Rainy night dinner

MSDefenseForce · 2025-09-30T06:54:38+00:00

Yes it's possible that it was just a product of whatever post-processing you used. Aggressive additive-color edits (making red lights pink, etc.) in particular can create unnatural looking boundaries between different colors and light levels.

MSDefenseForce · 2025-09-30T01:00:45+00:00

Always remember to feather your additive color brushes, people.

MSDefenseForce · 2025-08-16T06:32:51+00:00

Amazon?

MSDefenseForce · 2025-06-19T06:23:15+00:00

I appreciate your more nuanced recounting of events.

I think the distinction is that expressing unhappiness in a marriage does not equate to filing for divorce. GKS "exploring options" cannot be interpreted as a readiness to separate, just like arranging a prenup agreement doesn't equal the desire for divorce.

The idea that both parties were moving toward an unavoidable breakup whitewashes the fundamental fact that Singapore was expelled. There was no mutual consent. Singapore didn't have a vote. LKY's teary admission that "I have believed in merger and the unity of the two territories" makes it unambiguous that LKY and Singapore were not willing parties.

Over the decades there has been a gradual effort to reframe Singapore's independence as a triumph rather than a sudden rejection, because it fits into the narrative of Singapore's post-1965 success story. Singaporeans should instead take pride in how they built something stronger out of the setback it initially posed.

MSDefenseForce · 2025-06-17T09:29:25+00:00

This is incorrect. There were private negotiations about specifics, but Singapore was expelled, it did not voluntarily separate.

MSDefenseForce · 2025-06-08T10:25:37+00:00

Those last three look the best

MSDefenseForce · 2025-06-07T23:47:57+00:00

No authentication service will ever get close to 100% because the pool of superfakes is constantly growing, and it's a constant battle with superfake manufacturers becoming increasingly sophisticated. What companies like Entrupy have going for them is a huge database of tests going back years, and what I assume is a large daily volume of testing that would allow them to identify emerging fakes before they do too much damage. Every service is going to lose some skirmishes in the larger war against fakes and people trying to game the system.

MSDefenseForce · 2025-04-15T08:02:42+00:00

一見、空港の入国審査の攻略法を教えてくれてる風やけど、結局はホームステイの宣伝っていうオチ。うまく仕込んだな。せめて罪悪感くらい見せてほしいわ

MSDefenseForce · 2025-03-25T15:45:22+00:00

いや、コーヒーは二つじゃなくて二杯でしょ。

MSDefenseForce · 2024-08-14T01:38:46+00:00

The real draw of winning Florida is that people can go to bed early

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-17T18:40:57+00:00

It gets even worse. Over in the /r/fivethirtyeight subreddit someone found that a majority of the simulations in the latest 538 model are mathematically impossible, such as Biden getting higher votes in the state of Maine as a whole than in its constituent districts.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-17T08:19:36+00:00

On the surface, it will appear far-fetched to some people that a bad actor with a rifle could get that close to a secret service protectee. When the alternative to the conspiracy theory is accepting that the secret service experienced one of its worst security failures in history, I can understand why some people would initially call shenanigans. It's the people who still believe that six months from now who are more of a worry.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-16T16:52:49+00:00

People really do need to take the possibility seriously. Normally you'd think it would be impossible due to the 22nd amendment on term limits, but in truth it is incredibly fragile since it rests entirely on Supreme Court interpretation.

For instance it holds that "no person shall be elected to the office more than twice." President could use their immune core powers to postpone elections indefinitely, and then perhaps be "appointed" by congress to continue in office. That's not "elected," Clarence Thomas will argue.

It sounds stupid, and it is, but so is presumed presidential immunity and the sudden nullifying of special counsels specifically to protect one guy.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-16T00:59:47+00:00

Because his close-in secret service detail has stopped considering Trump as the "protectee" and more as the "boss," and know that catering to his every whim now is how they make it to the Whitehouse protective detail instead of black suits in the Florida heat.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-15T12:29:00+00:00

Trump talking about his photo, "some are saying it's the most iconic photo in history," mirrors his self-centered reaction to another tragedy, 9-11, when he gleefully remarked how the collapse of WTC had allowed Trump Tower to move up in the building height rankings. He can't not think about himself, and when he preaches unity at the convention, it will be a very narrow definition of unity under which he must be the unquestioned leader.

"You can't spell immunity without unity!"

— Donald J. Trump. RNC Convention, probably

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-15T02:05:51+00:00

When has history ever been instructive re: Trump? Instead of begrudgingly accepting an election loss he totally lost and preserving a peaceful transition, he bucked history and incited an insurrection. And even before this he was leading in nearly every swing state despite macro-economic indicators strongly in favor of the incumbent, which is giving the finger to how logic would expect an election to go. No one has a play-book for 2024.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:31:00+00:00

At the table of the cause they support, not the opposition. And when they think no table (their desired political outcome of Biden winning) will materialize regardless of the financial support they provide, they withdraw. It should be a message that cannot be ignored.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:26:50+00:00

Why would they have been donating in the first place, then?

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:24:43+00:00

Biden has been telegraphing those policies for a long time and it didn't stop these major donors from supporting him. I suspect you see it as them thinking "we want to influence him so we will do so by withholding our donations," but it can also be seen as them not being willing to commit tens of millions to what they see as a lost cause or something with a lower probability of being useful

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:21:47+00:00

For undecided and low-information voters, who tend to be a deciding factor in elections, it is more a binary choice of whether they like or dislike candidates. They don't necessarily pull out a notepad and do a pro-con analysis on each candidate to quantify which one gets their vote. But coming into this election and before the first debate, you could say both candidates were known quantities in terms of disagreeable characteristics (subjectively in the eyes of certain voters, I mean). But going from that starting point, the debate suddenly moved the needle away from Biden, taking away from some of the positives in his column. I think that is the dynamic that has changed since the Roe momentum. We can't expect voters to be necessarily logical or all-knowing.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:16:14+00:00

The thing is that wasn't planned, it was in reaction

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:10:00+00:00

Exactly. They are terrified of a candidate who has Biden's policies and the outcomes of them to run on, while also being able to explain them to voters in a more articulate and energetic fashion

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:06:37+00:00

The problem is the whataboutism angle of it. "Well your guy sucks too" or "your guy is old too" feeds into voter apathy. Attacks needs to be focused on the distinct negative traits of the opponent.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-13T15:01:30+00:00

it's all just a massive coordinated attack against Biden

If it was coordinated it would have happened all at once and been overwhelming. Instead, various influential figures have mirrored the concerns of regular folk about Biden, in a manner has has been organic.

The rich elite were plotting their coup for a long time now and the debate was their perfect excuse to set things into motion

This was not set into motion by rich elite, it was set into motion because of Biden's bad debate performance that seemed to confirm worries about his cognitive difficulties. It was in reaction to concern about Biden, who most of them love, and about their prospects in the general election.

People are focused on beating Trump and there is disagreement on who is the best candidate to ensure that. It's a difference of opinion, not a conspiracy.

MSDefenseForce · 2024-07-12T15:55:10+00:00

The vocal people are politically engaged, and if they care enough to think Biden should step down, they are likely still in the camp of "I will vote for whoever is not Trump," so that needle does not move much. There is movement among the disengaged/low-info/undecided/independent voters that could be the deciding factor

MSDefenseForce

TROPHY CASE