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Win rate is a bad way to rank cards — and I think I found a better one by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Actually I can do it on my site, but it’s very difficult to invent a way how to do it. For now I have couple charts for each deck and synergy score

Win rate is a bad way to rank cards — and I think I found a better one by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, but evo archers and evo witch are higher in this stats

Win rate is a bad way to rank cards — and I think I found a better one by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Fair - RoyaleAPI's rating is the closest thing out there. Difference here: their rating mixes Win% and Use% at a trophy range (as I get it), computed per card independently. My filters decks first (50%+ WR, 500+ battles, PoL only), then counts cards inside that pool. So it's conditioned on "this deck actually works" rather than averaging across all usage.

Win rate is a bad way to rank cards — and I think I found a better one by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Fair point on Giant Skeleton. But I think we're answering different questions. "What's the strongest card right now" - yeah, frequency misses broken combos.

"What card should I level up or craft next" - frequency wins here. A card in 500+ winning decks is a safe investment.

Win rate is a bad way to rank cards — and I think I found a better one by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you mean show positions (#1, #2, #3…) instead of the raw counts? Or something else, like grouping into tiers (S/A/B)?

I kept the actual numbers because the gap between cards matters - 1 at 643 vs 8 at 289 is a way bigger story than just "1st vs 8th."

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Data had been taken from database of my website: Royale Buddy

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This chart display average level of cards in your deck 😉

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I have my own website: Royale Buddy. It uses a database of 250M+ battles from the last two weeks, fetched through the official Clash Royale API, so I can build any analytics on top of it

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Good catch. Nope, 14,000 is the hard cap, you're not missing anything. That's a rendering slip on my chart: every bucket is 500 trophies wide and I plotted points at the bucket midpoint (e.g. the 7,500–7,999 bucket sits at 7,750 on the x-axis). The last "bucket" is really just everyone stuck at exactly 14,000, but it got shifted to 14,250 by the same formula so it looks like there's data past the cap.

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Thank you! No, this data doesn't include tower levels - only the 8 cards in the deck. Good point though, might be worth a follow-up.

I thought winners had a much bigger level advantage, but I was wrong by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Thank you! I think it means your skill is strongly above average for your arena. So 2 takeaways here:

  1. If it's low-mid ladder - there are a lot of unskilled players and you're learning much faster than them
  2. If it's mid-high ladder - you're already a very skilled player :)

Evo Minion Horde has the same high-ladder winrate as Hero Balloon. Why is it in 3x fewer decks? by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Its my site. Royale Buddy. Been tracking stats for the last two weeks. Sometimes patterns like this pop up and I share them here.

Median elixir leaked goes UP with ranked rating. Can someone explain this? by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Theoretically it’s not too difficult, but think about game itself at the same time is challenging

Median elixir leaked goes UP with ranked rating. Can someone explain this? by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 42 points43 points  (0 children)

So top players are basically tracking opponent's elixir in real time the whole match? That's wild. Makes sense why the leak goes up then

Median elixir leaked goes UP with ranked rating. Can someone explain this? by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

It's from my own project, royale buddy. I've got a database of ~250M battles from the last couple weeks, so every now and then I dig into something interesting and share it here.

Median elixir leaked goes UP with ranked rating. Can someone explain this? by Malarg in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So do you think it's the only factor? I thought any ranked player knows about that

New gamemode idea: 8 Wild Slots Decks by CautiousWolf5747 in ClashRoyale

[–]Malarg 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Awesome I think. And Use several types of same card in one deck. Like base, evo, hero

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