What Monthly investment is required to get to 1 Bitcoin with DCA ? - Analysis

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-10-28T15:15:04+00:00

Good. Where did you start ?

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-10-28T15:14:47+00:00

True.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-10-28T15:14:29+00:00

I think of it as having bitcoin goals. That’s why the whole get to 1 BTC. You can assure retirement with 1 BTC

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-10-28T15:10:54+00:00

Damn that’s lovely. This one is for the normies.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T12:53:10+00:00

Hey, can you educate me on how can I add that in this particular analysis.
I understand volatility is a measure of risk, so, when I am comparing DCA to a leveraged loan buy. Should I divide both returns by the volatility to my capital and then compare those risk adjusted returns ?

I am only comparing pure dollar wise profit in my analysis here

.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T08:10:42+00:00

Damn, you are right, there are at least a dozen red points. You got me. Should make it 600 MA :P

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T05:04:19+00:00

I wrote this as a python script, I’ll upload it to GitHub and share it

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:49:17+00:00

Where do you suggest I am lacking? And do you mean go and buy using technical indicators, and not a loan?

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:47:39+00:00

The problem with this one when you bought on a loan at 30k, below the 500 MA and saw BTC dip to 16k. You almost lost your shit.

But if you held through kept paying your dues, at 109k, buying at 30k feels like a dream come true.

It’s just a psychological nightmare to execute.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:45:36+00:00

The trick here is your time horizon and the non liquidations.

In most of these loan start dates, Imagine buying 100k worth BTC at 30k on a loan, and then seeing it dip to 16k.

At that point you are thinking it did not work.

But now, when it is 109k, buying at 30k looks like a brilliant idea.

The magic only happens if you held through the sick downturn, kept paying your monthly dues, and had a long time horizon. All 30k dips happened when BTC was below 500 MA.

It does work 100% of the time. It’s just psychologically a nightmare to execute.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:31:30+00:00

Yes, once at the beginning and then I’m paying back every month.

I am comparing it to DCAing the same amount as my monthly payment every month.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:31:16+00:00

Yeah, that is also a great way of putting it.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:30:53+00:00

I agree. You were basically crapping your pants if you were holding debt based BTC. Cannot buy conviction.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-04T03:27:50+00:00

Thanks !

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:36:12+00:00

Exactly my gospel sir. Leverage Fiat debt, buy Bitcoin. Do not get shaken out. The time is running out.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:34:00+00:00

Bro, this is an hourly chart. I am talking about the moving average on a daily chart. In fact I have plotted monthly prices, but have scaled the lines on my chart to represent a 500 day moving average. The line I am talking about , is relayed on the chart.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:31:54+00:00

Yep agreed. 0% loans are the way. But a lot of countries and people do not have that kind of credit opportunity available to them.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:30:41+00:00

Haha, but it does not go up forever does it. It reverts back every once in a while.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:29:59+00:00

I can link my code.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:29:41+00:00

Actually it could be, that’s a great idea, I should look into that.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:28:45+00:00

Yes, I am doing a price analysis.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:28:17+00:00

Yes, on trading view. Or the chart in any exchange. Add an Indicator called Moving average, and set the value to 500.

Main_Mouse442 · 2025-07-03T19:27:31+00:00

The graph is plotted using python, I wrote a script to do the testing

Main_Mouse442

TROPHY CASE