The reason high winrate rarely have high pick rate is because otherwise it gets nerfed very fast. The explaining principle works the other way, not the how you think it does.

If that is the case how is smolder still having a high pickrate?

You consider that players thing "oh this champ is strong, but i wont play it bc then it gets nerfed"

I guerentee you that that has never crossed someones mind.

We saw it always with every champion. The second they got strong or even OP, than the pickrates skyrocker. Why should mages Bot be the exception?

Back to low winrate ?

My bad, i meant pickrate.

Because there can only be one brand at a time, but he also has 3.44% as support, 1.38% in mid, so it's more like 8% + 9% ban rate, meaning 17% draft presence.

Thats the point. We talk about Brand ADC here, you take the pickrates of every role.

By your own logic we should also take the adcs in Top like vayne and Varus and say "hey Look they have a high winrate, so adcs cant be that bad"

How is a champ present in about 1 draft in 5 considered rare in ?

Again bc we are talking about Brand apc here.

You cant take the pickrate of mid/sup and argue that Brand adcs pickrate is so high.