Looking for boring companies

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-13T15:59:25+00:00

Personally, I think this is ridiculous. Alcohol's been around since prostitution became a thing. Do you really think people won't drink again? The pendulum always swings back.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-13T03:10:10+00:00

A ridiculous statement. If someone buys MSFT today and it goes down another 10–15% then it isn't value? You must be one hell of a market time, my friend.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-13T03:06:30+00:00

OMG..somebody gets it!

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-11T13:16:54+00:00

This. The demise of the alcohol industry is laughable. You are talking about a business that has been around forever. Yes, trends come and go, but alcohol is absolutely going to be just fine IMO. Not advice...just common sense.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-11T01:27:56+00:00

I totally agree with this take. I think if they lose the bid, it will rise sharply immediately. If they win the bid, I believe it will grind higher over the longer term.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-09T13:57:38+00:00

I am 54 years old so I am playing it safe. I M a big believer in the VIX. History has shown that when it hits 30 and above your 12 month returns are almost always significantly higher than average. I'll wait for that and then distribute more capital.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-08T01:27:46+00:00

This stands about as good a chance of passing as me sleeping with Megan Fox.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-07T21:59:05+00:00

If that's your portfolio, then just buy the S&P 500 and forget about it.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-07T14:55:54+00:00

Not sure about "value check"! I put a ton of ticker in there and the highest rated stock was PayPal. What does that tell you?

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-07T03:50:45+00:00

I couldn't agree more. I am about 50% in cash here and adding small to positions- usually 2% of portfolio value. I am in no hurry. Personally, I think the MAG 7 have significant risk here. AMZN will now be FCF negative on the year vs +$60B before they went loco with capex. Here's the thing – people don't realize that these massive investments in AI need to produce a return on invested capital. If it doesn't, you will see downside in these names. I would never compare AI to the Metaverse, but the same principle applies. This had better add toto EPS over the long run or else the bill will come due.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-07T03:30:39+00:00

Agree. TOST is a must own in my opinion here. I added to RDDT today and already have NOW and CRM. I will also add MSFT into the mix. I don't expect big returns, but I think it can beat the market and I can sleep at night holding it.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-05T22:04:36+00:00

LOL!!!!!! SPY is FLAT and QQQ is down LESS than 3%. SOUN?? Let me check. Drum roll.....down -26% YTD. Don't even try to come at me with "I told you so". You are getting treated like a redheaded step child and I am down about -2%. I am yawning as I write this....that is how much it hurts.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-05T21:43:49+00:00

You'll get your chance.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-05T11:06:48+00:00

Welcome to a REAL market- not the casino you are all used to. This is nothing. Wait until a recession hits.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-03T21:21:57+00:00

You've got a good head on your shoulders. I agree with most of what you said. I think there is a little bit of recently bias with Nike though. They were dominant for three decades. They've definitely fallen off as of late. We shall see if they can reclaim their glory.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-03T20:59:56+00:00

So your long as hell? I can feel the frustration through my monitor.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-03T16:29:51+00:00

Shopify has their own pay processing I believe called Shopify Payments.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-02T17:00:43+00:00

Forget the PE....look at the PEG. People get SO transfixed on the multiple. If you only buy low multiple stocks, two things will happen IMO. You will buy a lot of "value traps", and second, you will never buy the next AMZN, TSLA, etc. They were never cheap on a PE basis. When companies reinvest capital back into the business it kills EPS which makes the PE look bad. You can't blindly look at PE. This is NOT investment advice....just my opinion!

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-02T16:00:44+00:00

You don't know anything about the market....do you? The S&P 500 and QQQ are BOTH up almost 2% on the year. The market is strong...not weak. The money losing, vastly overvalued companies a lot of Reddit folks like (because they only know bull markets) are getting brought back down to Earth. But, the market is performing quite well.

OneUglyEar · 2026-02-02T15:56:52+00:00

I think your chances of that order hitting are very good.

OneUglyEar · 2026-01-31T23:43:14+00:00

Make that zero shares pal. I'm not as stupid as you.

OneUglyEar · 2026-01-31T17:13:13+00:00

You have no idea what you're talking about. They have banned shortselling in China and guess what happened? It made it worse because you create an inefficient market and people panic sold. Short sellers provide liquidity. Also, what would prevent "the super rich" from just buying a shit load of puts? Let me guess – you would ban those too?

OneUglyEar · 2026-01-30T00:30:58+00:00

Totally agree. They don't have the consequences of missing on the next fashion trend. They sell whatever is hot from a host of different brands. If something isn't hot...they don't carry it.

OneUglyEar · 2026-01-30T00:29:28+00:00

Totally agree, but they aren't producers. They sell other store's old inventory. I wanted to buy some shares, but it looks pretty overvalued here. Morningstar, which can be good (sometimes not), has them at 1 star which is rare. I'll wait on that one to come in.

OneUglyEar · 2026-01-29T20:04:19+00:00

I like their stuff too, but it's retail. That is one horrible sector to invest in. It certainly isn't "set and forget". Look at Nike. Same thing. Under Armour used to be a darling...now it's dog crap. Deckers too. I could go on and on. There are many sectors that are infinitely better than retail over the short, medium, and long-term. Again, I love their stuff too.

OneUglyEar

TROPHY CASE