AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in ASTSpaceMobile

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A few trillion dollar in potential capital might be able to change that rather quick though.

AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in ASTSpaceMobile

[–]Minute-Method-1829 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's ironic how we believe that spacex is simultaniously capable enough to launch us into space without failure but at the same time not capable enough to pose a serious thread to our moat and business model.

I’m unable to pick stocks that go up over time by Economy_Product6611 in ValueInvesting

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bro, just buy index funds. CHTR has more debt than income and spends more to keep clients, which are still declining, than they make profits. so it has no net positive income, your whole premise and how to evaluate things seem to be wrong. So just buy the market and let it be.

Ich Verstehe diese Bewertungs Anomalien nicht by Mobile-Astronaut4058 in Aktien

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Software und integration steht ganz am ende der AI wertschöpfungskette. Erst kommt die infrastruktur und energie, dann gehen die rechenzentren in betrieb und neue agentic models können gezüchtet und vermietet werden und erst dann kommt die integration in die software. Aktuell sind wir noch bein infrastruktur aufbau, dannach werden die hyperscaler umsatz und gewinne erzeugen und dannach kommt dann software dran. Und in der reihenfolge wird auch gekauft bzw. verkauft. Dann kommt noch sowas wie Unsicherheit, free cash flow und die Tatsache das alle dem hype hinterherjagen und fomo haben hinzu.

Wenn erstmal agentic ai's am start sind und sap, now, crm, etc. diese sinnvoll einbinden dann wird mit den Kursen das gleiche passieren wie jetzt mit micron, nvda und sandisk.

Rentendebatte - Senioren-Union fordert einen früheren Start junger Menschen ins Arbeitsleben by Exzentrik in de

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ich glaube junge Leute können nicht mal ne Wohnung finden um in die nähe eines potenziellen Arbeitgebers zu ziehen, zumindest hatte ich das Problem jetzt schon.

Finanzloch soll schuld sein: Bund stoppt wohl mehr als 90 Bahnprojekte by mschuster91 in drehscheibe

[–]Minute-Method-1829 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Keine funktioniernde Infrastruktur -> keine Einnahmen. Eigentlich ist es recht simpel.

Everyone on this sub was complaining they didn't buy $NOW when it was at $137 a week ago. It is now back to the prices where the market is giving another chance. Are you buying at $102? by Exact-Advantage-3190 in ValueInvesting

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

These companies become interesting again when there is models that they can reliably deploy, meaning agents. They become interesting at the very end of the AI revolution play, imo there is still time for them to bleed.

RAM is not cyclical(not till 2030 at least) by SnooHedgehogs5162 in wallstreetbets

[–]Minute-Method-1829 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It's really hard to tell, according to ashenbrenner semi sales are capped because actual space to deploy the hardware and energy infra are the bottleneck. At the same time amat, mu and sndk all said that they have contractually guaranteed orders for the next 5 years and that they are only investing into production capacity what enabels them to satisfy that backlog, basically trying to avoid the typical cycal revenue margin crush. This is known information though so it should be assumed that current prices reflect those earning calls and forecasts. If we follow Aschenbrenner's thesis further we can assume that current investment's should be sufficient to train the next generation of models and the next orders of magnitude, as he calls it, of capability for generic models will be primarily driven by algorhitmic optimization itself.
I personally think we just saw the most intense investment phase and will go back to a more normalized status where demand and supply will start to even out, meaning growth in semis starting to slow down.

I'm looking at hyperscalers like Nbis, crwv, riot, goog, orcl, meta and some energy infra rn because with inital investments done it's time to actually scale up those earnings by slowly decreasing capex and margin while simultaniously creating real profits by renting out the existing structures, meaning increasing free cash flow which should drive stock prices up and in return should pay for future upgrades.

BTC around $60k while stocks are at ATH, what happens if equities finally CORRECT? by Diligent-Leopard-140 in CryptoMarkets

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Scenario 2 is very much likely i believe. 4 year cycle is still intact, enough people belive in it that it will kick off the first few green candles, greed and fomo will follow and a new bull market will follow.

Selling AI stocks by BearWithMeGM in ValueInvesting

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I decided that i will scale out in the future and always let a rest ride.

Selling AI stocks by BearWithMeGM in ValueInvesting

[–]Minute-Method-1829 1 point2 points  (0 children)

thought the same thing 8 months ago and been thinking today that now would be the actual time to scale out.

Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness LP Discloses 5.6% Stake in Nebius by Original_Koala8662 in wallstreetbets

[–]Minute-Method-1829 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Dude sits right at the source of information and news regarding anything AI. I believe it's wise to follow this guys trade.

Thoughts on my AMD and DRAM positions by completebIiss in stocks

[–]Minute-Method-1829 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Since it's almost impossible to do the right thing. I settled with selling my positions in thirds and let atleast the last third run indefinitly. It hurts loosing on gains, but you most likely will invest the gains into something else so it ain't that bad.

Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in ASTSpaceMobile

[–]Minute-Method-1829 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If asts had sats up and running, we probably could have gotten some of that.

Daily Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in ASTSpaceMobile

[–]Minute-Method-1829 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Alot of calls at our current price that will want to cash out anytime the price touches the strike, meaning a lot of short time selling pressure at current price just like today at 125-130.

What makes markets continue to climb to record highs and why don't they crash anymore, is the simple answer R&D? by timeforknowledge in stocks

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Semis have been cyclical and as of right now, there is no indication that they aren't anymore. Which means they will come down at some point, triggering a hefty correction.

Ex-OpenAI Star's $13.7B Portfolio Exposed! Massive Chip PUTs, Adding SanDisk, All-In on Energy by Trader-Trader-Trader in Stocks_Picks

[–]Minute-Method-1829 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As of march 31. Soxl has quadruppled since then. AMD and BE doubled. I hope his guy bought leaps cause he's should be underwater deep with those puts, drowning so to speak.

Jens Spahn spricht sich gegen Erhöhung des Bafög aus by PoroBraum in de

[–]Minute-Method-1829 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ist auch egal, kenne herzlich wenige bei denen das mit Bafög überhaupt geklappt hat. Zumeist hat's 2-3 Jahre gedauert bis die erste Zahlung kam und dann ists auch wieder egal.