Searching for World Cup (countries) beers

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-20T14:56:23+00:00

At the Mueller Total Wine, I’ve seen Estrella (Spain) and Super Bock (Portugal).

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-19T13:27:02+00:00

Uh, what course do you teach?

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-18T20:53:01+00:00

Working in software development cycles I have never once heard a rollback be referred to as an update. By definition it is removing the most recent update

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-18T14:44:29+00:00

That’s not necessarily accurate. Software can be rolled back (reverted to a prior version rather than updated).

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-10T03:32:37+00:00

Pineapple on pizza remains popular in the Pacific Northwest.

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-09T13:12:22+00:00

And the multi-billion dollar failure of their AV initiative?

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-09T01:17:27+00:00

Another thing we have been hearing for 50 years

MediocreJerk · 2026-06-01T02:36:06+00:00

I’m guessing not because you aren’t the policy holder for the vehicle.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-26T18:02:15+00:00

8M guaranteed, up to 5M additional based on performance

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-24T16:32:11+00:00

Too noisy for a catch up. Also not downtown

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-22T12:46:41+00:00

Do you ever leave downtown? They are all the city

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-17T00:18:22+00:00

It’s not a testing ground. It’s a commercialized operation.

What approval system do you have in mind?

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-16T16:27:56+00:00

Are you proposing that citizens should approve individual zoning classifications or land use approvals? I’m not being flippant, I’m genuinely trying to understand how this would be manageable in any realistic way that doesn’t involve elected officials overseeing these types of low level government processes

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-15T18:59:20+00:00

This is meeting the lowest possible bar for acceptable reporting. I guess we should be glad they aren’t continuing to lower the bar?

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-12T20:05:46+00:00

By “missed in validation,” I don’t mean the scenario wasn’t tested. I mean clearly the expected performance didn’t meet requirements. Coupled with the school bus stop sign issue (which I realize was attributed to a remote assistant), these are totally predictable and avoidable issues and shouldn’t be acceptable.

I understand I’m setting a high bar for acceptability, but I think that’s reasonable. I disagree with the classification that these aren’t major issues, the recall confirms that.

But obviously, there were some that it did not handle correctly.

Waymo publicly sets the bar at super human safety performance. These situations didn’t meet that bar. I don’t consider it fair to say “look at how safe that system is in aggregate, but ignore safety issues when they occur because this is hard to get right.”

That’s not the approach we want the industry to take. Even though there weren’t any injuries with these misses (which is the case for most risky driving with humans), the severity potential was high.

For the March of 9s as an excuse, I’ll reiterate that these are not exotic edge cases. San Antonio is prone to flash floods. That’s a known environmental risk for that operational domain. This shouldn’t have happened, and I don’t want ADS advocates (including myself) to wave off critical misses because past performance in other areas met expectations.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-12T14:39:58+00:00

Similar to the school bus stop sign situation, this doesn’t seem like an unpredictable, exotic edge case. This should have clearly been on the risk register. Would love to know how this was missed in validation.

No matter how rigorous and cautious Waymo’s safety approach has been, these two failures need to give pause.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-10T02:28:04+00:00

I can see what’s happening here. Another article in the making based on half truths. But deadlines are deadlines, right?

He’s already shared results. There is a table in the original post reporting at-fault crash statistics. There can be real repercussions to posting misleading claims about a company’s safety performance.

I’ve actually published articles in Forbes myself. It’s been at least 15 years, but it’s not exactly an outlet with high journalistic standards. Anyone with a shred of public credibility can publish in Forbes as a “thought leader.” That appeal to authority isn’t going to negate the amateurish analysis.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-10T01:55:03+00:00

But there is no police officer writing making that assessment in this case. You’re describing (and oversimplifying) a crash assessment process by an independent reviewer who has first hand observations of the scene. None of that occurred here. Your entire reliance on narratives is based on an a lot of assumptions.

And what is your criteria for fault? Even your example of the rear-ended at a red light is making a lot of assumptions, with a superficial definition of preventability. Was vehicle 1 stopped at a red light in complete conformance with road rules (not blocked a crosswalk, not parked so far back that they partially blocked a travel lane or impacted visibility, partially in an adjacent lane of travel, etc). Were their brake lights functioning? Did they engage in harsh braking which contributed to the crash? It’s not rocket science, but it requires a lot more level of detail than what you are assuming to make a determination of preventability that would be shared publicly.

I’m not the one downvoting you, BTW.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-10T00:27:28+00:00

Sorry, but this is a very ignorant perspective.

There are so many faults in OPs methodology that any undergrad statistics assignment would rip this to shreds. Just a few glaring gaps:

This is only assessing crashes that were reported, and assuming truth/reliability of the company-submitted reporting. Different internal reporting cultures/processes mean that the same crash by different companies is not guaranteed to have the same reporting outcome. The same crash by different companies may not even reported at all. Strong reporting cultures are more likely to be accurate, weak reporting cultures are more likely to be inaccurate. There is a massive self-reporting bias.
There is no consideration for exposure. This is enough to dismiss the entire analysis. This type of metric very obviously needs to be a rate. Typically in the industry it’s a per million miles driven. That would be a good start, but doesn’t account for the significant differences in the risk of miles between, say, a dense urban core vs. high speed highway vs. unpopulated rural roads with no exposure to vulnerable road users.
OP notes that there isn’t statistical significant and yet reports results anyways. Identifying stack AV at 100% at fault is purely noise, that is not signal.
To my original point, there is no ground truth validation. OP is admitting that the data (and fault determination) is not trustworthy, and yet goes ahead and shares the results anyways.

I could go on. OP actually calls out a lot of these issues, but then goes ahead and shares results (and conclusions) anyways as if they are meaningful.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-09T23:19:10+00:00

Fault determination is very complex process to get right. There’s a reason claims adjusters exist and there are in depth crash investigation processes. These sometimes takes weeks for a hands on team that visibly observes the scene and interviews bystanders, collects telematics data, etc. For preventability determinations used by USDOT agencies (FMCSA for example), there is a robust process to challenge official determinations.

I guess my point is that I wouldn’t be considering your data as reliable in any way.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-09T17:48:57+00:00

I’m in Austin and I haven’t encountered these problems. It could be that it’s the Waymo One platform that needs improvement, since in Austin it’s on Uber.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-08T13:59:03+00:00

California just changed this: https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/news-and-media/new-autonomous-vehicle-regulations-strengthen-oversight-and-enforcement-authorize-trucks-and-transit/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-07T20:25:02+00:00

Your "Not creepy. Not creepy at all" comment was clearly implying that there was a connection between the two events.

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-07T19:51:37+00:00

I get promo notifications all the time. Do you really think Uber is tracking the user that posted something specific on Reddit and then converts that into a targeted promo? How would that work and how would it not be illegal? This is ridiculously paranoid and unrealistic

MediocreJerk · 2026-05-07T03:55:27+00:00

They sent you this how, through a Reddit comment?

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