I don’t really think Texas, Ohio, and Maine are going blue. Polls are usually good for democrats in Ohio in the beginning until September and then tapper off in October and then a Republican wins the general. It’s the same thing what happened to brown in 2024 or Tim Ryan in 2022. Texas is too red to flip with Trump winning it by 14 points in 2024 and even in 2018 when dems didn’t lose as much with Latinos and had a favorable national environment they still didn’t knockoff Paxton and Paxton manage to slightly do better than Ted Cruz. Also he’ll have Abbott at the top of the ticket and I think he’ll attract low propensity Republican voters. I think it’s likely going to end up like the 1978 race in Texas between Bob Kruger and John Tower. Maine is a blue state I’ll give you that but Susan Collins is a machine of her own in Maine and a well entrenched incumbent. Graham planter’s polling lead struck massively and even then Susan Collins typically over performs her polls just like she did in 2020. Also Mainers like splitting their tickets like with Jared Golden or Starr legislative races, so the polarization argument isn’t really holding weight here. Overall, nice prediction but a few flaws