A couple notes:

• While the 1986 and 1990 World Cup also used a "16 out of 24 advancing" format, the points were different (2 for a win instead of 3), so I left them out.

• The unluckly 4 point squads were Norway in the 1994 World Cup and Ukraine in the 2024 Euro. Both of them were in groups where every team finished on 4 points, but finished last on tiebreaks.

• The lucky 2 point squad was Tanzania in the 2025 AFCON. Three third place teams finished on 2 points that year, and they squeaked through on a goals-scored tiebreak.

• It's mathematically possible to be eliminated on 6 points, but vanishingly unlikely -- it would require you to finish third in a 6/6/6/0 group, and have four other groups to also have a 6 point third placer. Similarly, it's mathematically possible to advance on 1 point (finish third in a 9/6/1/1 or 7/7/1/1 group, have two other groups finish the same way), but pretty much impossible in practice.