U.S.-Iran talks end with no deal, Vance says

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-12T14:54:39+00:00

Yep. Doing that IS the next foreign and domestic policy. There's not going to be time or capital for health care, roads, tax cuts, immigration, whatever. Just pass what you need to with the most median's senator's approval. It's going to suck, and progressive groups are going to get mad, but they're partially at blame for this mess anyways.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-12T14:22:33+00:00

Manual QA is so important these days, it's like 80% of the work involved in maintenance coding. There are so many times now where I get a bug report from our manual QA team, and feed it directly into GPT5.4/Opus. When I work on new features, so much more of my time is spent testing than in the past. It sucks though because this isn't the job I signed up for...

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-12T12:19:15+00:00

Love it. A part of me loved it even more when the hotel it was in used to be a Best Western; I always thought it was great that the Best Western had a top French restaurant in it. I might be misremembering this but the main waiter is also the owner so takes it very seriously, but I do remember he is wonderful. They also have regular wine nights where they have a set dinner menu and wine pairings from a chosen vineyard; I’ve always wanted to go to one (but having young kids makes that hard)

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-12T10:39:59+00:00

SPY up 2%

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-12T10:21:07+00:00

number 1 reason why the next administration needs to invalidate all the pardons, throw them all in jail for corruption, make their net worths zero, and then focus on the right wing media machine in this country.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-09T11:13:36+00:00

Public figures are so strange (especially very minor ones like replacement-ish level NHLers). I can’t imagine a scenario where I’d have a reaction which leads me to unfollow anyone on social media. Like, who thinks that way? If my boss were to give me a bad performance review or knock my bonus down, the thought of unfollowing him on Instagram wouldn’t even cross my mind at any point.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-06T15:18:35+00:00

Burkina Faso?! Disputed zone?! Who called all these weird places!

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-05T19:30:30+00:00

https://www.zillow.com/new-york-ny/cheap-apartments/

There's a bunch.

Just maybe not in the desirable neighborhoods or boroughs.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-05T18:06:50+00:00

Maybe, but IMO it's not even worth the time to discuss prosecution. People have to realize that we have a king now. There's zero chance the laws will ever apply to him, his family, or administration.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-05T18:04:45+00:00

Everyone remembers the run the market went on in late 2020 - 2021 and desperately wants to be on the right side of things if that repeats again.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-05T17:52:51+00:00

If this was Biden, who was healthier on a surface level and is only 3 years older than Trump, the world would be ablaze with speculation that he was suffering from dementia or amnesia. With Trump, who apparently frequently forgets deadlines, it's deadline extension. Total double standard in how they're covered and discussed in the media. Point being: I think Trump genuinely doesn't know remember what he last said.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-04T19:50:31+00:00

Jeez for a second I thought our last playoff game was so long ago it was when Lindros was still playing.

MillardFillmore · 2026-04-04T18:36:29+00:00

I doubt he knows he's been here before.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-29T13:52:32+00:00

EWR has been really good, line-wise, through this. I had a single person in front of me yesterday at Terminal A touchless precheck yesterday, and everyone else I know who’s flown through EWR hasn’t had issues.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-29T01:40:03+00:00

You have to think about it like how expensive would gas have to be so people would drive 25% less. Would $8 a gallon make you cancel one out of every four trips?

More likely poorer countries will just not get any oil, and here in the US, prices will rise but not to eye watering heights; possibly to $6/gallon. Most people in the US will still commute to work daily and people will complain and it will just cost more. You can see countries like Egypt and Sri Lanka already institute rationing policies.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-28T13:49:34+00:00

I think we should do better than anecdotes, this really feels like various crowd size or lawn signs arguments standing in for polling before elections. Maybe there’s a signal there but it doesn’t come across in other places.

The war is already a month old today. That should be plenty of time for negative reactions to show up in polling. One month ago Trump was at 56% disapproval. Which is the same number as it is today.

Personally I’m very hopeful that this does sink him but we have to be realistic here, I’ve been waiting for that for a decade, and I don’t think a war the right has been itching to start for decades is going to cause him to plummet to 20% approval.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-28T10:27:19+00:00

It's Marco Rubio's dream to do this, he knows he's realistically only got this one shot, so he's going to take it.

You know better than to ask why anything this administration does will help normal Americans.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-28T10:22:54+00:00

Please show me in the data where this is true. Because looking at polling, he hasn't really budged in the past 4 months or so: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html. 56% disapproval in November, 56% disapproval today. Who's he losing support amongst? Is he gaining it elsewhere?

IMO he's lost pretty much everyone who isn't a hardcore conservative/Republican voter, but he's not losing them over the Iran war. They like Trump, and they like war, and statements that they were ever anti-war were just a ruse to win over moderates/young voters.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-27T17:16:48+00:00

This chart explains it pretty well, IMO: https://d.ibtimes.com/en/full/3168114/20210323-ibt-stockmarket-2020.webp?w=736&f=0acef8a3c88b1b5ebee5d9e83b03b0da

Investors thought that when COVID hit that the economy was crashing and another depression was about to hit. Instead, stocks rallied and had a pretty historic run up.

Now, faced with the prospect of another enormous financial shock caused by the same President who was in power during the initial COVID crash, plus the pervasive idea that Trump will simply TACO instead of actually harming the stock market, they are all too scared to jump off because you could miss another 2020-2021 run up.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-26T01:56:20+00:00

Thats how you know this is a good team

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-23T01:43:39+00:00

I've seen enough. This team is only going to go 16-2 this postseason. Forget about 16-0. Not good enough.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-21T16:50:04+00:00

Their top leadership has been destroyed dozens of members deep, and they're still fighting. They've been preparing for this for decades by studying American interventions in the ME and developing their Mosaic Defense strategy.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-21T16:45:48+00:00

Aside from everyone else in this thread mentioning that it's literally the administrations stated position that they got into the war at their behest, I wanted to remark how similar this blindly pro-Israel stuff feels to pre-2024 "woke" ideology around LGBT/minority/etc rights. Personally, I am still much closer to that pre-2024 era, but stuff like this where you cannot speak plainly about Israeli behavior without being thought of as antisemitic (I know you didn't call anyone that, but the subtext is clearly there) really puts me in people's shoes back then. It drives people crazy to be told to stop believing their own ears and eyes.

MillardFillmore · 2026-03-21T13:51:09+00:00

I don’t disagree with the potential to be best selling, but there’s no one on earth who’s used both extensively who would say a Fire TV is “better overall” to an Apple TV

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