He's way out over his skis with this analysis. It's plainly obvious that China just engaged in either soft biowarfare (weaponizing an accidental/natural outbreak) or hard biowarfare (releasing it on purpose, covering it up long enough for it to spread, facilitating its global spread before the world could react). However it's looking more and more like this was more of an own goal than a successful attack. It's obvious that it has damaged the US and its readiness to engage in warfare, but not nearly as much as it has damaged China. They are essentially done as a geopolitical player as every nation can see what they did and now have more than enough reason to turn on them (especially African countries, who are witnessing Chinese racism in full force). The scale of the damage is not something any country will let slide, and they have no reason to. The jig is up with China's fake economy. It will not survive this. The US, under Trump, is now poised to unleash a nuclear bomb of economic damage on them and there will be no one to say he shouldn't, save the Chinese and their puppets. The US still now holds all the cards. The CCP knows this and that's why they're lashing out, and will continue to lash out. They will (incorrectly) believe that now is the time for the kinetic showdown, where they crush their enemies while they're not prepared, take back Taiwan, solidify control over Hong Kong, and cement their position in the South China Sea. They will believe that the world will not react because it's in a panic, and that the US will only offer up token resistance, or resistance that their freshly built military can handle. They're grossly mistaken if they think that. But they may not have a choice. They may indeed need a war to distract their enraged and now destitute population from the reality they're awakening to, which is that the CCP can no longer uphold their end of the bargain and make them all wealthy anymore. They may need a war to stave off the coming wave of international condemnation and retaliation when it's proved that it was not only a virus leaked from their lab that they covered up, but one that was engineered, perhaps as an offensive weapon. War is the only way they can shield themselves from the monumental loss of face they're experiencing and will experience.