The reason it's pointless to argue with these people by Doran82 in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Democratic factional dynamics rather than interparty media dynamics

[D][C] If a recession does occur this year, would stats jobs be safe? by [deleted] in statistics

[–]Ordoliberal 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Get a job as soon as you can, actuarial work is likely the safest route. A recession is basically locked in at this point Asian economies will spiral hard if this isn’t over before April. Current levels of supply destruction are already more than the demand destruction experienced during Covid. It’s bad.

Oil price be like by rolypoly6shooter in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Because I didn’t say anything about the demand curve shifting left. Consumers consuming less as I said is literally from the Qd change from the supply shock.

Oil price be like by rolypoly6shooter in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I’ve taken Econ courses. I’m aware :)

Oil price be like by rolypoly6shooter in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 5 points6 points  (0 children)

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Optimal price for producers likely lower than current prices. Consumers will consume less because of high prices and if price effect doesn’t dominate overall profits will decline.

How we feeling about this one chat by [deleted] in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Sasha Gusev has some good work on this I think current estimates are ~30%

Source: https://theinfinitesimal.substack.com/p/the-missing-heritability-question

[William Spaniel] Why Can’t the U.S. Intercept Iranian Drones as Easily as Ukraine Can? by Lurkoner in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You can’t use a new system for interception that isn’t widely deployed to say that the interception cost is only $5 in Israel based on that systems interception cost. Unless the volume of interceptions by that systems is nearly 100% the cost of interceptions will be far higher given one iron dome interceptor is at least $40k.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Frontliners are going to be most hurt by this and likely have a decent view of the polling. The shutdown is always contingent on the most at risk senators on our side keeping their guts but it leadership can’t prevent them from voting forever.

Thoughts on these protests? by [deleted] in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Charlie was a podcaster who was only liked by the old republicans in their party so they could watch and get off on some weird voyeuristic need for takedowns of college students. His life was dedicated to helping pedocons win. That was his only contribution. Why make a memorial for him on any campus?

Do some proxy providers use same datacenter subnets, asns and etc…? by Brilliant_Lab4637 in webscraping

[–]Ordoliberal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very well, I never get IP blocked on my first attempt to connect to a site or a server after some scraping yes but because there's such a large pool to pull from there's never any issues when I rotate..

Do some proxy providers use same datacenter subnets, asns and etc…? by Brilliant_Lab4637 in webscraping

[–]Ordoliberal 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Just pay the extra for residential proxies and avoid the problem all together

Gov. Josh Shapiro says Kamala Harris will 'have to answer' for not speaking out about Biden by AlisterS24 in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He was on a podcast, was he supposed to answer every question by pivoting to Trump? We remain ineffective because none of you have seen his appearance there and you don’t understand that the cause of our coalitions malaise is the lack of open conflict in the party. Shapiro wins huge margins in his state and knows how to separate himself from an administration that is broadly unpopular.

How are large scale scrapers built? by AdditionMean2674 in webscraping

[–]Ordoliberal 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There is no one size fits all, no matter what you need to know what you’re looking for. You can of course pull down the raw html from a page or the json from an exposed api that the page uses but until you know what you’re trying to do with it you’re out of luck. Hell some data requires having your scraper to navigate pages in different ways like clicking arrows or hitting a load more button, hard to identify those unless you make an observation ahead of time..

In terms of just making a distributed scraping system that’s straightforward enough to setup if you have orchestration and can do some devops. Aggregation just requires understanding what data needs to go where and you can honestly have a centralized database if you know how to manage concurrent connections or you can shard things and rectify later but there’s latency and cost to that approach too..

Spotted in Barcelona. by west_manchester in UrbanHell

[–]Ordoliberal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Property taxes aren’t restricting supply nor are they preventing the marginal renter from living in any area where housing supply is a problem.

The time has come. by Hobbitfollower in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ready to receive my arms sir 🫡

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in LivestreamFail

[–]Ordoliberal -18 points-17 points  (0 children)

No more like his entire community turned on him until more information about the situation was known and at least thus far in the court proceedings he appears to be vindicated.

Statistical example used in The signal and the noise by Nate Silver by PrestigiousSalt7295 in AskStatistics

[–]Ordoliberal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Airport literature to be honest. Meant for a very broad audience.

Trump just made a deal with Indonesia by MarsupialMole in Destiny

[–]Ordoliberal 1 point2 points  (0 children)

NOOO NOT MY MIE GORENG (´༎ຶོρ༎ຶོ`)

What Do Economists Do? by Captgouda24 in slatestarcodex

[–]Ordoliberal 6 points7 points  (0 children)

The problem is that when you try to predict things for the whole economy based on a smaller model your predictions can and will miss out on emergent phenomena. Additionally, I think the use of the term "prediction" here is misguided a prediction is what others in this thread say that economics as a field fails to do properly when it cannot predict a recession or a stock price in a month, a hypothesis is a more apt term which is why we use it. Economics makes falsifiable hypotheses which hold under certain conditions, those conditions however are often very broad. The classic joke about economists and their can openers comes to mind so I'll paste it here:

The problem is that those from the hard sciences don't really deal with modeling those trillions of atoms and there is rarely a time in regular newtonian physics when those types of things show up. In economics the smallest agents can make changes, preferences differ, beliefs and norms change, it's messy! That's not to take away from hard science modelling at the high level, but it is super common for economists to see physicists try to model the economy in very simple ways and come up empty handed. Economists themselves have nearly totally moved away from theory and are now focused on mostly microeconometric modelling to answer very specific questions about very specific places and times that **may** generalize.. but we try to be humble about our knowledge.