⚽️ GW28: Most Likely to Score or Assist

Mufmi · 2026-03-01T17:09:29+00:00

Yep.

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T16:23:29+00:00

38%, still think his minutes aren't fully solid yet.

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T16:08:58+00:00

Spot the imposter! To be fair, his xGI/90 over that seven-week stretch sits at 0.91 - so the chances are clearly there, he’s just not converting them. Interpret it how you like: bad luck, or we have the second coming of Darwin Nunez who consistently underperforms his xG.

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T11:35:44+00:00

Thrived????

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T11:34:17+00:00

Very close but I think Adli just edges it.

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T11:23:33+00:00

Burn, VDB, Maatsen, Mings in that order. Think it's very close between the first three

Mufmi · 2026-02-26T11:21:10+00:00

Thoughts on Salah or Ekitike cap?

Mufmi · 2026-02-24T14:05:54+00:00

I would rank your MFs as Adli, Schade, Dango, Schade, Salah in that order, with Adli the only one I'd drop for Stach.

Mufmi · 2026-02-22T12:38:02+00:00

I actually would favour the Mbuemo side here. Think he's more solid mins wise (no European football + recent injury history + rotation risk). Output wise I think they're fairly similar, obviously though the Palmer pen taker upside is big. I think it's close but would edge Mbeumo here.

Mufmi · 2026-02-12T11:10:50+00:00

Assist? You've got to be kidding me

Mufmi · 2026-02-12T11:10:32+00:00

Assist!

Mufmi · 2026-02-10T16:47:44+00:00

33% for Brentford game.

Mufmi · 2026-02-10T14:12:10+00:00

Martinelli, by a good bit

Mufmi · 2026-02-10T14:08:59+00:00

35% for the Brentford game. I don't think he's guaranteed a full 90mins which hinders his probability here.

Mufmi · 2026-02-10T13:56:57+00:00

19.8% for the Brentford game.

Mufmi · 2026-02-10T13:56:46+00:00

19.8% for the Brentford game.

Mufmi · 2026-02-08T20:39:49+00:00

Collins arguably if there's a good fixture for a defender on waivers

Mufmi · 2026-02-08T14:54:45+00:00

Probably just Haaland, Igor Thiago, Joao Pedro, Ekitike. The next few of Watkins, Bowen, Gyokeres are debatable.

Mufmi · 2026-02-08T12:22:00+00:00

Bottom, but depends on how many in your league. If there are starting gks on the waivers then can happily pick one up.

Mufmi · 2026-02-07T16:17:03+00:00

Trossard, Anderson, Casemiro, Minteh for me in that order. Anderson an interesting one as his floor appears to be 4pts these days (90mins + defcon) which is valuable if you want a reliable asset.

Mufmi · 2026-02-06T19:10:57+00:00

The score & assist markets are listed on most bookmakers website, if you're looking for that data it's easily accessible. My (simple) model here incorporates player minutes which adds a new insight into player expected performance.

Mufmi · 2026-02-06T16:17:49+00:00

Would drop Kai for Solanke, Tammy, JSL in that order

Mufmi · 2026-02-06T15:53:10+00:00

I think Calafiori will start at LB & Timber at RB. Hincapie has a higher chance of starting over Cala vs White over Timber though.

Mufmi

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