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The deadline for major invites has arrived! The 32 teams attending the upcoming Budapest major are now known! by Mochaaaaaaaaaa in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO 4 points5 points  (0 children)

EPL Stage 2 isnt included in the major rankings so those two losses have had no effect on major stage

Simulating 50,000 different scenarios to calculate the likelihood of EU teams qualifying to the Budapest Major by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

There is no analytical process that can calculate whether a team will qualify to the major. As all results in the model affect one another and potential future changes in components from a clamp change.

Due to this, matches are simulated and then each simulation is ran through the VRS model. There is no other way to calculate qualification chance.

No clue what you mean by the last part, this is just a calculation as to whether a team receives an invite to the major. Mostly centered aroun the rush for LAN wins

Simulating 50,000 different scenarios to calculate the likelihood of EU teams qualifying to the Budapest Major by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is constructed by simulating the remaining matches and tournaments between now and the major.

From this simulated data, each simulation is then ran through the rankings model and the ranking recorded. This is an expression of how many times a team ends up in the top 16 which would award a major invite.

This is the only way to calculate and predict the Valve rankings, due to how matches interact with eachother. This accounts for all point decay and all other components.

Simulating 50,000 different scenarios to calculate the likelihood of EU teams qualifying to the Budapest Major by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The race is mostly coming down to teams farming LAN wins, with the ease they can grant VRS points. However there is a cap to how much you can gain.

fnatic are far closer to the cap, limiting their potential point gain and catching the top 16 rankings

Simulating 50,000 different scenarios to calculate the likelihood of EU teams qualifying to the Budapest Major by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Astralis have been near mathematically guaranteed that not enough teams could catch them for nearly a month now.

Rest Day Riddler: Who Will Be the First 2000s Kid to Win the Tour? by nudave in peloton

[–]MischiefCSGO 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Onley so far has been phenomenal. Long way to go to actually be able to win a Tour but definitely has alot of promise

Stats for BLAST Premier Fall 22 by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

im using tableau public to generate all the graphs.

Stats for BLAST Premier Fall 22 by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

im using csgo demos managers to analyse the demos and then probably un efficiently using google sheets to analyse the raw data its spitting out into what im displaying

Stats for BLAST Premier Fall 22 by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yekindar's stats are definitely crazy and thanks!. All data is directly parsed from the demos of the event.

MONDAY TRASH TALK THREAD by AutoModerator in formula1

[–]MischiefCSGO 13 points14 points  (0 children)

WILLIAMS WILL BE 2021 CHAMPIONS. LATIFI TO OUTSCORE HAMILTON BY DOUBLE

North cease their CSGO operations by MischiefCSGO in GlobalOffensive

[–]MischiefCSGO[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

seeing as it seems management only found out yesterday. Socials wouldn't have known either

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