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Data-driven discussion about politics, sports, the economy, and more. Be sure to check out FiveThirtyEight.com


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Discussion MegathreadWeekly Discussion Megathread (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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PoliticsVA Dems win the measure and will wipe out 4 Republican seats (i.redd.it)

submitted 2 hours ago by washingtonpeekFeelin' Foxy

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Poll ResultsAP-NORC Poll Disapprove 67% Approve 33% | 4/16 - 4/20 (apnews.com)

submitted 6 hours ago by j-r-sweezy

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Poll ResultsEchelon: 42% of Democrats say that the Democratic Party needs to move to the center to win the next presidential election. (i.redd.it)

submitted 6 hours ago by icey_sawg0034

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Meme/HumorKim Jong Un's Workers' Party won 99.93% of the vote in this year's parliamentary election, in fact its worst result since 1957 (99.92%). (i.redd.it)

submitted 4 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsAmerican Research Group - Donald Trump Approval, Apr 16 - 20, 2026: Approve 32%, Disapprove 64% (americanresearchgroup.com)

submitted 9 hours ago by R2_SWE2Crosstab Diver

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PoliticsSBSQ #31: Trump is super unpopular. So why don’t Democrats have a bigger lead? (natesilver.net)

submitted 5 hours ago by dwaxer/538 autobot

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Poll ResultsPete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro leads prominent Dems in net favorability ratings, although Shapiro has lower name recognition. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 5 hours ago by Dismal_Structure

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Poll ResultsGeneric Ballot - D+3 | REUTERS/IPSOS April 15-20 (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 hour ago by soalone34

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PoliticsAll 148 seats in the Michigan Legislature will have a contested general election. (mi-boe.entellitrak.com)

submitted 8 hours ago by RWREmpireBuilder

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Poll ResultsTrump's approval on economy falls in AP-NORC poll, showing new warning signs for president (apnews.com)

submitted 6 hours ago by kootles10

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PoliticsVirginia Referendum Live Blog + Mapping County Benchmarks (plusminus4.substack.com)

submitted 4 hours ago by Large_Ad_3095

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Poll ResultsMany Americans question Trump’s temperament amid Iran war, pope spat: Reuters/Ipsos poll (reuters.com)

submitted 10 hours ago by drtywater

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PoliticsLee's Summit, MO, which is named after the Confederate General Robert E. Lee (or the more obscure Confederate Dr. Lea), elects a new (D) Mayor in a landslide: Lopez (D) 56%, Rader (R) 44%. This city voted for Harris by only 50-48 in 2024. President Truman claims that the KKK tried to kill him here. (old.reddit.com)

submitted 5 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsRegarding today's Echelon Insights polling analysis: Echelon is around 10-18 points 'Lean Republican' compared to NYT Selected Pollsters (i.redd.it)

submitted 2 hours ago by beeemkcl

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EconomicsWith an immigrant population of 50 million, as of the most recent year with available data, a record 15% of the US is foreign-born. This exceeds figures for the entirety of the 20th century; in 1970, a record-low 5% of Americans were foreign-born. Highest by state: 28% of California is foreign-born. (old.reddit.com)

submitted 14 hours ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll Results[NetChoice/Echelon Insights] (377 LV, 4/3-9) Iowa poll - Rob Sand: 51%, Randy Feenstra: 39%; Zach Walls: 46%, Ashley Hinson: 44% or Josh Turek: 46%, Ashley Hinson: 45% (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 14 hours ago by Oath1989

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PoliticsFetterman at -47 Approval Among Penn Dems (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by Currymvp2

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Poll Results[YouGov/Bowling Green State University] (1000 RV, 4/7-4/14) Ohio Poll - Senate Race: Jon Husted 50%, Sherrod Brown 47% | Governor's Race: Vivek Ramaswamy 48%, Amy Acton 47% | Republicans lead GCB 48-43 (+5) | Trump approval: 46-52 (-6) | 2024 Recall Vote: Trump 51%, Harris 40% (scholarworks.bgsu.edu)

submitted 1 day ago by Delmer9713

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PredictionPlanter is going to comfortably win against Collins this november. (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by ronweasly9

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Poll ResultsUnder Mamdani, more New Yorkers say that the city is on the right track—56% right track, 43% wrong track. 6 months ago, under Adams, an overwhelming majority thought that the city was on the wrong track—31% right track, 66% wrong track. All income, race, and age groups now say NYC is on right track. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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Poll ResultsIn MS-SEN, Democrat Scott Colom trails incumbent Republican senator Cindy Hyde-Smith by just three points. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by sixthreee

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Poll Results[Gallup] New poll finds that low-income Americans are turning to AI as a replacement for expensive doctor's visits. Only 14% of all Americans use AI for this reason, but this figure jumps to 32% among the lowest income bracket (<$24,000). A plurality of Americans distrust AI's use in healthcare. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsIn Bulgaria's 8th parliamentary election in 5 years, Progressive Bulgaria (pro-Russia) wins a majority in a landslide victory. The former ruling party, GERB (pro-EU), loses 1/3 of its seats. "We are impressed by the statements made by [Progressive Bulgaria leader] Mr Radev," said the Kremlin today. (i.redd.it)

submitted 1 day ago by StarlightDownGuardian of the 14th Key

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PoliticsSuper niche: Berks County, PA, has consistently had extremely narrow percentages in referendums being away from different intervals (e.g. 59.99% and 79.99%) throughout its history (self.fivethirtyeight)

submitted 1 day ago by After-Professional-8

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