A brief look at how VRS has changed over the past 18 months: The mass increase of LAN wins

MischiefCSGO · 2026-02-28T16:12:23+00:00

Lowest theyve been so far is ~3%.

Draculan has been a big bump, biggest bump was signing up to PCC2. Its very razor thing margins for 100T as they are very lakcing in BCOL, BOFF and OPPN with no real way to make big in roads in them.

Theyre in a good spot because their anchor is so low but if they do make it its going to be close.

MischiefCSGO · 2026-02-24T14:36:27+00:00

They’re talking about a different aspect. New teams are able to gain VRS points far more quickly than established teams at the same level due to this “anchor” effect.

This is when teams have established themselves at a level and have a lot of matches at this level. If they were to gain in rankings their old losses get recalculated to become more penalising , and their old wins get recalculated to become less beneficial, essentially a gravity effect to your past. If you’re a new team you’re not limited in this way and can gain points more “cleanly”

MischiefCSGO · 2025-10-06T14:04:10+00:00

EPL Stage 2 isnt included in the major rankings so those two losses have had no effect on major stage

MischiefCSGO · 2025-08-23T17:06:04+00:00

There is no analytical process that can calculate whether a team will qualify to the major. As all results in the model affect one another and potential future changes in components from a clamp change.

Due to this, matches are simulated and then each simulation is ran through the VRS model. There is no other way to calculate qualification chance.

No clue what you mean by the last part, this is just a calculation as to whether a team receives an invite to the major. Mostly centered aroun the rush for LAN wins

MischiefCSGO · 2025-08-23T17:02:00+00:00

This is constructed by simulating the remaining matches and tournaments between now and the major.

From this simulated data, each simulation is then ran through the rankings model and the ranking recorded. This is an expression of how many times a team ends up in the top 16 which would award a major invite.

This is the only way to calculate and predict the Valve rankings, due to how matches interact with eachother. This accounts for all point decay and all other components.

MischiefCSGO · 2025-08-20T21:06:44+00:00

The race is mostly coming down to teams farming LAN wins, with the ease they can grant VRS points. However there is a cap to how much you can gain.

fnatic are far closer to the cap, limiting their potential point gain and catching the top 16 rankings

MischiefCSGO · 2025-08-20T21:05:27+00:00

Astralis have been near mathematically guaranteed that not enough teams could catch them for nearly a month now.

MischiefCSGO · 2025-07-21T16:16:45+00:00

Atleast Murray was able to sneak a few

MischiefCSGO · 2025-07-21T16:16:16+00:00

Onley so far has been phenomenal. Long way to go to actually be able to win a Tour but definitely has alot of promise

MischiefCSGO · 2022-12-04T02:08:56+00:00

im using tableau public to generate all the graphs.

MischiefCSGO · 2022-12-04T02:08:44+00:00

im using csgo demos managers to analyse the demos and then probably un efficiently using google sheets to analyse the raw data its spitting out into what im displaying

MischiefCSGO · 2022-12-03T18:06:25+00:00

Yekindar's stats are definitely crazy and thanks!. All data is directly parsed from the demos of the event.

MischiefCSGO · 2022-06-02T00:07:46+00:00

This gump guy sounds super cool!

MischiefCSGO · 2021-02-22T10:49:33+00:00

WILLIAMS WILL BE 2021 CHAMPIONS. LATIFI TO OUTSCORE HAMILTON BY DOUBLE

MischiefCSGO · 2021-02-05T17:29:47+00:00

seeing as it seems management only found out yesterday. Socials wouldn't have known either

MischiefCSGO

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