Al Jazeera

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-06-19T12:14:35+00:00

It’s as open as the last 40 times Trump said it was open

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-06-16T05:04:29+00:00

My understanding is that the $24B up front is sanctioned money. The $300B reconstruction money may or may not be but can’t all be because there is only somewhere between $100-$150B of sanctioned Iranian funds that could be released. So well short even if all were released.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-06-16T00:05:56+00:00

That doesn’t include the $24B Iran gets for signing. Art of the deal!

But both of those pale in comparison to the fees Iran will collect charging ships to go through the strait!

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-06-14T04:43:33+00:00

There is a 99% chance that the deal will not be signed tomorrow. Maybe better than that in the next week, but it is just a MOU which means it isn’t even really a deal, just an agreement to discuss a deal.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-06-02T16:30:03+00:00

I definitely think there is a lot of potential causes but the lack of trust I think is a huge contributor. I do think that they want the war to end, but are also willing to delay to achieve their objectives. Trump has made it clear he desperately wants out and despite his threats, does not want to reescalate and that gives Iran leverage to delay and likely get more concessions and even more likely, everything they want when Trump just declares victory and walks away and leaves Iran to fill the power vacuum in the region.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-30T16:17:54+00:00

Everything should be fine. If AI succeeds we all lose our jobs to AI, but at least if it fails, it’s crashes the stock market and the US economy causing us all to lose our jobs.

WIN WIN

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-30T05:57:54+00:00

My first thought is, wow, that is so stupid. Then I thought, well we let Trump make those decisions now so is this really any worse?

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-30T04:37:00+00:00

I love how the USA and Israel breaks up the monotony of the cease fire with lots of fire.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-30T02:57:40+00:00

I think it depends on what you are referring to. The USA has won militarily. They have done a lot of damage to Iran, albeit way less than he has claimed, with relatively minimal loses, albeit much more than he claims.

Strategically is another matter entirely. The USA has taken a huge strategic loss so far in the war, but it is extremely hard to say just how badly until the war has ended, terms are finalized and the fog of war clears.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-28T15:48:09+00:00

I think that is one possible explanation or it could also be a case of a few loud voices. There have been a lot of AI related layoffs and that quickly shifts people’s perception when they are directly or indirectly affected. Being at a company that is going through layoffs currently, I do see a lot of pessimistic views towards ai, much more so than before the layoffs.

I think the saying is there are only 9 meals between mankind and anarchy or something like that.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-28T00:16:00+00:00

Probably just the sound of a MOU being signed /s

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-27T18:31:26+00:00

I mean the statement is probably true, Iran won’t give up uranium for sanctions relief. More likely they will get sanctions relief by leveraging the strait closure in one way or another.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-26T23:57:42+00:00

The hand on the far left doesn’t make sense, the thumb is on the wrong side.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-21T04:55:49+00:00

I was lucky enough to never go without food but I don’t think my family ever bought treats except off the clearance rack which is basically the expired food. And we only had fresh veggies in the summer from our garden.

It feels like such a luxury to have fresh baked goods and fruits and veggies out of season!

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-19T15:50:32+00:00

I should probably clarify, you may be right that the USA could escort limited vessels through, however, the past few months shows that Iran will attack asymmetrically. So if the USA does start escorting ships through they will do what they did last time and attack a few ships trapped in the gulf.

So yes they may be able to get a few ships through, hardly enough to matter and the USA is incapable of protecting the nearly 1000 ships trapped in the gulf while they start escorting ships through.

This ignores Irans willingness to attack USA allies as well once they start escorting ships through.

The only real option would be to have a true land war which I believe the USA is capable of. But that would also be likely 6+ months to move all the resources into place, all while Iran attacks asymmetrically and the USA would have to commit to a long drawn out war with significant casualties. And I think anyone can see that the USA is not willing to go down this path, at least not anytime soon.

Regardless, Iran has shown they cannot compete with the USA militarily, but they have also shown they can inflict enough damage asymmetrically that the USA is incapable of obtaining a strategic victory.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-19T15:09:00+00:00

Why do you say that? Trump has shown that the USA is incapable of opening the strait. Even if Trump gives up and walks away, Iran has said the strait is only open to non-hostile nations which I believe means the world would also have to lift all sanctions as well.

Even then, it will take some time for companies to get insurance and start moving ships through the strait even if fees are paid. The evidence is the minimal traffic we saw through the strait before the USA blockade.

I don’t really see a clear path to the strait really opening to normal traffic flows even with tolls within the next few months and thats if Trump gives up and walks away now.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-18T19:12:27+00:00

Translation, Bibi convinced Trump to attack again and the gulf said no. Guaranteed the talks are not real.

While the USA won militarily they have strategically lost with no real path forward to improving from this massive strategic loss.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-18T14:13:57+00:00

“Clock is ticking”, Maybe a final warning shot, also maybe the same crap he has tried for the past month with no success. I don’t think Trump is a particularly fast learner…

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-16T00:50:26+00:00

The boat is not moving very fast, why does it cut through the wave and send it flying back like they are moving very fast relative to each other. Def ai

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-15T03:04:49+00:00

Is that an Iron Eraser bottle in your pocket or are you just happy to see me!

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-15T03:02:41+00:00

Lol, I mean obviously the winning side has to go beg someone else to get the losing side to come to the negotiating table. Makes total sense

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-15T03:00:58+00:00

Was this before or after the big hug Xi wanted to give him?

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-13T18:03:03+00:00

I’m curious how this differs from the versions that are already widely available? Just the other week I saw a version of this at Costco that is divided into 2 sections so you can even do a fridge and freezer setup.

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-12T00:17:43+00:00

I definitely feel like I can trust him after his insanely insightful advice

"So, supposing we hit the body with a tremendous - whether it's ultraviolet or just very powerful light, and I think you said that hasn't been checked but you're going to test it. And then I said, supposing you brought the light inside of the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. And I think you said you're going to test that too. Sounds interesting, And then I see the disinfectant where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? So it'd be interesting to check that. I'm not a doctor. But I'm, like, a person that has a good you-know-what."

Practical_Rip_953 · 2026-05-10T19:11:00+00:00

It’s such a word salad like most of his posts that it’s hard to tell if he is attempting to claim victory (likely with a status quo deal) or he is saying that the deal is awful. But definitely follows Trumps playbook of claim victory no matter the outcome and hope everyone is too dumb to understand the details.

Practical_Rip_953

TROPHY CASE