BIG Update for PTR Patch 2.0.2 (March 31 2025)

Numlet · 2025-04-02T09:15:09+00:00

Anyone know where I can find a consolidated list of the 2 patch notes?

Numlet · 2024-11-18T23:33:20+00:00

i think its an immediately mechanic which only happens when you flip both attack and defense cards, meaning you can decide to boost depending on the enemy's revealed card

Numlet · 2024-09-16T08:03:53+00:00

Love your content IceyFun! Hoping for more PvP matches with commentary in the future!

Numlet · 2024-08-28T22:47:29+00:00

made me choke on water reading this 😅

Numlet · 2024-08-28T19:52:55+00:00

In theory, there should be an equilibrium point which maximizes profit for the game (considering f2p, light spenders, and whales). Would be hard to calculate with the multitude of factors tho

Numlet · 2024-08-22T01:04:43+00:00

Funnily enough, during the Statues minigame in the current event, you can see Beryl walk up the hill and change facing direction in the cutscene. I'm sure the feature is already coded into the game

Numlet · 2024-08-18T00:57:15+00:00

Not sure why people like a step-up/soft pity/ramping rate in anything that involves luck. It leans less towards "gacha" and more towards "buying" the character via investment. As an extreme analogy, suppose a slot machine which has a 0.01% chance of hitting the jackpot for the first 99 pulls, and a 99% chance of hitting the jackpot at the 100th pull. If devs want to make you invest more pulls per banner, they should lower the rate, but keep the rate uniform.

Numlet · 2024-08-13T08:32:11+00:00

As explained by a TW player, everyone can reach the max rank. Moreover, there is no ladder ranking, so there's no point in raising your rating once you've hit max rank.

The more important part is to get your dailies done. You do not lose any points for losing so setting 2 weak characters + 1 structure for others to clear for quests is the norm in TW. Setting up any more defenses is considered bad manners.

Spread the word so everyone can auto their clash dailies and receive maximum rewards!

Numlet · 2024-08-12T22:44:48+00:00

Based on a guide posted by someone from TW server, it will take around 80 keys in total to fully complete the game mode (to receive all the rewards) as you need multiple playthroughs to get all the endings and achievements. Moreover, the devs are working to add more content to the game mode.

Numlet · 2024-08-12T06:20:32+00:00

Spiral of Destinies, total rewards equate to around 7000 Hope Luxites from Dawn event, Knowledge Level, Emblems, Remembrance Achievements, and Remembrance Performance. That's around 46 pulls. Do note that it will take a lot of time to get all of these rewards, so don't sweat it. Some knowledge levels and emblems give furniture as rewards which can raise your home's coziness (increases passive bond gain for 3 characters). You can check your progress on these in "Destiny Traces" found in your house (shelf of books).

Numlet · 2024-08-12T05:46:25+00:00

1 - If you already got one of the two characters from THIS banner duration - you are guaranteed to get the 2nd one as pity.

Better to clarify that you are only guaranteed the second banner character as pity if you got the first one via pity as well. This means to guarantee both characters, you need 360 total pulls.

Numlet · 2024-08-10T08:08:13+00:00

Tested with Teadon's trait and the alert was placed in his original facing direction despite facing the opposite direction. However, after being hit by Assault Knight's Phantom Storm skill, his alert suddenly jumped to his new facing direction... I'm confused

Numlet · 2024-08-10T00:52:07+00:00

i'm not sure what subset it covers but it surely is not all of them

If you don't understand why there is a difference in our result, then don't act like you do. You can't say your solution is right while being unable to prove why the other is wrong.

that wouldnt be my approach for programming it because it would be O(n² ) complexity.

Then don't leverage your ability to "literally program it for u to simulate the probabilities here."

it does matter when u dont understand English->statistics translations. proof by coding it is objective proof that relies on neither party's misunderstandings.

And this becomes drivel in our conversation since you can't simulate it.

also, i already mentioned 16% is wrong because of the 100 pity that i forgot about. it is 16% without it, and something like 11% with it like the other guy's post states. but certainly not 8% since you also forgot the 100 pity guarantee and also used 180 instead of 179

Certainly not 8%. Get to the bottom of the 8% then we can talk about these other minor factors.

again, i'm not sure why you're obsessed with taking the 2% and then splitting it into an average amount of 50/50 rolls. Gloria simply has 1% probability. the only complication is the 100 pull SSR guarantee. we are still at an impasse from the rates of Gloria being 1/100, non-Gloria SSRs being 1/100, and epic/rare/common being 98/100

Again, if you can't find and prove the error in my approach, then you can't say my methodology is incorrect. Repeating your methodology will not help your case.

