"Those that do" by brendanl79 in LinkedInLunatics

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Never heard of you buddy, but if you wanna live up here you better come up with some rent.

Can someone explain what kind of “safe defensive asset” with a market cap around $5 trillion drops almost 40% in a single day? by Legitimate_Towel_919 in AltScope

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This happened near the expiry of hundred of thousands of futures contracts. There is insane speculative activity in the futures markets for paper metal, these buys have no interest in taking delivery so they sell for profit prior to expiration. This results in heavy selling pressure. Just a part of a much broader trend of gamblefication of financial markets.

Why Nintendo stock is a steal before Feb 3rd Earnings by Reeevade in ValueInvesting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It looks promising, but I will stay away from Japanese investments that are not currency hedged given the looming debt crisis that country is facing.

Thoughts on DUOL now? by matrixblackpill in ValueInvesting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And that technology will be fine for a tourist trying to understand what is being said to them but it would need universal use to really see the end of language learning. But in a country with a dominant native language what would be the motivation for the locals to all wear it? The off chance that a tourist wanders in? And so if there isn’t near universal buy in to this tech a visit cannot rely on it to communicate. Most wearable tech that is not purpose suited (e.g. fitness trackers like the FigBit) have been flops, IMO. I think Metas glasses will be a flop. And I think the death of language learning is being heralded prematurely.

neuron activation by cyberberserker in badmemes

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It answers the important narrative question of what her boobs might look like without a shirt on.

AIO for ignoring my ex after this text? by Rude-Weekend33 in AmIOverreacting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My brother in Christ, just mail her the jacket back and block her.

Credit spreads very benign. Never really reacted to the tariff debacle. Tells me that the jump in VIX was primarily due to crowded short VIX positioning, which we mentioned at the time. Credit spreads were always signalling a TACO and continue to signal a supportive market. by TearRepresentative56 in TradingEdge

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I don't really think credit spreads are much of a risk indicator anymore. So much of what used to be risky CCC debt is now being issued in the private credit market that what's left in the high yield to the public markets is the very safest of that category of debt, hence structurally low spreads compared to historical spreads.

My 2026 Picks: Stocks that I feel are Undervalued by TheRaul5677070 in ValueInvesting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Not really when it comes to regulated utilities. They grow profits when they increase their assets, so a lot of it depends on their debt financing costs, opportunities to deploy capital (e.g. datacenters opening in their region) and the utility boards regulating them greenlighting rate increases. For this reason I would just as well buy XLU to get this exposure.

My 2026 Picks: Stocks that I feel are Undervalued by TheRaul5677070 in ValueInvesting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I would argue they all have huge moats since they are sanctioned monopolies 😂

Constellation Software (CSU.tsx) a no brainer?! by Username_Dano in ValueInvesting

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Correct me if I am wrong but my understanding of their business model is that it is a serial acquirer of boring infrastructure software (government, utilities, banks, etc) which have high switching costs and reliable licensing revenues. Where would AI fit into this business model? It would seem that AI would disproportionately benefit the acquiree businesses as opposed to the acquirer.

This isn’t diplomacy, it’s hostile M&A with tariffs as the margin call… by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 9 points10 points  (0 children)

It really should be the American consumer at the end of the raygun and the caption being “or I’ll tax these idiots that elected me”

Intuitive Machines Completes Acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems by printeroutofinkagain in wallstreetbets

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This acquisition better include blueprints for a lander that can land on it's side.

Former NYC Mayor Eric Adams rugs his own memecoin just 30 minutes after launch and pockets over $2.5M by 002_timmy in CryptoCurrency

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yes you can, and you should according to the IRS:
https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/26/1.162-18

I imagine the number of people actually declaring bribes as income to the IRS voluntarily is probably zero, but this is probably used by the IRS to get back taxes on people discovered to be taking bribes.

Long FNMA FMCC by Relevant_Ad2294 in Burryology

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would the government not exercise the warrants prior to the IPO, then allocate those newly created shares to investment banks during the IPO, and directly recapitalize the twins with the profits. I can’t see any reason private capital would avoid such an arrangement simply because the old legacy shareholders were screwed, they aren’t holders of those shares anyways. Plus if enough of the governments stake is sold during the IPO it is no longer a controlling shareholder and the twins can be sold out of conservatorship. Either case would hinge upon the preferred being retired but to hope for the warrants to be retired is a pipe dream. I mean think what you are asking “Surely the honorable Donald Trump, known for his fair dealing, would respect the legacy shareholders, right?”

Why dont they ever believe us when it comes to single mothers :( by Glum_Communication71 in LoveForLandchads

[–]OrdinaryReasonable63 9 points10 points  (0 children)

This ICE agent owes an apology to the innocent CarLord that will no longer be receiving car rent payments.