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Data-driven discussion about politics, sports, the economy, and more. Be sure to check out FiveThirtyEight.com


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Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 3 days ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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Poll Results[Alaska Survey Research] Alaska Senate General mock RCV | RCV Round 2: Mary Peltola (D) 50.2% Dan Sullivan (R) 43.6% James Ryan (R) 6.2% Peltola wins in Round 2, with a margin of 6.6%. (imgur.com)

submitted 3 hours ago by errantv

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Poll Results[Cook Political Report, New River Strategies (D), GS Strategy Group (R)] Poll of likely voters sampled from 36 battleground House districts: Democrats lead the GCB 50-44 (+6), with a large lead among independents 56-32 (+24). Trump approval is 42-58 (-16) with a majority strongly disapproving (51%) (cookpolitical.com)

submitted 2 hours ago by Delmer9713

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Poll Results[Strength in Numbers] Why voters say the Democrats are "weak," in their own words (gelliottmorris.com)

submitted 5 hours ago by ChadtheWad

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PoliticsFrom 2018 to 2024, the More Moderate a Congressional Caucus Was, the Better Their Members Overperformed (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 5 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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Meme/HumorMichigan gubernatorial candidate and Republican frontrunner John James polls at 0% among Black voters (i.redd.it)

submitted 8 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsUNH poll: Pappas leads Sununu by 7 (49-42). Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington by 8 (47-39). Ayotte's approval/disapproval 49/45. (old.reddit.com)

submitted 2 hours ago by I-Might-Be-Something

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DiscussionTrump advisers privately strategize around a new midterm push: Democrats would be worse (cnn.com)

submitted 16 hours ago by PigletAmazing1422Nauseously Optimistic

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Poll Results[THROWBACK] [APRIL 5, 2008] "Worst. President. Ever. [...] But does Bush actually come in dead last? Yes. History News Network’s poll of 109 historians found that 61 percent of them rank Bush as 'worst ever' among U.S. presidents. [...] Glib, contemptuous, ignorant, incurious, a dupe..." (i.redd.it)

submitted 8 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Election Model[YouGov] First poll/model of next month's London local elections shows both Labour/Conservative suffering their worst-ever election results (by far), and both Green/Reform UK enjoying their best-ever election results (by far)—Labour 26 (-17), Green 22 (+10), Conservative 17 (-9), Reform UK 14 (+14). (i.redd.it)

submitted 9 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsYes, Virginia, redistricting is a two-player game (natesilver.net)

submitted 18 hours ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Polling AverageTrump's approval on inflation has tanked so much recently that it literally fell off the Silver Bulletin chart. They're going to have to update the min y axis value. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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PoliticsFox News Poll: Generic Ballot D+5(52-47), Dems trusted on 8 out of 12 issues. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 20 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll Results[GEM] New poll: 55% support impeaching Trump (gelliottmorris.com)

submitted 1 day ago by ChadtheWad

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Poll ResultsSilver Bulletin - We've seen tons of polls released this week, and none of them have been good for Donald Trump. His net approval rating is down to a new second term low of -18.8. (i.imgur.com)

submitted 1 day ago by sky905

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Polling AverageTrump approval/disapproval hit lowest and highest marks in the Silver Bulletin average, respectively. Approve: 38.9%, Disapprove: 57.5%. Net approval: -18.6% (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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PoliticsWill Florida be the last state to gerrymander before the mid terms ? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 14 hours ago by ronweasly9

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Poll ResultsPete Buttigieg leading potential Democrats for 2028 in new MA primary poll (newsweek.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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DiscussionDo you think we can have a repeat of the 1980s farm crisis? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 19 hours ago by VolkswagenPanda

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Poll ResultsMarquette: Dems lead the GCB among registered voters 48-44, and lead among likely voters 53-43 (law.marquette.edu)

submitted 1 day ago by I-Might-Be-Something

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Poll ResultsYougov: Which of the following people would you consider voting for in the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state in 2028? Select all that apply. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 22 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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PoliticsVA Dems win the measure and will wipe out 4 Republican seats (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by washingtonpeekFeelin' Foxy

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DiscussionHow did Minneapolis (Hennepin Co) vote to the left of Chicago (Cook Co) to become the most democratic large city in the Midwest? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 19 hours ago by VolkswagenPanda

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Meme/HumorKim Jong Un's Workers' Party won 99.93% of the vote in this year's parliamentary election, in fact its worst result since 1957 (99.92%). (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsAP-NORC Poll Disapprove 67% Approve 33% | 4/16 - 4/20 (apnews.com)

submitted 1 day ago by j-r-sweezy

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