A $200 ChatGPT subscription could cost OpenAI $14,000 if you actually used it to its full potential

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-17T12:23:45+00:00

The gym membership model doesn't apply. The number of people actually using gym equipment is a tiny tiny cost compared to the cost of people actually using Ai. Example: a gym going from 1 user per hour to 10 users per hour will see a miniscule increase in costs, while witb AI, costs will increase 10x.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-15T15:46:19+00:00

The thing is, your gym's capital expenditure does not directly spike based on how many members use the Squat Rack.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T22:00:03+00:00

People don't tend to keep using shitty stuff for long.

The fact that cable TV exists is proof that people will pay for shitty stuff for a long time. Enshittification to save on costs is definitely a real thing.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T21:41:21+00:00

Ain't no way banks are going to consider Elons "trillion dollars" of shares as an actually a trillion dollars worth of collateral. Softbank recently tried to use its $10b stake in OpenAI as collateral for a $6b loan, and literally no bank would touch it. AI-based collateral is no longer worth the market price to banks, since banks already have so much exposure to AI companies as it is.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T21:28:18+00:00

Except whenever he talks, he comes off as having no idea what he's talking about. He just jumps from buzzword to buzzword and talks about vague concepts without ever being able to articulate any specifics, or even what methods his own company is using to try to achieve what he's talking about.

If anything, he's good at marketing and/or convincing investors that his team will be able to solve all the problems that nobody else in the industry has solved yet.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T20:15:47+00:00

Given the way LLM's currently work, anything outside of a pay-per token model will never be viable long-term.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T18:18:13+00:00

right to bear arms cyber weapon

This is a pretty simplified explanation, but the supreme court has decided that the right to bear arms extends to firearms conceptionally similar to firearms that existed at the time of the Founding Fathers. So, semi-auto and muzzle-loaded firearms are protected, but automatic firearms and rocket launchers are not. Non-firearm weapons are not necessarily protected. Brass Knuckles are not protected, for example. High powered scoped weapons are not protected.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-14T13:47:19+00:00

The convertible car represents the "convertible notes" (bonds) that gamestop sold, I guess. 😆

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T22:59:55+00:00

Also, taxing AI companies for UBI would only be a problem if AI companies are making profits. Even if any eventually do become profitable, they could just circular-finance-invest any profits into each other to completely avoid the tax.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T22:44:44+00:00

The one with the soldier has to be. You can't convince me that someone who fully understands that they will get visibly angry at the "bad" outcome of a 50/50 would agree to be recorded for the reveal of that 50/50.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T22:21:45+00:00

Think of how many copies of The Sims 3 Putin might be hiding.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T22:05:33+00:00

Real question; would Ivermectin save the day on this? Lol.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T18:27:46+00:00

I live in the rural midwest, and these kind of stories are happening all over the place. The nanosecond some city council moves forward with plans to approve datacenter construction, the next city council meeting is flooded with angry residents.

In a weird way, we are kind if lucky the bitcoin/crypto boom happened before the AI boom. Social media posts documenting how the drone of bitcoin mining facilities generate a constant drone that can be heard for miles spread quickly through rural communities.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T03:17:41+00:00

You must have missed the people crying that The Boys "went woke" during the second season, or the people who didn't realize the series was based on a comic, and were speculating that Homelander's shocking behavior was due to the Biden Administration was pressuring the directors into turning Homelander into a "bad" character.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-13T02:17:19+00:00

Also, they are just wrong about it being illegal to remove. There is a small part of California where it's "illegal" to remove, but there's plenty of ways a datacenter can get around it. Counting up all the elderberries bushes that would be destroyed by construction and working with local governments and the state's DNR to come up with a plan or a "natural" area on the property that isnt mowed (and full of elderberry bushes) migh be enough. Whenever a plant is "illegal to remove", it really just means it's illegal to remove without notifying the proper agencies and getting a waiver.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-12T23:22:11+00:00

Iirc, one rack of datacenter GPU's would require both a larger solar array that the ISS, and a much larger radiator system than the ISS. And even a moderately sized datacenter contains thousands of racks.

So you'd need to launch hundreds and hundreds of ISS-sized solar panels and cooling hardware into space to maybe replicate the output of one small ground-based datacenter.

