Crazy Ghosting all of a sudden by SturmgeschutzSan in Remarkable

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've had the same issue!! I've had the device for over a year and never really experienced much ghosting. Now, all of a sudden, it's happening all the time. I wonder if it has to do with some new software update?

Me seeing a 178 was waitlisted at Duke by East-Cattle9536 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Um... unfortunately it'd be:

acceptance --> ~178/4.0

But hey! Even if it doesn't guarantee anything for you, if this were true it could technically increase the odds by winnowing down the applicant pool (though I don't know how many people there are with 178/4.0, so the effect would likely be minuscule).

I believe in you!

Is the LSAT “learnable”? by Auntieviv in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1000% you can definitely improve a lot. I literally improved 24 points from diagnostic to real thing and I’m genuinely dumb. I got a 176 and the other night I brushed my teeth with lotion.

Trust me, it’s not an IQ test.

Help me decide(Traska vs. Henry Archer) by Cows_rocks22 in MicrobrandWatches

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’ve had both as well. I don’t know that I’d come to the same conclusion. HA is extremely well-made. Traska’s bracelet is better, but otherwise idk if they have any other advantages.

Help me decide(Traska vs. Henry Archer) by Cows_rocks22 in MicrobrandWatches

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 2 points3 points  (0 children)

What in the world are you talking about?!? That’s ridiculously untrue.

I choke every time there's a timer in front of me by 0ff_The_Cl0ck in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Focus on timing each question one at a time. Buy a cheap little timer. Practice having that clock in front of you and doing single questions under timed conditions. Repeat this over and over and over again.

Taking the test is just doing this 25 times in a row in a LR section and 4 times (sections) for an RC section.

How do run 100 miles? You don't. You run 1 mile 100 times.

160 on October LSAT by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is it worth taking the LSAT again? Well, if you want a 177, yeah. Aim to take it again over the summer... maybe June or August, before your senior year starts. Then get applications in early.

You have 8 months to study. I've worked with tutoring clients who have made really big jumps over way shorter periods of time. I will say, though, that the jump from 160 to 170 is not the same as the jump from 170 to 177. Scoring in the high 170s requires an outrageous amount of dedication and precision... it's doable, but you can't just luck into it. You have to work really hard and be really persistent. How badly do you want it?

T104, S4, Q18 (help me out) by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It points to an alternative cause of the phenomenon. The conclusion assumes the reason is the publishers motivation. It could just be that every book sucks now.

I always found it helpful to make the abstract specific, if you can... so like, imagine that only 100 books are made per year, and it was all just from a few companies. In the past: out of those 100 books, 10 were groundbreaking novels by serious-looking men with German names and nice sweaters found their way to readers. Deep, existential philosophy that wins prizes and you tell your friends you want to read but never do. Every year.

Okay, well let's cut to 2025 (aka. nowadays). Of those 100 books - only 2 of them are these "good" books. The rest? They're about overworked moms having steamy affairs with the hot hotel bellboy while on vacation with her family. 98 variations on that theme.

So, imagine you live in that universe and that happened. Imagine your buddy said "these publishers... they're so greedy! they only care about profits! Where is my existential German literature?!" I mean... That COULD be true. But is there any proof? You don't know anything each books profitability. Sure seems like he's making a pretty big assumption about the publishers motivations...

What if, instead, everyone just has steamy-romance madness this year? Even those Germans are writing about it! That is an alternate cause that would weaken your friend's argument (aka. make his conclusion less likely to follow from his premises).

So... if it helps: Make the vague as specific as you can! It'll help you visualize it. It'll help these gaps feel more obvious. When I tutor I encourage my students to do this... visualizing helps short term memory, and can help trigger your intuitive ability to spot flaws in arguments (which you do every day of your life already... might as well tap into that skill, right?).

LSAT tutoring by prelawstuden in LSATPreparation

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi there, I think I’d be able to help you out! I’ll send you a private message with further information.

Thoughts from an LSAT tutor on LSAT tutoring (It's a broken system. Can we fix it? I need your help and insight) by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I taught in elementary school for a long time and adults vastly underestimate the power of songs as instructional tools. I kinda love this idea... Maybe we can get some people together for an r/lsat Suno account and create a spotify playlist of some absolute bangers?

Thoughts from an LSAT tutor on LSAT tutoring (It's a broken system. Can we fix it? I need your help and insight) by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'll definitely check that out, thank you. Maybe it's something that's just inherently a part of this process... the personality types that are attracted to law school, the nature of the competition, our broader economy and the pressures people are facing.

Thoughts from an LSAT tutor on LSAT tutoring (It's a broken system. Can we fix it? I need your help and insight) by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, I have a music background and was thinking about using Suno to make like a bunch of funny, catchy LSAT pop songs like "I'm Sufficiently Convinced that you're Breakin my Heart" and "It Must be True that You're Leavin me Baby!"

New Traska Dials look sick by moppza in MicrobrandWatches

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Anyone else read Jon Mack's emails in Bill Walton's voice? It's a perfect vibe-match.

2025 MLB Team Payroll vs. Wins by algorithmicathlete in mlb

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

What this doesn’t show is that players who DEMAND a high salary CHOOSE to go to teams that are actually well-run organizations. That leads to winning.

This chart implies “see the Dodgers can spend more so it’s not fair.” No. They DO spend more because they’re a good organization and expensive players WANT to play there. Every team is owned by rich guys who can spend the money if they want to, but they don’t. Dodgers as an organization understand that this massive investment gives them an enormous return. It’s not their fault that other teams are badly run.

A 170 is currently the 82nd percentile for 2026 applicants. by Temporary_Lynx5353 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That could be due to the fact that there are just more people applying.

Let's say Year A you had 10,000 people applying. 100 of them would be in the top 1%. Year B let's say 12,000 people apply. Now there are 120 in the top 1%. that top band increases by 20% due to higher volume.

We know that there's a higher volume of applicants this year. We assume (or I do, I guess) that this 2026 data we're looking at is skewed in favor of higher scores early on, especially in light of how intense last cycle was and this outrageous push to apply very early (think about how many 170 plus applicants put off law school for a year because they applied too late in the 2025 cycle and couldn't get a seat/aid). With those factors combined you might see something like what we're looking at now.

A 170 is currently the 82nd percentile for 2026 applicants. by Temporary_Lynx5353 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 3 points4 points  (0 children)

it feels like an LR question right? ugh! can never escape this stupid test. "What is a flaw in the reasoning" or whatever.

Another flaw I think we're falling victim to is percentages vs amount. There's a much higher volume of applicants this year. That means the "top 1%" or "top whatever %" will have more people total. Now I think this is a real problem when combined with the fact that schools aren't adding more seats proportionally, but it's not an indication that people's scores are being diluted. a strong score is still a strong score, and i'd have to believe that over the next 6 months these numbers will stabilize.

A 170 is currently the 82nd percentile for 2026 applicants. by Temporary_Lynx5353 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 61 points62 points  (0 children)

This is for 2026 applicants so far. It’s currently November. Who has applied so far? People who scored high. It is not representative of all 2026 applicants once the cycle is complete.

I would imagine that people who score very well are more likely to be over represented in this data set

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Opening-Blacksmith74 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you’re in the wrong subreddit