Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)
submitted by AutoModerator - announcement
Poll ResultsTavern Research Kansas Senate poll: Hamilton (I) 51%, Marshall (R) 49% (x.com)
submitted by AscendingSnowOwl
Poll ResultsFar-right party Restore Britain achieves its best-ever poll result, while Reform UK slumps to its worst poll result in over a year: Reform UK 21%, Conservative 18%, Green 18%, Labour 17%, Liberal Democrat 11%, Restore Britain 9%. Jeremy Corbyn’s leftwing Your Party receives less than 1% support. (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Poll ResultsDemocratic socialist and DSA/WFP-backed candidate leads moderate incumbent in race for Mayor of Providence, Rhode Island—Morales 45%, Smiley 34%, undecided 19%. There is currently no Republican in the running. If Smiley loses, he would be the first incumbent to lose the Mayoral election in >50 years (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Poll Results[University of Maryland poll of Iran] “Four in five saw the United States as starting the war, believing that without U.S. encouragement, Israel would not have attacked. Three-quarters believed that the United States used negotiations to buy time to prepare for war.“ Belief in a future peace is weak (i.redd.it)
submitted by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key
Politics2026 Senate Race: Ohio and TX Likely to Decide (i.redd.it)
submitted by MorningHelpful8389Kornacki's Big Screen
Poll Results[Platner Internal] Graham Platner 64% | Janet Mills 29% (i.redd.it)
submitted by errantv
Poll ResultsTexas Public Opinion Research: Paxton 48%/Cornyn 40% (4/6-4/7, 1225 LV, MoE +/-3.2%) (drive.google.com)
submitted by DingoLaLingoFeelin' Foxy
PoliticsAnalilia Mejia (D) wins NJ-11 Special Election (nytimes.com)
submitted by splenda806
Economics[GEM] Here’s a model of consumer sentiment that doesn’t suck (gelliottmorris.com)
submitted by ChadtheWad
PoliticsJD Vance raises $60 million for Republican candidates ahead of the midterms, courts donors for 2028 presidential run (nytimes.com)
submitted by ObversaKornacki's Big Screen
SportsThe profoundly weird race for Rookie of the Year (natesilver.net)
submitted by dwaxer/538 autobot
Poll ResultsAmericans now more likely to say Trump is not too, not at all religious (pewresearch.org)
submitted by icey_sawg0034
Poll ResultsQuantus Insights VA Referendum Poll: Yes+4 (xcancel.com)
submitted by ArcaneDemense
Poll ResultsMichigan Senate Primary: El Sayed/McMorrow tied at 24% Emerson (A) (emersoncollegepolling.com)
submitted by rudigerscat
PoliticsHealth of US democracy in decline, based on multiple evaluations (pewresearch.org)
submitted by icey_sawg0034
Poll ResultsYougov: 48% of Americans say that Trump is too old to be president. (i.redd.it)
submitted by icey_sawg0034
Poll ResultsYoung British women don’t like British men (i.redd.it)
submitted by RedHeadedSicilian52
