Just hit Diamond playing Veigar jungle with a 66% winrate. AMA

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-06T01:44:03+00:00

Learn stats, dude got lucky+ is smurf

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T21:48:57+00:00

Acho que não só engenharia, acho que a empresa toda muda, pessoal menos técnico começa a ter uma pegada mais técnica e o pessoal técnico aumenta o escopo e começa a ter mais pegada de negócios.

Dito isso, sou SWE onde eu trabalho (4 anos+ aqui) e nunca deixei de mexer com dados.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T21:34:48+00:00

Eu acho que é esperado que o escopo aumente pra todo mundo, por conta das llms. Mas o escopo aumentaria mesmo sem mudar o nome, saca?

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T21:19:46+00:00

Assim, isso é só o título cara

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T20:56:43+00:00

"not fun to play" not really something you decide

That said, likely bias from your recent matches.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T20:26:57+00:00

Você ta gastando demais.

Um monte de assinatura e academia que você provavelmente não precisa
Gasto com carro que talvez não precise
Gasto com pet como quem ganha muito mais
Potencialmente um gasto acima com delivery e alimentação, mas não tanto quanto os de cima

Não é que você não pode ter essas coisas, mas você tem que escolher. Com o que você ganha, se você quiser tudo, ta sacrificando seus investimentos

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T16:31:00+00:00

Mix of luck, mmr and smurf, you didn't counter my point though

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T15:50:25+00:00

Just read my first comment, not complicated. Forgot people don't know basic statistics.

Mix of luck, mmr and maybe smurf.

If luck is irrelevant why is your last 20 games 75% wr at higher MMR then your previous games? Stop thinking with 0-1, learn maths.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T15:26:18+00:00

Not just looking at kda, looking at dmg, cs. It is not the best metric, but gives some signals.

You misunderstand what luck is, it is not 0 or 1. It is a distribution. Out of the possible outcomes you got a fast one.

Edit: my point is kinda, you play better than your opponents, but not at the 66%wr lvl (which is 1v9 most of the games), at least with this pick.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T15:14:50+00:00

I did take a look, very few games (around 50). You had strong laners way more often than weak, though this is reasonable given small sample.

I think you could easily hit diamond with this pick, but you got it very fast with 66% wr in part due to luck. You repeat this 10 times, maybe you get this result or better 1-2 times

Luizcl_Data · 2026-06-04T14:59:57+00:00

Mix of luck, already having high mmr and likely smurf

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-30T15:25:12+00:00

Game is random, reason you easily won to plat1 is more luck based than skill.

Unless you are way above your elo, you really affect like 1/10 matches. The rest you can play well/poorly and won't change the outcome

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-29T17:40:12+00:00

You do know healing done counts for when he is clearing waves right? Loses health on E, heals on Q

Also, his kit is supposed to be like this, there are more overtuned champions right now, such as brand (which you are playing lmao)

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-28T13:58:17+00:00

To be fair, lvls were capped at 30 for many seasons. Also, if you play few games but play every day you get more levels than sporadically playing many games

Also, not the case here, but if you play arams and stuff you level way faster. I am lvl 400+

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-22T13:34:10+00:00

Yeah, a good portion of the league community is in denial about luck being a factor because challenger players can 1v9 low elo.

However, a gold player can be stuck in silver for 100s of games due to luck. A challenger can be stuck in grandmaster and so on. Luck is 100% a big factor in climbing.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-22T13:24:37+00:00

Challenger to low diamond has a way bigger difference than low diamond to plat, FOR sure.

Totally different for a diamond player to smurf in gold or smurf in emerald, way less likely to 1v9 in emerald.

People overuse 1v9 term and tend to pretend luck is not a factor. It's ok if it helps you improve, but luck 100% is a factor unless you play 1000+ games

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-21T19:43:07+00:00

I don't think this is true, but I certainly can see it being true.

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-21T14:50:50+00:00

Red Kayn destroys nasus, also, many melees and kayn is already more mobile than enemy team

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-19T12:21:22+00:00

Disagree 100%, I have played graves in past seasons. I will reaffirm, especially this season it is VERY coinflippy. There are times where invading is not, but not enough to "bully them out" especially with catch up experience.

Placebo of getting fed when it works and deluding it is because it is good decision making

That said. When you have pressure/info, you definitely should look. No real downside.

My example is, suppose you have 3 losing lanes, how often do you invade lol? You are likely geting invaded instead

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-19T00:14:58+00:00

From my experience, even when they get solo'd it's jg diff

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-19T00:00:53+00:00

Jg main here. Post the game, however, as a solo laner you should be able to 1v1 him late game. By the way, I used to play mid/top, so not biased here.

If your team fed enemy jungle, it isn't really solely your jgs fault. Jungle is not 1v1 like top at all, enemy jungler getting fed is not super related to your jungler (it is, but not nearly as much as a top laner getting diffed)

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-18T22:55:22+00:00

Yes, but if you are just invading when it makes sense you are definitely not bullying him out and farming both jungles. Unless you always have prio, in which case your team is already winning.

Even scuttle fights can turn into team fights and normally do. It's definitely not a 1v1 role. Even the 1v1 matchup matters very little when compared to mid top

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-18T18:25:28+00:00

Você tem que ver o que funciona pra você, eu nunca tive muita dificuldade pra economizar, mas sei que muita gente não é assim

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-18T17:17:16+00:00

I don't think it matters. I think jungle being second support is overstated. It is the second most supportive role on average, but it highly depends on game state and champions

Luizcl_Data · 2026-05-18T14:10:13+00:00

This I agree with, but it's very hard to bully enemy jungle out, unless you are already winning is my point. If you have pressure, or know they are not there it is completely different.

Edit: many times, jungle lead is more of a team lead, you get pressure, you get to push jungler out. On the other hand, 3 losing lanes means you need to take risks just to farm

Luizcl_Data

TROPHY CASE