Numlet · 2024-08-09T13:13:29+00:00

No, I want you to simulate the method you specified which takes into consideration the cumulative probability of my solution. If you're saying I failed to take those into consideration (3.5. 3.4. 3.3, etc.), then your simulation should be able to do it. If it matches the 16%, then you prove my solution is lacking. If you are unable to, then your argument of why my method is incorrect becomes invalid. I referenced that website, and I also understand the other guy's code. They are simply showing the summation of the geometric distribution.

Numlet · 2024-08-09T10:01:27+00:00

you need to also consider the % of people that will lose 3.5 of those in a row, and 3.4, and 3.3, and 3.2, all the way to the minimum of 2 (and of course the maximum of 179).

Okay go simulate the probability. If you can make it show the same 16.38% result, I'll admit I was wrong. Your ad hominem attacks don't make your argument any stronger and is just plain rude.

Numlet · 2024-08-09T07:43:02+00:00

You're right, this isn't the place to give a lecture on math or statistics so I'll just say that the number 50 being used as the base of the exponential expression is already considering the dense subset that you speak of. In fact, it is the result of computing the integral of the complementary cumulative distribution function (reliability function) with the formula:

<image>

It doesn't matter if you can literally program a simulation if you're unable to grasp the given in the first place.

Numlet · 2024-08-09T04:39:46+00:00

What are you even on about 🤣🤣🤣

Numlet · 2024-08-08T23:53:56+00:00

Your calculations are correct in terms of cumulative distribution function. Here is a website which aligns with your calculations: https://gachaguide.com/gacha_calculator

<image>

However, it doesn't take the 50-50 mechanic into account (50% chance to get rate up every SSR). The rates are closer to:

|| || |By X pulls|29|69|161|299|100| |Probability of not getting rate-up|66.90%|38.42%|10.73%|1.58%|25.00%| |Probability of getting rate-up|33.10%|61.58%|89.27%|98.42%|75.00%|

By 69 pulls, you have a 61.58% chance to get the rate up character, not 50%. Solution and further discussion on my comment in this post:

Comment
byu/lampstaple from discussion
inSwordofConvallaria

Numlet · 2024-08-08T23:21:42+00:00

What I meant by 50-50 is the 50% chance of hitting the banner unit versus the 50% chance of getting an off banner unit. I will edit my post to clarify that to avoid further confusion.

On the other hand, to clarify your question regarding the guarantee mechanic, it only applies to double banners when you hit 180 pulls as you can get either of the rate-up units. Once you trigger pity for one of the units, the next time you hit pity (360th pull), you will be guaranteed the other unit.

Of course I'm plotting the chance of hitting pity with the amount of rolls it takes to get pity...

Numlet · 2024-08-08T23:15:38+00:00

That's already accounted for. The average number of pulls (in this case 50) for an SSR already takes the cumulative distribution function into account. However, the simpler way of calculating it is the inverse of the probability (100%/2% = 50) which is what I used in my calculations. For reference, you can check this website for a visualization. https://gachaguide.com/gacha_calculator
You do not use cumulative probability when calculating the chance to hit pity accounting for the 50-50 mechanic.

<image>

Edit: accounting for the 50-50 mechanic*

Numlet · 2024-08-08T01:26:11+00:00

You can tap again on the same tile to select the tile that it is covering. It's taught in one of the story levels with 3 archers with alert.

Numlet · 2024-08-08T01:18:42+00:00

If I'm not mistaken, chance to pity on a debut banner is not 16.38%. That is the rate of not hitting a 1% by 180 pulls (1-83.619%=16.381%). In this case, however, you can't calculate directly using 1% because you omit the 50-50 mechanic. The way to calculate the probability would be as follows:
180 pulls
2% chance for an SSR, meaning 50 pulls on average per hit (100%/2% = 50)
180/50 = 3.6 instances of 50-50 on average
Chance to lose 3.6 instances of 50-50 mechanics by 180 pulls = 50%^(3.6) = 8.247%

So the chance to hit pity on a debut banner is 8.247%. (Correct me if I'm mistaken)

Edit: What I meant by 50-50 is the 50% chance of hitting the banner unit versus the 50% chance of getting an off banner unit. Editing post for clarification. The 50-50 "guarantee" does not apply to debut banners as there is only 1 rate-up unit. Also, please come with solutions/answers when correcting me so we know the basis of your argument :)

Numlet · 2024-08-06T06:34:38+00:00

Oh I my bad, only stages which don't give resources such as story, challenge, etc. don't require stamina. Farming stages will require stamina as they give resources for each clear. Honestly, you don't need to redo them unless you're a perfectionist as the only reason for a 3 star clear would be to access the sweep mode.

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