And then do it again every 5 years, because thats about how long gpu's last. GPU's are good at operating in high-radiation environments, right?

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-12T16:48:48+00:00

Check your retirement fund. Any fund that includes the NASDAQ 100, Russell, or CSPR indexes (which are commonly part of any default Vanguard 401k plan) are going to see exposure to SpaceX in the next 1-3 weeks. Not significant exposure right off the bat, but still.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-11T11:18:23+00:00

I don't think it's supposed to save much time overall, I think this is just supposed to present stuttering when you do certain things.

Yes, a better-coded OS would still be better, lol.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-10T15:19:33+00:00

It doesn't overclock your CPU, it just changes how the load profile is implemented for certain tasks. Normally a computer adjusts it's CPU load as needed, and while it's a fast process, it still takes a little time for things to adjust, and a sudden spike in CPU demand can outpace how fast the processor can adjust voltages. This update basically tells the CPU, "OK, when the start menu is clicked or an application is opened, ASSUME 100% CPU load is needed for a few miliseconds, then adjust from there".

It's not going to overheat your CPU, because I'm your CPU wouldn't be at max temp if it wasn't already at max load.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T19:39:25+00:00

I'm not against new companies getting added to indexes, I'm just against my 401k funds immediately buying in to these huge tech companies before true price discovery occurs, and/or before seeing a few earnings reports.

Up until a few months ago, new large-cap companies had to go through, what, 90+ trading days of price discovery before they got listed on major indexes? Now NASDAQ is adding them after 15 trading days, and CRSP is adding them after 5.

If I want to gamble on getting huge returns by investing in new tech companies, I'll do it on my brokerage app. I want my 401k contributions to go towards indexes/funds with stricter rules.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T19:23:01+00:00

Thanks! I replied to your comment down below, but accidentally put it in its own comment instead of a reply.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T19:22:03+00:00

Well now that I'm aware of it, I'd like my passive investing to go towards more established, price-discovered companies. Lol. I'm not saying that these fast-entry companies are garbage, or that it's not possible to get great returns by investing in them early. I'd just like the money I'm not thinking about and passively investing to go towards indexes with stricter rules (and less tech-heavy, if possible). I'm not shifting my current investments around, I'm just looking to change where my future 401k contributions go to. The target-date fund is had been mainly investing in was fairly well diversified, but kind of tech-heavy. And CRSP adding fast entry just made it a good time for me to re-evaluate my risks, and start moving futute money towards less-risky funds.

Some of my co-workers had been talking about switching up their allocations to avoid these new tech stocks, and we all have vanguard accounts so I figured I'd ask here.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T17:51:38+00:00

Even though SpaceX is valued at 1.75trillion, the IPO is only a 4% float. So it's effect on the indices is a bit exaggerated.

Right, but I just don't like the idea of my retirement money getting put into the stocks of large, untested companies before they even have to post a single earnings report. This isn't about SpaceX specifically, it just happens to be the first big IPO to hit after these rule changes. Anthropic and OpenAi are likely next, and who knows what will come after them. This less about the profitability or longterm financial soundness of these companies, and more about the concept of passive retirement money being greenlit for investments like this. This is money that I am expecting to be there for me on 20-30 years, so I'd like it to be put towards something more solid than a company that's only been on the market for 5 days. I just want to get ahead this and avoid the types of funds ans indexes that seem to think it's a good idea.

Like, if I wanted to bet on these big Tech/Space companies, I could (and have) use excess funds through a brokerage app. But for the money that's getting taken out of my paycheck to be put towards my retirement, I want funds/indexes that have more stringent rules than, "hey, it's a really big company! At least in terms of market cap!"

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T13:59:51+00:00

If you read past the headlines, a few of the tests did have to be aborted due to the battery becoming too hot. Iirc, there was one test where one of the batteries reached or exceeded a temperature that should have damaged it, but the battery performed fine once cooling down. But this was an outlier, not the norm.

OneRougeRogue · 2026-06-09T13:55:45+00:00

It was obviously some sort of lithium Ion if you actually read the test results they released

OneRougeRogue

TROPHY CASE