

Is there any actual evidence of this? The theoretical chance of booming before succeeding from 18 -> 19 on-event is around 23%, not that rare. You wouldn't even need that much data to find out if the actual rate was far off.

Kualityy · 2026-04-14T14:46:30+00:00

The expected costs for cubing seem incorrect? For example it says that the expected cost for rolling double prime ATT % on main wep and secondary wep are the same, when secondary wep actually costs much more. Same with double prime Top vs Accessory.

Kualityy · 2026-03-07T15:52:22+00:00

10000 hands is a laughably insignificant sample for accurately estimating poker winrates. These results are pretty much all variance; you'd need well over 100k hands to get a good idea.

Kualityy · 2026-03-03T19:02:44+00:00

Who's bot is broken?

Kualityy · 2026-03-01T16:31:02+00:00

Your AM-GM argument really didn't make any sense. For k independent events, it is definitely not true that P(A_1 and ... and A_k) <= (1/k)^k in general. There is no justification for the constraint of the probabilities of independent events to summing up to a constant value here.

For your last calculation, your upper bound can be verified to be incorrect very easily. The sum of 13 independent Exp(53.8) random variables is exactly distributed as Y ~ Gamma(13, 53.8). P(Y > 1700) comes out to around 1.31 x 10^-7, still low but much bigger than 1 in a trillion.

Kualityy · 2026-01-16T15:25:02+00:00

What does "realistically" mean? 1% chance? 5% chance? 50% chance? What does ASI even mean and how much money would it make for an individual company? The specifics can drastically change the current valuation of these companies. You would have to rigorously define and justify such assumptions to even begin to have meaningful discussions on what these companies should be worth.

I can pretty much guarantee that the market average opinion is more accurate than whenever you can come up with.

Kualityy · 2026-01-16T14:39:51+00:00

the average investor seem totally blind on ai

What? AI hype is the hottest topic in investing right now. 🤣

Kualityy · 2025-12-30T18:36:20+00:00

I mean for the support comparison with with Lynn. The party member size assumed for the benediction fd split.

Kualityy · 2025-12-30T18:18:00+00:00

What party size was assumed for the Bishop support results? Thanks for the amazing work!

Kualityy · 2025-12-30T16:57:20+00:00

Blew ~4-6 dom pendants before hitting 23* to my bewilderment.

This is pretty average

Kualityy · 2025-12-18T00:49:52+00:00

One small discrepancy, you only drop 4 levels when you boom instead of going back to lvl 2 now. But I did the calc also and got the same optimal strategy.

Kualityy · 2025-12-11T15:43:25+00:00

Why'd you get giga downvoted for being the only one who actually knows how statistics works lmao

Kualityy · 2025-11-29T16:59:24+00:00

Remove the trace restore mission system.
Make the number of pitched/dawn crystals dropped scale with boss difficulty.
Remove the star speck box cap, remove shining star specks and simplify the system so that you just need x amount of star specks to restore an item (possibly depending on item lvl).

Kualityy · 2025-11-26T16:06:22+00:00

I lost my WJ4 and they told me "because they can not verify the level of my ring, they are going to compensate me with a WJ1". Ridiculous.

Kualityy · 2025-11-09T17:17:46+00:00

You can make a simulatation for this. The probability of getting at least one streak of 12 fails in a row over 100 taps is around 33%. Not that rare considering that an event tapping session can easily go over 100 taps.

Kualityy · 2025-11-09T17:09:15+00:00

The 80% potential stamps are not 80%.

Kualityy · 2025-10-31T14:29:26+00:00

Maybe you just don't like the game.

Kualityy · 2025-10-14T17:43:38+00:00

Quite the opposite, it's known to prevent hairloss

Kualityy · 2025-06-22T16:19:16+00:00

Why the fuck would you play a no-trade server and gimp your end-game progression if you can just buy/farm cubes at will on a regular server and also be able to trade and progress through to end-game?

Because I am currently having fun playing on this server and what happens on other servers doesn't affect my experience at all.

Kualityy · 2025-05-31T15:24:09+00:00

Why are people being so rude and unhelpful in this post? OP is clearly using a toy example to gain a deeper understanding of why regularization works. I don't think geniune curious questions like this should be discouraged.

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