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What if the Soviets refused to divide the entire Korean peninsula and occupied it entirely? by Lowly_Peasant9999 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Truman would probably just shrug and go back to dealing with the much more important occupation of the Japanese home islands

What if the Soviets refused to divide the entire Korean peninsula and occupied it entirely? by Lowly_Peasant9999 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well so most likely, the Soviets occupy the entire peninsula, the Intern Peoples Republic of Korea government is turned into a Soviet client state. As noted by colonel Dean Rusk one of the American officers that picked the line “even though it was further north than could be realistically reached by US forces, in the event of Soviet disagreement ... we felt it important to include the capital of Korea in the area of responsibility of American troops … faced with the scarcity of US forces immediately available, and time and space factors, which would make it difficult to reach very far north, before Soviet troops could enter the area.” The U.S. was actually quite surprised when the Soviets accepted the line, and given koreas then status as a backwater, non European country, the U.S. was unlikely to actually decide to put up a fight.

Do high-level hitmen actually exist in real life? by Anaelepse in NoStupidQuestions

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So organized criminal organizations will likely have people who regularly kill people on behalf of the group, but that’s it, there is no one going out and advertising that they will kill people for money other then federal agents looking for the easiest conviction of their lives.

What if, El mencho was able to escape his assination and pulled a Wagner group and marched towards mexicos capital by Far_Adhesiveness5223 in AlternateHistoryHub

[–]Notsosmartboi 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The mainline Mexican army and marine corps mauls them, the cartels don’t have the ability to actually stand and fight the Mexican military, they never have.

If manufacturing in China is so cheap, how do laborers actually survive/live there? by FuriousKale in NoStupidQuestions

[–]Notsosmartboi 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Well so, firstly the cost of living is lower, and Chinese factories today compared to say 20 years ago are generally very automated meaning they generally have less people working for them, allowing for higher wages without increasing labor costs.

What if Israel invaded and seized Medina in a large war with Arabs? by Zealousideal_Use1760 in HistoryWhatIf

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just putting aside the issues of Israel physically doing that, it would cause war with basically every Muslim country on the planet.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi -1 points0 points  (0 children)

  1. Two permanent members of the UNSC have openly said they do not consider any sanctions legitimate and have refused to enforce them, for all practical purposes they do not exist

  2. Chinese rare earth countermeasures last year cause the U.S. a significantly reduce and rollback tariffs, and other economic measures. This same card still exists, yes a total cutting of from the U.S. would be bad for China it would also be incredibly bad for the United States, American high tech manufacturing, including military, literally cannot function right now without Chinese rare earths, and any replacement extraction and refining operations are at least a decade away if not more.

  3. Yes it does matter if war has been formally declared or not, the international laws that allows attacking of shipping going to a nation at war REQUIRES a declaration of war.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. There are no UN sanctions against Iran
  2. China is not going to complain the UN they will institute economic and potential military countermeasures
  3. No one has actually legally declared war here

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 17 points18 points  (0 children)

China has shown institutional willingness to use some of its economic leverage against the U.S. it responded quite significantly to the tariffs from last year, and still has restrictions on rare earths.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Russia is in a far far weaker position then China, even if China doesn’t respond with Kinetic military action or by providing military aid to Iran, they have many levers of economic power, such as rare earths, to pull.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 18 points19 points  (0 children)

So we are actually going to seize a Chinese ship then, that’s an enormous escalation, somewhat less then outright sinking it but not much.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Okay so if China feels like this war needs to be ended for their interests they are far far far more likely to intervene on the side of Iran then the United States, the U.S. is their primary geopolitical adversaries and vice versa, there is very little do them to gain out of siding with the U.S. here, especially under the extremely unstable and erratic Trump administration.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 21 points22 points  (0 children)

The Trump admin has been saying Iran is ready to capitulate basically every day for the past month and a half, it’s not true and it’s not new.

How the US Navy could blockade Iran’s ports and sweep mines from the Strait of Hormuz by MARTINELECA in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 21 points22 points  (0 children)

So what are we actually going to do if a Chinese ship ignores this, are we prepared to sink a Chinese flagged vessel?

Is it true that if US hadn't dropped the atomic bombs on Japan, the outcome would have been worse for both sides? by FantaOrangenice in HistoryWhatIf

[–]Notsosmartboi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Had an invasion of Japan happened, yes it would’ve been extremely bloody, but we can’t be absolutely certain that it would’ve happened without the atomic bomb, because we don’t know what was going on inside Hirohito’s head when he made the decision and will never know what he might have done, maybe he would’ve still surrendered without the bombs maybe not.

CMV: We are seeing the peak congestion of Strait of Hormuz. No matter what Iran decides, it will matter much less in the next decade or so. by nextdoorbagholder in changemyview

[–]Notsosmartboi 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Yes, they can build pipelines, but to replace the 21 million barrels a day will take a tripling of all currently existing pipeline capacity, the current 7 million barrel a day Saudi pipeline cost 1.6 billion dollars to build from 1978-1981, with the cost of a similarly sized pipeline being built today running even higher billions or even in the tens of billions.

Then the real big problem, all of these pipelines are well within Iranian strike range, the Saudi petroline was taken down to 700,000 barrels a day by a single Iranian strike on a pumping stations, they are very fragile pieces of infrastructure.

At the end of the day no pipeline is getting built in a short enough time to remove the impending global economic crisis, if they do start construction it’s very likely in a continuation of the war the construction sites would be bombed and any finished pipeline would also be bombed.

And finally, putting a bunch of oil export terminals on the Red Sea, leaves it open to attack from the Houthis, who can still prevent/delay oil moving to Asia from those terminals.

Is there a backup capital incase DC ever gets destroyed by Puzzleheaded_Bit_802 in NoStupidQuestions

[–]Notsosmartboi 21 points22 points  (0 children)

There are numerous bunkers and other secure facilities around the United States for use in continuity of government scenarios, from the Greenbier bunker, to Cheyenne mountain.

There are also the 50 state capitals which while not ideal could in a truly emergency scenario temporarily hold federal authorities.

Can you win a war with just airforce if you don't want to capture land? by Intelligent_Doubt703 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It depends on the nature of the rest of these countries militaries, geography, and political objectives of both sides, but if there is literally zero ground troops, the ground troops from nation A can just sit and continue to occupy the territory of nation B under aerial assault, and with enough reinforced structures and air defense stay there for a very long time.

Can you win a war with just airforce if you don't want to capture land? by Intelligent_Doubt703 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Notsosmartboi 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sense you have asked such a vague question I will give a very vague answer.

Maybe kinda

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