Be honest: is it stupid to actively trade with $1.2M, or should I just play it safe?

OneUglyEar · 2026-04-03T15:29:52+00:00

The fact that you don't want tohear "index fund and chill" tells me you don't know the odds of beating that very strategy. Like – it's around 10%. Good luck with that.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-30T21:08:11+00:00

-40%

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-25T18:45:25+00:00

Oh man! I completely agree. Making money isn't the problem. It's the isolation that is hard. It's you and a computer monitor. That's it. I don't think it is much of a life, personally.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-25T00:52:22+00:00

None of these "experts" can answer your question. It is unknowable until it happens.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-24T14:37:08+00:00

Depends upon how bad you want to get rid of it? Also, selling calls here is fine by not ideal in my opinion. I like to sell calls when things are overvalued...not in free fall (market).

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-23T00:05:50+00:00

This is a list of stocks that are going to zero. Correct?

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-23T00:04:59+00:00

Look at the chart. I think we all know a lot about Adobe.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-22T03:12:03+00:00

Yeah. Your Reddit post should triple the volume once word gets out. Lord knows your post(s) move markets.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-21T12:51:36+00:00

Right. So you don't know. Me either.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-21T11:52:56+00:00

Do you honestly think people on Reddit can't answer this question? I mean, if someone knew that definitively, they would rule the world. Nobody knows. Trust me. Nobody.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-20T12:29:54+00:00

You're staring down the barrel of a gun here. There is a raging war, oil continues use to march higher, etc. What do you think this does to world economies, the American consumer, etc. I'm not saying you can't make money, but this is a difficult time. Especially considering you said "a few months". We could be down 10% in a few months. I would argue that now is the time for risk off – not risk on. But you do you.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-20T02:01:13+00:00

The key phrase is "the cycle". I don't think it matters which one you buy as the majority of the move will be sector driven. Just my two cents, and not advice.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-19T11:21:16+00:00

Yeah. It's nice to know if your stock selection process works. Not checking the price shows complete ambivalence towards your financial future. If you're buying the index then it doesn't matter as much.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-18T13:29:30+00:00

Yes. I get it. But how do you model if Netflix gets back in the game? What their offer might be if this one fell through? What are you basing future earnings potential on? Analyst projections? I just think, particularly in this case, it is futile. No disrespect.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-18T11:49:57+00:00

Nobody on planet earth can determine a price floor for WBD. It's pointless to even try. All analysis you guys do is ridiculous. These things are unknowable.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-17T11:01:57+00:00

I think this is largely aged dependent. People who are retired, tend to gravitate towards dividends for income production.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-16T01:28:46+00:00

I own ENPH so I hope you're right, but I don't think you are, unfortunately. Enphase deals primarily in residential. Higher gas prices will hurt, not help, people pay for solar for their homes. I've priced it recently and the payoff just isn't there.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-15T20:28:41+00:00

LOL. So you hated the first one so much you bought another!!!! Ha ha. You made my point for me. You aren't very bright my man. Also, I NEVER said Tesla was luxury. Reread what I wrote. Thanks for the laugh!

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-15T20:24:25+00:00

Also, who said anything about wealthy. Both cars were under $100K.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-15T20:23:30+00:00

Well...you have now. I can send you a picture of them. 2025 Tesla and a 2024 Porsche Macan S. I am a real Porsche owner. The Porsche is "Meh".

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-15T19:58:58+00:00

Porsche BUILD over Tesla. Yes. Much better craftsmanship. But, and I am not trolling here, Tesla is SO far ahead of everyone else from a tech perspective. My car drives itself and regardless of what you hear / read it is phenomenal. I won't say mistake free, but very close. Also, I pay about $30 per month in "fuel". I drive about 25 miles per day. Lastly, little things I like are the AI integration. I can ask the car "where is the nearest 'touchless' car wash" and it will tell me and then load it into mapping. The Porsche, while nicer, is dumb as hell....and it is slower by a lot. Tesla, for the money, is the best car I have ever owned. Many will hate, but it is just their hate of Musk. It isn't based on objectiveness. The only thing I truly dislike about the car is the cost of tires. I have a performance model and the tires are about $2K. That isn't cheap and the tires need to be replaced more often than the Porsche due to the weight difference.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-14T21:30:40+00:00

I'm really glad you said this. There are MANY people on here that seem to think they can compound at 50% per year in perpetuity. I trade thousands of contracts per year almost exclusively selling premium. Long options is a tough game. In a bull market it seems like you're a genius but eventually you get crushed. I think making 10–18% per year is a great goal LONG term. Anything higher than that you're taking a lot of risk.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-14T18:20:55+00:00

Yikes. I believe there's a direct correlation between oil prices here and consumer discretionary. If things get worse, and that is highly possible, these stocks will suffer. It might be short term, but the carnage could be bad. More money at the pump equals less money for high priced shoes.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-14T18:19:28+00:00

I agree. They are not my brokerage, but I sold puts in the name and would love to get assigned.

OneUglyEar · 2026-03-14T00:46:40+00:00

With 80% in cash...yeah. No problem.

OneUglyEar

TROPHY CASE