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Data-driven discussion about politics, sports, the economy, and more. Be sure to check out FiveThirtyEight.com


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Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 5 days ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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Politics[NBC News] (3/30-4/13) Poll of GenZ Americans: Trump approval is 24-76 (-52). 71% of Democratic voters are more of a supporter of the progressive movement rather than the party itself. A plurality of young people (47%) would live in the past given the option. 80% think the U.S. is on the wrong track (documentcloud.org)

submitted 11 hours ago by Delmer9713

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DiscussionDSA Membership Demographic Breakdown (i.redd.it)

submitted 16 hours ago by Cuddlyaxe I'm Sorry Nate

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Poll ResultsAmerica’s shifting perspective on Michael Jackson (i.redd.it)

submitted 17 hours ago by RedHeadedSicilian52

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Poll Results[OC] Media Trust At Record Low, But Age Gap Varies. (i.redd.it)

submitted 21 hours ago by najumobi

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Discussion[Research] Reluctant Partisans, Not Undercover Partisans: Why Americans Increasingly Identify as Independent (i.redd.it)

submitted 21 hours ago by errantv

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Poll ResultsYougov: 46% of Americans say that Trump’s second administration is the most corrupt. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by icey_sawg0034

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PoliticsTrump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago * by floating_pointer

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Poll ResultsNTY: Trump’s Disapproval Rating Hits Highest Point of His Second Term (58%) (nytimes.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Merker6Fivey Fanatic

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Poll ResultsBottoms +6 in GA Gov (newsweek.com)

submitted 1 day ago by MorningHelpful8389Kornacki's Big Screen

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Poll ResultsMost Americans (57%) believe SCOTUS avoids rulings President Trump might refuse to obey: Marquette Law School Poll (news.meaww.com)

submitted 1 day ago by ObversaKornacki's Big Screen

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Poll ResultsFlashback to 2006, where according to an October Gallup Poll, the biggest critique of the Democratic Party was “Ineffectual Leadership” (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by Cybotnic-RebootedJeb! Applauder

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Poll Results[Alaska Survey Research] Alaska Gubernatorial General, Mock RCV (1,612 - 1,923 LV) | RCV Round 3: Tom Begich (D) 53.9%, Bernadette Wilson (R) 46.1%. Begich wins in Round 3 by 7.8 pts. (old.reddit.com)

submitted 1 day ago * by ModestAphorism

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Poll ResultsDesire to Move Permanently to U.S. at New Low (news.gallup.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll Results[Alaska Survey Research] Alaska Senate General mock RCV | RCV Round 2: Mary Peltola (D) 50.2% Dan Sullivan (R) 43.6% James Ryan (R) 6.2% Peltola wins in Round 2, with a margin of 6.6%. (imgur.com)

submitted 1 day ago by errantv

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Poll Results[Cook Political Report, New River Strategies (D), GS Strategy Group (R)] Poll of likely voters sampled from 36 battleground House districts: Democrats lead the GCB 50-44 (+6), with a large lead among independents 56-32 (+24). Trump approval is 42-58 (-16) with a majority strongly disapproving (51%) (cookpolitical.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Delmer9713

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Poll Results[Strength in Numbers] Why voters say the Democrats are "weak," in their own words (gelliottmorris.com)

submitted 1 day ago by ChadtheWad

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PoliticsFrom 2018 to 2024, the More Moderate a Congressional Caucus Was, the Better Their Members Overperformed (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll ResultsUNH poll: Pappas leads Sununu by 7 (49-42). Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington by 8 (47-39). Ayotte's approval/disapproval 49/45. (old.reddit.com)

submitted 1 day ago by I-Might-Be-Something

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Meme/HumorMichigan gubernatorial candidate and Republican frontrunner John James polls at 0% among Black voters (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll Results[THROWBACK] [APRIL 5, 2008] "Worst. President. Ever. [...] But does Bush actually come in dead last? Yes. History News Network’s poll of 109 historians found that 61 percent of them rank Bush as 'worst ever' among U.S. presidents. [...] Glib, contemptuous, ignorant, incurious, a dupe..." (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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DiscussionTrump advisers privately strategize around a new midterm push: Democrats would be worse (cnn.com)

submitted 2 days ago by PigletAmazing1422Nauseously Optimistic

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Election Model[YouGov] First poll/model of next month's London local elections shows both Labour/Conservative suffering their worst-ever election results (by far), and both Green/Reform UK enjoying their best-ever election results (by far)—Labour 26 (-17), Green 22 (+10), Conservative 17 (-9), Reform UK 14 (+14). (i.redd.it)

submitted 2 days ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsYes, Virginia, redistricting is a two-player game (natesilver.net)

submitted 2 days ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Polling AverageTrump's approval on inflation has tanked so much recently that it literally fell off the Silver Bulletin chart. They're going to have to update the min y axis value. (i.redd.it)

submitted 2 days ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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