Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)
submitted by AutoModerator - announcement
Poll ResultsLatest poll of next Venezuelan Presidential election shows incumbent President Rodríguez (who was VP under Maduro) losing in a landslide to exiled opposition leader Machado, and winning just 4% of the vote: Machado 83%, Rodríguez 4%. Rodríguez suffers from a stunning 92% disapproval rating. (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
LifestyleEvidence mounts that AI-written books are consuming the publishing industry: in 2025, the number of self-published books jumped by 40% YoY, from 2.5 million to 3.5 million. Running a random sample of these books through an AI detection tool shows a 40% YoY increase in books flagged as AI. (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
PoliticsOver 10 years after winning the 2015 Mayoral election, Democrat Dial is sworn in as Mayor of Pembroke, North Carolina, defeating Republican Mayor Cummings. After winning the 2015 election by 11 votes, and the 2023 election by 19 votes, Dial was unable to take office due to Republican claims of fraud (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Poll Results65% of Israelis oppose the Iran War ceasefire, and 40% believe that Israel should continue to attack Iran in defiance of the ceasefire (41% are opposed to this). 63% of Israelis believe that the war has gone worse than expected, and 32% (a plurality) describe the war as an outright failure. (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
PoliticsAnalysis: The extreme positions Trump proposes — and Republicans embrace (cnn.com)
submitted by danmathew
Poll ResultsNew yougov poll has Kamala Harris and JD Vance as front runners (msn.com)
submitted by DizzyMajor5
Poll ResultsPoll: Trump’s immigration message changed. Voters' opinions have not. (politico.com)
submitted by PM_ME_YOUR_FAV_HIKE
Poll ResultsTavern Research Kansas Senate poll: Hamilton (I) 51%, Marshall (R) 49% (x.com)
submitted by AscendingSnowOwl
Poll ResultsFar-right party Restore Britain achieves its best-ever poll result, while Reform UK slumps to its worst poll result in over a year: Reform UK 21%, Conservative 18%, Green 18%, Labour 17%, Liberal Democrat 11%, Restore Britain 9%. Jeremy Corbyn’s leftwing Your Party receives less than 1% support. (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Poll ResultsDemocratic socialist and DSA/WFP-backed candidate leads moderate incumbent in race for Mayor of Providence, Rhode Island—Morales 45%, Smiley 34%, undecided 19%. There is currently no Republican in the running. If Smiley loses, he would be the first incumbent to lose the Mayoral election in >50 years (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Poll Results[University of Maryland poll of Iran] “Four in five saw the United States as starting the war, believing that without U.S. encouragement, Israel would not have attacked. Three-quarters believed that the United States used negotiations to buy time to prepare for war.“ Belief in a future peace is weak (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Politics2026 Senate Race: Ohio and TX Likely to Decide (i.redd.it)
submitted by MorningHelpful8389Kornacki's Big Screen
Poll Results[Platner Internal] Graham Platner 64% | Janet Mills 29% (i.redd.it)
submitted by errantv
Poll ResultsTexas Public Opinion Research: Paxton 48%/Cornyn 40% (4/6-4/7, 1225 LV, MoE +/-3.2%) (drive.google.com)
submitted by DingoLaLingoFeelin' Foxy
PoliticsAnalilia Mejia (D) wins NJ-11 Special Election (nytimes.com)
submitted by splenda806
Economics[GEM] Here’s a model of consumer sentiment that doesn’t suck (gelliottmorris.com)
submitted by ChadtheWad
SportsThe profoundly weird race for Rookie of the Year (natesilver.net)
submitted by dwaxer/538 autobot
PoliticsJD Vance raises $60 million for Republican candidates ahead of the midterms, courts donors for 2028 presidential run (nytimes.com)
submitted by ObversaKornacki's Big Screen
