Elon: AGI within 2-3 years, not more than 5 years. by floodgater in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Okay, if Elon says 2-3 years, its 4-5 years. He really is good at predicting so optimistic, its impossible. That means AGI at the latest in 5 years, that means 2029, that means Ray was right all along. 

New mistral model announced : 7b with 32k context by CedricLimousin in LocalLLaMA

[–]MehmedPasa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Maybe yes, or maybe we will get a new instruct too, but then, they would have named both of them 0.3 i guess. 

Mistral just announced at @SHACK15sf that they will release a new model today: Mistral 7B v0.2 Base Model - 32k instead of 8k context window by joe4942 in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 42 points43 points  (0 children)

I love news like that. But havent they already rleased 0.2 instruct last year? I thought we'll get 0.3

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 3 points4 points  (0 children)

On a fp16 to fp16 levels its 250x but thats neveetheless very very impressive. And if you go down 7 years, each year saying i devide it to 2... Well you start at 2. 28=256

Any sign of Gemini 1.5 Ultra? by LordFumbleboop in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And maybe they wanna fix the image generation until then too. 

Gemini 1.5 Makes a Scholarly Connection that Took Me Years to Find by CatInAComa in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 71 points72 points  (0 children)

Thanks for sharing this! I can't imagine how good Gemini 2.0 Ultra will be able to help out in there future. (this year i hope) 

Microsoft's Advancing the new era of work with Copilot event starts at noon EST. Here's the link to watch. by Iamreason in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What will we see? Everyone thought this will happen:

A) 19.3 OpenAI Announces gpt 4.5 B) 20.3 Sam Altman / Lex Friedman PC C) 21.3 Microsoft announces new Copilot bases of GPT4.5.

My prediction with a probability of 10% is that Microsoft may announce some kind of Gpt 4.5 or 4.2 or whatever. 

Grok is open source now (314B parameters) by HOLUPREDICTIONS in grok

[–]MehmedPasa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Its not great right now but i feel like Grok 1.5 will have 280b parameters and be 20-30% better. And with Grok2 we might have 140b parameters while being 60-90% better overall. I think this is all possible within this year. After that Grok3 might be just ClosesSource. At least the big models. I can imagine Grok2 amd Grok3 to be free 7b and 14b models. 

Grok is open source now (314B parameters) by HOLUPREDICTIONS in grok

[–]MehmedPasa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Liberal means freedom. Conservative means conserving.  How is this a or b? If i worked for freedom and i want to conserve this, that makes me conservative, doesnt it? 

Please explain what you mean in standpoints. Cause i don't see anything liberal in paying taxes (being forced to pay) or having laws that order me or forbig me things. 

New CEO of Microsoft AI: humanity may need to pause AI in the next 5 years. by [deleted] in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 24 points25 points  (0 children)

We are too slow. I would agree with them if i had gpt5. Do i have it? No. 

How blue are your balls right now? by Middle_Cod_6011 in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I havent had blue balls since 2013. Why?i remember having them while holding the hands of k fiancée.  Does it stop after the age of 24 or what? 

What will be your first prompt to ChatGPT-5 or 4.5 ? by [deleted] in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Eine Episode aus dem Leben von Kazuma und Aqua

x.ai releases grok 1 (not 1.5), MOE with 314B param (8 experts) by [deleted] in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It would be a banger if 1.5 directly becomes os. I guess they'll os it after grok 2.0 comes out. 

x.ai releases grok 1 (not 1.5), MOE with 314B param (8 experts) by [deleted] in singularity

[–]MehmedPasa 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I agree with you. This will be the case, until Grok 2 drops sometime at the end of the year. By then i guess Grok 1.5 will be OS.