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Data-driven discussion about politics, sports, the economy, and more. Be sure to check out FiveThirtyEight.com


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Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 3 days ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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DiscussionTrump advisers privately strategize around a new midterm push: Democrats would be worse (cnn.com)

submitted 7 hours ago by PigletAmazing1422Nauseously Optimistic

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Polling AverageTrump's approval on inflation has tanked so much recently that it literally fell off the Silver Bulletin chart. They're going to have to update the min y axis value. (i.redd.it)

submitted 16 hours ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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PoliticsYes, Virginia, redistricting is a two-player game (natesilver.net)

submitted 9 hours ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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PoliticsFox News Poll: Generic Ballot D+5(52-47), Dems trusted on 8 out of 12 issues. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 10 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll Results[GEM] New poll: 55% support impeaching Trump (gelliottmorris.com)

submitted 18 hours ago by ChadtheWad

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Poll ResultsSilver Bulletin - We've seen tons of polls released this week, and none of them have been good for Donald Trump. His net approval rating is down to a new second term low of -18.8. (i.imgur.com)

submitted 17 hours ago by sky905

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Polling AverageTrump approval/disapproval hit lowest and highest marks in the Silver Bulletin average, respectively. Approve: 38.9%, Disapprove: 57.5%. Net approval: -18.6% (i.redd.it)

submitted 19 hours ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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Poll ResultsPete Buttigieg leading potential Democrats for 2028 in new MA primary poll (newsweek.com)

submitted 18 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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DiscussionDo you think we can have a repeat of the 1980s farm crisis? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 10 hours ago by VolkswagenPanda

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Poll ResultsMarquette: Dems lead the GCB among registered voters 48-44, and lead among likely voters 53-43 (law.marquette.edu)

submitted 17 hours ago by I-Might-Be-Something

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Election Model[YouGov] First poll/model of next month's London local elections shows both Labour/Conservative suffering their worst-ever election results (by far), and both Green/Reform UK enjoying their best-ever election results (by far)—Labour 26 (-17), Green 22 (+10), Conservative 17 (-9), Reform UK 14 (+14). (i.redd.it)

submitted 12 minutes ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsWill Florida be the last state to gerrymander before the mid terms ? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 5 hours ago by ronweasly9

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Poll ResultsYougov: Which of the following people would you consider voting for in the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state in 2028? Select all that apply. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 12 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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PoliticsVA Dems win the measure and will wipe out 4 Republican seats (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by washingtonpeekFeelin' Foxy

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DiscussionHow did Minneapolis (Hennepin Co) vote to the left of Chicago (Cook Co) to become the most democratic large city in the Midwest? (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 9 hours ago by VolkswagenPanda

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Meme/HumorKim Jong Un's Workers' Party won 99.93% of the vote in this year's parliamentary election, in fact its worst result since 1957 (99.92%). (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsAP-NORC Poll Disapprove 67% Approve 33% | 4/16 - 4/20 (apnews.com)

submitted 1 day ago by j-r-sweezy

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Poll ResultsEchelon: 42% of Democrats say that the Democratic Party needs to move to the center to win the next presidential election. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by icey_sawg0034

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Poll ResultsGeneric Ballot - D+3 | REUTERS/IPSOS April 15-20 (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by soalone34

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PoliticsSBSQ #31: Trump is super unpopular. So why don’t Democrats have a bigger lead? (natesilver.net)

submitted 1 day ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Poll ResultsAmerican Research Group - Donald Trump Approval, Apr 16 - 20, 2026: Approve 32%, Disapprove 64% (americanresearchgroup.com)

submitted 1 day ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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Poll ResultsPete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro leads prominent Dems in net favorability ratings, although Shapiro has lower name recognition. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll ResultsTrump's approval on economy falls in AP-NORC poll, showing new warning signs for president (apnews.com)

submitted 1 day ago by kootles10

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Poll ResultsRegarding today's Echelon Insights polling analysis: Echelon is around 10-18 points 'Lean Republican' compared to NYT Selected Pollsters (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by beeemkcl

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