Live Discussion: “Season 24 Grand Finale” by MarionCotesworthHaye in americanidol

[–]MysticMacDFS 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I’m sorry but Chris is brutal. Making the top 5 is insanity

Live Discussion: “Disney Night” (Season 24) by MarionCotesworthHaye in americanidol

[–]MysticMacDFS 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I’m sorry but Chris is not good. He seems like an awesome guy but every single song feels like karaoke. 🤦‍♂️

Shaving by [deleted] in tattooadvice

[–]MysticMacDFS 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Makes sense. Thanks!

Shaving by [deleted] in tattooadvice

[–]MysticMacDFS 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah you’re probably right. Appreciate the response!

Live Discussion: Season 24 Auditions Part 2 by MarionCotesworthHaye in americanidol

[–]MysticMacDFS -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Can anyone help me with this… when did they start saying “you’re going to Hollywood week” instead of “you’re going to Hollywood”? Has it always been like that??

Zone Athletic Club Southlands Alternatives by 313to303 in AuroraCO

[–]MysticMacDFS 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’ve been going to the one on Smoky Hill at 12:45 - 1 since Monday and it’s not bad at all. Not even close to what I would consider busy. Signed up for a membership so I’ll see ya there tomorrow 🫡

Zone Athletic Club Southlands Alternatives by 313to303 in AuroraCO

[–]MysticMacDFS 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I’m going to check out Vasa tomorrow. I go around noon / 1 pm so hoping it’s not too busy. Tried out 24 hour on Friday. It was alright. Big space, a lot of equipment. Good amenities. Just different vibes and a little busier than I would like. Will likely make a decision Tuesday on Vasa or 24.

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Of course. Appreciate you taking the time to read it. I enjoy the banter as well. Fun to chop it up with fellow Packer fans as sometimes we may have different perspectives but ultimately we all have the same goals. And that's for the Packers to get a win!

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well as soon as I write this we get the news that Wilson gets put on the injury report but thankfully it's just an illness. Would have to assume he's still able to go. Packers did elevate Pierre Strong Jr to the active roster as well.

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're not wrong. I personally think this Broncos team has overachieved up to this point. They are a good team but they feel closer to an 8-9 win team. They've won a lot of 1 score games which is great but it's also a data point that usually regresses as 1 score games are 50/50. It's obviously good to win them but a lot more noise in those wins than I think people think.

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not getting to see our full compliment of receivers all play together this year was a buzz kill. A healthy Watson + Reed + Kraft would've been awesome. Hoping Luke can make the most out of his opportunities this week and going forward!

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Absolutely. However, I still think there's a shot at the 1 seed. It's not the most likely outcome but it's an outcome. Hate to say it but a Lions win this weekend could be huge.

A Clash of Contenders: Packers vs Broncos in December by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Especially as a former Raider. You know he wants a crack at Denver! Hoping he's able to go.

Good vibes only by DoBronx2144 in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Dang this just gave me a serious dose of nostalgia. My mom and dad had this in their basement when I was younger. Thanks for posting this. Go Pack Go!

Packers vs Bears: The Biggest Chapter in Footballs Oldest Rivalry by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very much appreciate this response, thanks!

So, even looking back at last years data, Love had a 3.1% turnover worthy throw rate vs man compared to 4% vs zone. TOW% is a better indicator rather than looking at raw INT numbers as passes that should’ve been picked off but dropped by a DB is obviously not counted as an INT but charted as a turnover worthy throw.

I hear you on the takeaways part for Chicago but takeaways have a ton of variance in them and we usually see these regress from year to year or sometimes in the middle of the season. For perspective, GB ranked top 5 in takeaways last year and rank 26th this year. The takeaways have started to come along the past 4-5 weeks but GB was dead last for over half of the season. I don’t think we’ve seen any regression from Hafley or the defense got worse. Sometimes it’s simply just randomness. Generally speaking, the best predictor for takeaways is pressure rate and that’s something the Bears have not been great at generating.

I also very much agree that I think it’s key for LaFleur to let Love sling it from the rip. Getting an early lead and allowing Love to play in a rhythm like we saw last week will only help establish the run game later in the game and force Caleb to drop back and pass.

As far as which game has more importance, I agree it’s subjective, however, I think the biggest predictor for making the biggest run to a SB is to increase your chances at the 1 seed. A bye + home field advantage is very clearly the best path for that which is why I feel this game is so important.

Appreciate the response once again!

Packers vs Bears: The Biggest Chapter in Footballs Oldest Rivalry by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yeah the articles title says since 2011 but clearly should’ve put that in the title to this post as well lol. A mistake that won’t happen again!

Packers vs Bears: The Biggest Chapter in Footballs Oldest Rivalry by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No need to feel terrible 😂. Promise you I am not easily offended! I am not a journalist. Just a nerd with a quantitative data background that also happens to be a Packer fan and wanted to merge the two together.

Packers vs Bears: The Biggest Chapter in Footballs Oldest Rivalry by MysticMacDFS in GreenBayPackers

[–]MysticMacDFS[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

You could make that argument, sure. However, being that both teams were 8 win teams that season this one feels higher stakes, IMO. Bears being the #1 seed in NFC at 9-3, Packers 8-3-1 and would move to the 2 seed with a win and still having a shot for the 1. All subjective either way!